# NFL Predictor Model Reference

Candidate ranking uses chronological walk-forward validation; the final holdout is used for post-selection evaluation before deployment refitting.

## Model Types

### Historical baseline (`baseline`)

A non-ML reference forecast such as the training mean or recent average. It establishes the error a candidate must improve upon.

**Reported weights:** No fitted predictor coefficients.

### Ordinary least squares (`linear`)

Fits one additive coefficient per standardized predictor by minimizing squared prediction error.

**Reported weights:** Signed standardized coefficients; sign gives direction and magnitude gives conditional influence.

### Ridge regression (`ridge`)

Linear regression with an L2 penalty that shrinks unstable coefficients and reduces sensitivity to correlated predictors.

**Reported weights:** Signed standardized coefficients after shrinkage.

### Poisson regression (`poisson`)

A log-link count model that predicts a nonnegative expected count and is used only for configured count outcomes.

**Reported weights:** Signed log-scale standardized coefficients.

### Random forest (`random_forest`)

Averages many bootstrapped decision trees, allowing nonlinear effects and interactions while reducing the variance of one tree.

**Reported weights:** Impurity-based feature importance; there is no single coefficient.

### Extremely randomized trees (`extra_trees`)

Averages trees whose candidate split points are randomized more aggressively than a random forest, often reducing variance further.

**Reported weights:** Impurity-based feature importance; there is no single coefficient.

### Histogram gradient boosting (`hist_gradient_boosting`)

Builds shallow trees sequentially so each tree corrects residual errors from the existing ensemble, using binned numeric features for speed.

**Reported weights:** Model importance when exposed; there is no single additive coefficient.

### XGBoost (`xgboost`)

Regularized gradient-boosted decision trees trained sequentially to reduce residual error with row and feature subsampling.

**Reported weights:** Tree importance; there is no single coefficient.

### CatBoost (`catboost`)

Ordered gradient boosting that builds a sequence of symmetric trees and is designed to control overfitting.

**Reported weights:** Model feature importance; there is no single coefficient.

### Model ensemble (`ensemble`)

Combines predictions from several top candidates by a simple or validation-performance-weighted average.

**Reported weights:** Member-level averaging weights, not predictor coefficients.

### L2 logistic regression (`logistic_l2`)

Models the log-odds of a team win with a linear decision boundary and L2 coefficient shrinkage.

**Reported weights:** Signed standardized log-odds coefficients.

## Variable Dictionary

| Variable | Definition |
|---|---|
| `date` | Scheduled game date used for chronological sorting and leakage-safe validation. |
| `defensive_qb_hits` | Quarterback hits credited to one defender and used as sack-opportunity history. |
| `game_id` | Stable source identifier for one NFL game. |
| `is_home` | One when the represented team is home and zero when away. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | A pregame interaction, difference, or ratio between recent offensive/player form and opponent defensive form. |
| `opponent` | Opposing team in the same game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior completion percentage allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior completions allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior interceptions allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior passing attempts allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior passing tds allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior passing yards allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player completions allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player completions allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player completions allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player completions allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player passing attempts allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player passing attempts allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player passing attempts allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player passing attempts allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player passing interceptions allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player passing interceptions allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player passing interceptions allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player passing interceptions allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player passing tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player passing tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player passing tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player passing tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player passing yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player passing yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player passing yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player passing yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player receiving yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player receptions allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player receptions allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player receptions allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player receptions allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing receiving yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing receiving yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing receiving yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing receiving yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player rushing yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player sacks allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player sacks allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player sacks allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player sacks allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior player scoring tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior player scoring tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior player scoring tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior player scoring tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior points scored allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior rushing attempts allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior rushing tds allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior rushing yards allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior sacks allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior total yards allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior turnovers allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior yards per attempt allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | The opponent defense's prior yards per rush allowed (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `passing_attempts` | Player or team pass attempts, depending on dataset grain. |
| `passing_yards` | Combined team passing yards in the game. |
| `player_completions` | Completed passes thrown by one player in one game. |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | Leakage-safe defensive qb hits exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | Leakage-safe defensive qb hits mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | Leakage-safe defensive qb hits mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | Leakage-safe defensive qb hits mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_id` | Stable NFLverse/GSIS participant identifier. |
| `player_name` | Display name for a player prop participant. |
| `player_passing_attempts` | Pass attempts credited to one player in one game. |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | Leakage-safe passing attempts exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | Leakage-safe passing attempts mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | Leakage-safe passing attempts mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | Leakage-safe passing attempts mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_passing_interceptions` | Passes thrown by one player that were intercepted in one game. |
| `player_passing_tds` | Touchdown passes thrown by one player in one game; normally a quarterback outcome. |
| `player_passing_yards` | Passing yards credited to one player in one game. |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | Leakage-safe player completions exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | Leakage-safe player completions mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | Leakage-safe player completions mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | Leakage-safe player completions mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | Leakage-safe player passing attempts exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | Leakage-safe player passing attempts mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | Leakage-safe player passing attempts mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | Leakage-safe player passing attempts mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | Leakage-safe player passing interceptions exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | Leakage-safe player passing interceptions mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | Leakage-safe player passing interceptions mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | Leakage-safe player passing interceptions mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | Leakage-safe player passing tds exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | Leakage-safe player passing tds mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | Leakage-safe player passing tds mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | Leakage-safe player passing tds mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | Leakage-safe player passing yards exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | Leakage-safe player passing yards mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | Leakage-safe player passing yards mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | Leakage-safe player passing yards mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | Leakage-safe player receiving tds exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | Leakage-safe player receiving tds mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | Leakage-safe player receiving tds mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | Leakage-safe player receiving tds mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | Leakage-safe player receiving yards exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | Leakage-safe player receiving yards mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | Leakage-safe player receiving yards mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | Leakage-safe player receiving yards mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | Leakage-safe player receptions exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | Leakage-safe player receptions mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | Leakage-safe player receptions mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | Leakage-safe player receptions mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | Leakage-safe player rushing receiving yards exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | Leakage-safe player rushing receiving yards mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | Leakage-safe player rushing receiving yards mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | Leakage-safe player rushing receiving yards mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | Leakage-safe player rushing tds exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | Leakage-safe player rushing tds mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | Leakage-safe player rushing tds mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | Leakage-safe player rushing tds mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | Leakage-safe player rushing yards exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | Leakage-safe player rushing yards mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | Leakage-safe player rushing yards mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | Leakage-safe player rushing yards mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | Leakage-safe player sacks exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | Leakage-safe player sacks mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | Leakage-safe player sacks mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | Leakage-safe player sacks mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | Leakage-safe player scoring tds exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | Leakage-safe player scoring tds mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | Leakage-safe player scoring tds mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | Leakage-safe player scoring tds mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | Leakage-safe receiving targets exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | Leakage-safe receiving targets mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | Leakage-safe receiving targets mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | Leakage-safe receiving targets mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_receiving_tds` | Receiving touchdowns scored by one player on completed passing plays in one game. |
| `player_receiving_yards` | Receiving yards credited to one player in one game. |
| `player_receptions` | Completed passes caught by one player in one game. |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | Leakage-safe rushing attempts exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | Leakage-safe rushing attempts mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | Leakage-safe rushing attempts mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | Leakage-safe rushing attempts mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | Leakage-safe rushing receiving opportunities exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | Leakage-safe rushing receiving opportunities mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | Leakage-safe rushing receiving opportunities mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | Leakage-safe rushing receiving opportunities mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_rushing_receiving_yards` | Combined rushing plus receiving yards credited to one player in one game. |
| `player_rushing_tds` | Rushing touchdowns scored by one player in one game. |
| `player_rushing_yards` | Rushing yards credited to one player in one game. |
| `player_sacks` | Defensive sacks made by one player in one game; may include half-sacks. |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | Leakage-safe scoring opportunities exponentially weighted prior form. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | Leakage-safe scoring opportunities mean over the player's prior 3 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | Leakage-safe scoring opportunities mean over the player's prior 5 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | Leakage-safe scoring opportunities mean over the player's prior 8 appearances. The current-game result is excluded. |
| `player_scoring_tds` | Combined rushing plus receiving touchdowns scored by one player in one game. Excludes touchdown passes thrown and return/defensive scores. |
| `points_scored` | Final team score; blank before a game is complete. |
| `position` | Listed player position used as pregame context. |
| `pregame_position_qb` | Known-before-kickoff context: position qb. |
| `pregame_position_rb` | Known-before-kickoff context: position rb. |
| `pregame_position_te` | Known-before-kickoff context: position te. |
| `pregame_position_wr` | Known-before-kickoff context: position wr. |
| `pregame_rest_days` | Known-before-kickoff context: rest days. |
| `pregame_spread_line` | Known-before-kickoff context: spread line. |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | Known-before-kickoff context: team favorite margin. |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | Known-before-kickoff context: team win call. |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | Known-before-kickoff context: team win probability. |
| `pregame_temperature` | Known-before-kickoff context: temperature. |
| `pregame_total_line` | Known-before-kickoff context: total line. |
| `pregame_week` | Known-before-kickoff context: week. |
| `pregame_wind` | Known-before-kickoff context: wind. |
| `receiving_targets` | Pass targets credited to one player and used as receiving-opportunity volume. |
| `rest_days` | Days since the represented team's previous game. |
| `rushing_attempts` | Player or team carries, depending on dataset grain. |
| `rushing_receiving_opportunities` | Player carries plus receiving targets; opportunity volume for combined yardage. |
| `rushing_yards` | Combined team rushing yards in the game. |
| `scoring_opportunities` | Player carries plus receiving targets; historical opportunity volume for the combined TD-scorer model. |
| `season` | NFL season assigned to the game. |
| `spread_line` | Closing or currently published home-team spread from the schedule source. |
| `team` | Team whose outcome or player is represented by the row. |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior completion percentage form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_ewma` | The represented team's prior completions form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_last3` | The represented team's prior completions form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_last5` | The represented team's prior completions form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_last8` | The represented team's prior completions form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | The represented team's prior completions form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior completions form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def completion percentage allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def completions allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def interceptions allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def passing attempts allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def passing tds allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def passing yards allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def points scored allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def rushing attempts allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def rushing tds allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def rushing yards allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def sacks allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def total yards allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def turnovers allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def yards per attempt allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior def yards per rush allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior interceptions form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior passing attempts form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior passing tds form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior passing yards form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | The represented team's prior player completions form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | The represented team's prior player completions form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | The represented team's prior player completions form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | The represented team's prior player completions form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | The represented team's prior player passing attempts form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | The represented team's prior player passing attempts form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | The represented team's prior player passing attempts form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | The represented team's prior player passing attempts form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | The represented team's prior player passing interceptions form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | The represented team's prior player passing interceptions form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | The represented team's prior player passing interceptions form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | The represented team's prior player passing interceptions form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior player passing tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior player passing tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior player passing tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior player passing tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior player passing yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior player passing yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior player passing yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior player passing yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior player receiving tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior player receiving tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior player receiving tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior player receiving tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior player receiving yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior player receiving yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior player receiving yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior player receiving yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | The represented team's prior player receptions form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | The represented team's prior player receptions form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | The represented team's prior player receptions form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | The represented team's prior player receptions form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior player rushing receiving yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior player rushing receiving yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior player rushing receiving yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior player rushing receiving yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior player rushing tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior player rushing tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior player rushing tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior player rushing tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior player rushing yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior player rushing yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior player rushing yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior player rushing yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | The represented team's prior player sacks form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | The represented team's prior player sacks form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | The represented team's prior player sacks form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | The represented team's prior player sacks form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior player scoring tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior player scoring tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior player scoring tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior player scoring tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | The represented team's prior points scored form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | The represented team's prior points scored form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | The represented team's prior points scored form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | The represented team's prior points scored form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | The represented team's prior points scored form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior points scored form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior rushing attempts form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior rushing tds form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior rushing yards form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior sacks allowed form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | The represented team's prior sacks form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_last3` | The represented team's prior sacks form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_last5` | The represented team's prior sacks form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_last8` | The represented team's prior sacks form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | The represented team's prior sacks form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior sacks form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | The represented team's prior total yards form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | The represented team's prior total yards form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | The represented team's prior total yards form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | The represented team's prior total yards form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | The represented team's prior total yards form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior total yards form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior turnovers form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior yards per attempt form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (ewma), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (last3), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (last5), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (last8), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (prior season), excluding the current game. |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | The represented team's prior yards per rush form (season to date), excluding the current game. |
| `temperature` | Published kickoff temperature when available. |
| `total_line` | Closing or currently published game total from the schedule source. |
| `week` | NFL week within the season. |
| `wind` | Published kickoff wind speed when available. |

## Top Five Candidates By Outcome

### `passing_tds`

#### #1 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.9190. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.0565743 | 5.66% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0530338 | 5.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.0501107 | 5.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0477759 | 4.78% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.0152675 | 1.53% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0150787 | 1.51% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00995171 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00743769 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00648473 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00632913 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00546702 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00541701 | 0.54% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00491466 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00484929 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00474084 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00466447 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00454697 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00432031 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00419913 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00409343 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0040324 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00402034 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00396908 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00396322 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00387989 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00383398 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.0037664 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00351748 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00351583 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.00349799 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00348723 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00347887 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00346342 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00340516 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00339983 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00339184 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00325436 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00322768 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00321413 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00317207 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00311584 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00309936 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00309067 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00302863 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00299278 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00286089 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00285992 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00281597 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00279883 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00275387 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00274532 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00273552 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00272103 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00270835 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00256027 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.002527 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0025264 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.0025015 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00241813 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00240697 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.0024001 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00237787 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00237546 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00236452 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00232515 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00221869 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00220753 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00218907 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00218866 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00218438 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00217757 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00212746 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00209042 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00208894 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00208108 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00207884 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00204641 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00204005 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00203187 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00202109 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00201895 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00201865 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00201654 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00201053 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00201007 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00200786 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00200191 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.00199242 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00199118 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00198285 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0019827 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00197896 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00195177 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00194984 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00192822 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00191845 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00186152 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00185717 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00184063 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00183554 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00181891 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00180772 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00180614 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00180592 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00180539 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00178568 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00177878 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.0017784 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00177364 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00177217 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00176453 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00175271 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00174934 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00174884 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00174755 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00174727 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00174674 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00173765 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00173527 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00172954 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.001728 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00172588 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00172392 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00171703 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00171549 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00171445 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00169999 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00169504 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00169268 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00168647 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00167968 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00167771 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00165923 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00165366 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00165174 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00165086 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00165012 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0016492 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00164397 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00163725 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00163489 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00163277 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00162883 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00162875 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00162692 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00162643 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0016259 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00162101 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00162007 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00161829 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.0016158 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0016135 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00160217 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00160129 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.0015976 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00159358 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.001592 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00159198 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00158735 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00158426 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00158207 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00157736 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00157562 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0015733 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00154919 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00154462 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00152351 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00151858 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00151852 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00151039 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00150785 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00150687 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00150673 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00150046 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00149665 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00149396 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00149268 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00148181 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00148107 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00147693 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00147538 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0014736 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00147318 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014716 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00146352 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00145987 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00145452 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00144795 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.0014468 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00144252 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00144242 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00143932 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00143465 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00143398 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00142881 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00142817 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00142581 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00141789 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0014158 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00141197 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00140174 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00139381 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00138934 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138732 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00138651 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00138628 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00138368 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00138299 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00138247 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00138127 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00137886 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00137782 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00137773 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00137619 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00137381 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00137178 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00137154 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00136808 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00136169 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00136089 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00135642 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00135457 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00135354 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00135229 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.00135207 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00134887 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.00134845 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00134691 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00133489 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00133347 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00133302 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.001333 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00132801 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00132668 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00132119 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00131691 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00131258 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00131161 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.0013078 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00130609 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00130607 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00130283 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00130282 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00130014 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00129872 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00129823 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00129477 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129432 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00129429 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00128891 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00128707 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00128685 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00128565 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00127644 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127625 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00126632 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00126576 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00126113 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00125907 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0012488 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00124656 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00124326 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00124289 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00123966 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00123906 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00123411 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00123213 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00122202 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.00121804 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121394 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00121344 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00120372 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00119296 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00119275 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00119187 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00119182 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.0011915 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.00119075 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00118746 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00118125 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00117635 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00117475 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00116965 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00116877 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00116833 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00116696 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00116548 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00116459 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00115935 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00115254 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00114701 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00114655 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00113937 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00113622 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00113568 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00113028 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00112763 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00112621 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00112618 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00112549 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0011205 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00111437 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00111086 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.00111064 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00110821 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00110721 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00110159 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00110082 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00110073 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00110061 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00109344 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00106522 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00106319 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.00106279 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00106126 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00105994 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00105831 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00104855 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00103874 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00103831 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00103572 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.0010271 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00101205 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00101185 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00100971 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00100471 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0010029 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00100191 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00100153 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00099942 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000997558 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000994871 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.000983585 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000978797 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000973358 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000973322 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000973285 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000972576 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000969653 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000958651 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000954629 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000942818 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.000942488 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000940775 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000940043 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000939198 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000938183 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000937742 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.000936891 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.000936338 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000934545 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000927619 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000925165 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000911066 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000909539 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000901604 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000899792 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.000898533 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.000897475 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.000896864 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000896084 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000893472 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000892063 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000891446 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000891043 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.00089099 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000886414 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000883526 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000881885 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000877751 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000876165 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000875525 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00087486 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.000873555 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00086788 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000867679 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000867408 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000863596 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000862713 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000858212 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000854736 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.000850448 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000850136 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000847017 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000845772 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00084535 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000838365 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000838086 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.000827113 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000824013 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000822921 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000814923 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.000809859 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00080803 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000807386 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000805887 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000803074 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.000801485 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00079896 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000797556 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000796836 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000794429 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000794142 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.0007919 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000790571 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000785256 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000784292 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000779779 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000778721 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000778436 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000771498 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000766852 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000765931 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000765841 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000761744 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000756214 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00074976 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.000748393 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000741038 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000733724 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.000730499 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000728898 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000725479 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000723779 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000723518 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000722028 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000720557 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000720286 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000719971 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000714944 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000713476 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000710954 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000708853 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000708627 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000707144 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00070687 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000706025 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000703397 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000699856 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000698956 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00069857 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000695838 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00069551 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000695061 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000694877 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000694702 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000693806 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000690771 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.000679738 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000677696 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000668508 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000667741 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000661317 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000658546 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000658432 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000657489 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000653553 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000653041 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000645773 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00064546 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000636637 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000633535 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000631716 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000628141 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000624892 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000621129 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000618777 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000617566 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00061749 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000616472 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000615262 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000614226 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000606595 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000602866 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000601907 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00060042 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000599317 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000597889 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000596898 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000594767 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000592607 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000591724 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000585186 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000582947 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.000580404 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.000575973 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000569596 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000567718 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000565367 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000558711 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000558025 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000557481 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000556983 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.000553189 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000543175 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000537407 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0005267 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000515045 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000511129 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000507132 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000506135 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000506123 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000503948 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000499168 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000497774 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000496581 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.000493826 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000493563 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000492669 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000479348 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000476002 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000475969 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000475116 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000474172 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000473461 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000470706 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000457659 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00045678 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000456317 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000452031 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000447143 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000445048 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.000435879 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000434043 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000428973 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000409038 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000405417 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000404208 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000397466 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000388727 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000387218 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000375316 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000372432 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000362502 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000358028 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000354095 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000350059 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000347485 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000345482 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000344732 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000336128 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000333817 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000333563 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000321299 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000319878 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000316445 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000314287 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00031335 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000313083 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000296623 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00029491 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000291247 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000288835 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000275236 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000268315 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000251887 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000247364 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000239426 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000238435 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000230794 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000227436 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000227227 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000217151 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00021306 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000212642 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000209654 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000193508 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000192561 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000177267 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000172922 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000171885 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000169267 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000163722 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000153106 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000146596 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000124222 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000121476 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 9.1067e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 7.81334e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 6.87824e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 3.75919e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.9196. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0400693 | 4.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0302217 | 3.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.0290707 | 2.91% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.02882 | 2.88% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0242253 | 2.42% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.0176853 | 1.77% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0154032 | 1.54% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.011716 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00999945 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00892302 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00719203 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00645464 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00633733 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00552886 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00503603 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00453269 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00426343 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00416966 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.0040816 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00402409 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00391073 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00390931 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00373173 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00369904 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0035626 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00349801 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.003234 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00315305 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00312242 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00311378 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00282874 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00277248 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00272194 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.00266469 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00265206 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00264974 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00261071 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00254392 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0024555 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00243974 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00243767 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00242841 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00241729 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00241527 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00238426 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.00234811 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00234706 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00228225 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00226567 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00224112 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00222909 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00222308 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00221826 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0022021 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00219093 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00218968 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00216133 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00214015 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00212974 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00209189 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00205557 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00204256 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.00202599 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00201412 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00200925 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0020008 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00199825 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00199633 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00196913 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00195617 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00194589 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00194467 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00194195 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00194035 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00193594 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00193554 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00193525 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00193149 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00192284 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00191561 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00190327 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0018894 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00188906 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00186352 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00184622 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.00183337 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00181708 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00181084 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00181019 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00179729 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00179526 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00179406 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.0017932 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00178304 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00176829 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00176456 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00176419 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00175305 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00175247 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00174444 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0017433 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.0017354 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00173011 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00172678 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00172646 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00169685 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00169218 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00169191 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00168291 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00167421 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00166913 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00166565 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00166425 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00165971 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00165948 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00165564 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00165531 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00164424 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00163005 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.00162932 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00162483 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00162423 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00161824 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00161354 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.0016109 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00160797 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00160589 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00160448 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.0015949 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00159487 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00159435 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00158906 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00158661 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00158609 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00158312 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00158195 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00158151 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00157849 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00156525 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00156241 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00156076 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00154988 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00154935 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00154066 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00153881 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00153172 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0015316 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0015273 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00152562 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00152363 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00152045 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00151927 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.00151441 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00151271 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.00151205 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.00151179 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00150821 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0015074 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00150627 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00150311 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00150021 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00149677 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00149325 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00149061 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00148896 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00148816 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014845 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00147513 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00147314 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00147218 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00147127 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00146951 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.0014691 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00145865 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00145597 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00145286 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.0014519 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00144299 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00143957 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.00143853 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.00143758 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0014318 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00142546 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00142389 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.00142251 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00142055 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00141677 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.00141223 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014121 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00141089 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00140391 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00140379 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00140311 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00140267 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00139964 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00139954 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00139904 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00139826 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00139441 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00138833 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00138609 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00138558 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00138515 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138224 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00138206 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00138185 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138138 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.00137877 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.00137663 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00137129 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00136965 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.0013689 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00136296 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00136283 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00135938 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00135785 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00135161 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00135089 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00134784 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00134733 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00134529 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00134499 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00134299 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00133455 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.0013305 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00133038 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00132539 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00132247 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00131859 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00131589 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00131481 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00131309 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00131055 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00130657 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00130317 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00130163 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00129808 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00129659 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00129072 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00128454 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00128445 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00128069 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00127923 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00127918 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00127907 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127883 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00126746 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.0012642 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.00126095 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.0012567 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00125503 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00125469 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.00125435 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00125404 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00125306 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00125128 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00124728 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00124097 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00124017 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00123874 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00123554 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00123403 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00123338 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00123077 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00123065 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00123032 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00123004 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122969 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122919 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00122898 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00122808 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00122792 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00122684 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00122664 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00122616 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00122546 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00122533 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00122502 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00122042 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.00122035 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00121985 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00121963 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121791 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00121781 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00121292 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00121205 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00121046 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00120912 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00120804 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00120764 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.0012032 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00120314 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00120174 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00120134 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00120115 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.0011973 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00119617 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00119594 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00119532 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00119184 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00119114 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00118814 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00118639 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00118469 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00118409 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00118229 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00118181 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00118135 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00117994 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.00117945 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00117597 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.00117515 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00117483 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00117464 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0011721 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00117035 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.00116933 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00116875 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.00116858 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00116809 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00116719 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.00116403 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00116342 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00116186 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00115994 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00115772 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00115315 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00115193 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00114858 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00114764 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00114744 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00114474 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00114448 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00114421 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00114186 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.0011411 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00113948 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00113897 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00113729 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00113401 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0011332 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0011301 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00112903 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00112743 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00112664 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00112611 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00112331 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00112324 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.0011209 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00111852 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00111798 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00111422 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00110918 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00110865 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00110826 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00110691 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.00110528 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00110046 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00110019 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00109655 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00109472 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00109346 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00109151 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00109138 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.0010903 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00109028 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00108988 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00108955 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00108915 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0010888 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00108698 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0010869 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.0010866 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00108563 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107905 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00107832 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.00107586 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.00107378 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00107358 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00107148 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107145 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00107143 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00107091 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00106477 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00106389 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00105878 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00105848 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00105729 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00105724 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00105521 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00105398 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00105352 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00105203 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00105047 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00104835 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.0010481 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00104631 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.00103849 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0010383 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00103797 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00103651 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00103459 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00103035 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00102966 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00102904 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00102874 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00102768 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00102594 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00102413 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00102144 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00101872 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00101747 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00101743 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00101501 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00101377 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00101202 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00101148 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00100962 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00100866 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00100799 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00100311 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00100121 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.00100046 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.00100019 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000999927 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000997139 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000996913 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00099671 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000991969 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000985917 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000983943 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.000981437 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000979794 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.000979219 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000978886 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000978046 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000974708 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000973988 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000970728 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000970059 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000968117 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000965891 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000963235 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000961984 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000952903 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000952008 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000949333 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000943054 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000942679 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000941523 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000939697 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000939011 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000937267 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000937014 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000936738 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00093578 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000934557 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000934479 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000934187 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000931139 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000930699 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.0009256 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000922289 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000921444 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000921092 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000920123 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000918931 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000918678 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.000918161 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000917625 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.00091583 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000915158 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000911778 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000908315 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000906225 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000902041 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000899321 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000896415 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.00089361 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000893286 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000886528 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000882217 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.000881218 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000880616 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000880065 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.000878111 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000877015 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000876057 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000875221 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00087501 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000871898 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000871052 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000869957 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000869571 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000865441 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000865355 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000860443 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000859154 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000859115 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000857546 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000856449 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000856056 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000854406 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000853376 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000850604 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000848083 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000847834 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000845834 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000843405 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000842268 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000839441 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000835377 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000835361 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000834681 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.000833325 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000830843 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000829976 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000828637 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000827104 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0008247 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000821124 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000819382 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000819174 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000813068 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00080873 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000804285 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00080356 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000799414 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000798984 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00079782 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000792875 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000792044 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000789215 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000789164 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000785953 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000784921 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.000782187 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000779851 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000777988 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000776173 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000774699 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000768327 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000768 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000764567 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000761091 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00076021 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000757625 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000748641 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000747883 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.00074484 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.000738234 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.00073702 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000732492 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000731946 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000727815 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000727533 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000727207 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.000721818 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0007211 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000720793 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000719213 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000717749 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000711224 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000705077 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000703803 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000703371 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000696687 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000693505 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000674844 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000665568 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000655933 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000654495 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000653032 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000644488 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00062285 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000622776 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000603056 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000601345 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000578696 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000555717 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000555084 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.000524494 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000413991 | 0.04% | unsigned |

#### #3 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 0.9204. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.129409 | 8.56% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.110683 | 7.32% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.104488 | 6.91% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0925717 | 6.12% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0752721 | 4.98% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.0721101 | 4.77% | negative |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.063511 | 4.20% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0529284 | 3.50% | positive |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.0516601 | 3.42% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0507913 | 3.36% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.0468578 | 3.10% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0451438 | 2.99% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0435543 | 2.88% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | -0.0392585 | 2.60% | negative |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.038492 | 2.55% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | -0.0367668 | 2.43% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | -0.0367264 | 2.43% | negative |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.034686 | 2.29% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0274272 | 1.81% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.0258314 | 1.71% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.024509 | 1.62% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0238542 | 1.58% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0238422 | 1.58% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | -0.023828 | 1.58% | negative |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | -0.0230423 | 1.52% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0230302 | 1.52% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | -0.0221599 | 1.47% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0217027 | 1.44% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -0.0216928 | 1.44% | negative |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0213543 | 1.41% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0210578 | 1.39% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.0162218 | 1.07% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | -0.0128336 | 0.85% | negative |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0107445 | 0.71% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0104106 | 0.69% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00983723 | 0.65% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | -0.00954708 | 0.63% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00893514 | 0.59% | positive |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | -0.00402221 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.000586016 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 4.30441e-05 | 0.00% | positive |

#### #4 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 0.9211. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.09662 | 9.66% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0755145 | 7.55% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0741817 | 7.42% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0716323 | 7.16% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0581809 | 5.82% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0352174 | 3.52% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.0312338 | 3.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.0297786 | 2.98% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0290517 | 2.91% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.0289581 | 2.90% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0286436 | 2.86% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0216989 | 2.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0191953 | 1.92% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0189225 | 1.89% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.0178825 | 1.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0177986 | 1.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.0172263 | 1.72% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0167613 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0166377 | 1.66% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0163418 | 1.63% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.0161291 | 1.61% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.016035 | 1.60% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0157113 | 1.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.0156361 | 1.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0145858 | 1.46% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0145606 | 1.46% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0145184 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0144353 | 1.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0140039 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0139496 | 1.39% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.013749 | 1.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0131639 | 1.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0125207 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0121045 | 1.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0119219 | 1.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0113967 | 1.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0112878 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0112873 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0110896 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0104012 | 1.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0100349 | 1.00% | unsigned |

### `passing_yards`

#### #1 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 56.6874. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 16.8737 | 10.38% | positive |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 9.68647 | 5.96% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 9.62577 | 5.92% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 8.69591 | 5.35% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | -8.12359 | 5.00% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 8.07065 | 4.97% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | -7.4843 | 4.61% | negative |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 6.69468 | 4.12% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | -5.90628 | 3.63% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 5.7433 | 3.53% | positive |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 5.46632 | 3.36% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 5.39804 | 3.32% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 5.25557 | 3.23% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 5.1745 | 3.18% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | -4.89868 | 3.01% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -4.73123 | 2.91% | negative |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | -4.60422 | 2.83% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 4.47926 | 2.76% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | -4.34696 | 2.68% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | -4.27732 | 2.63% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -3.85355 | 2.37% | negative |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | -2.91107 | 1.79% | negative |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 2.9084 | 1.79% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -2.19762 | 1.35% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 2.07161 | 1.27% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | -1.93463 | 1.19% | negative |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 1.70769 | 1.05% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 1.43926 | 0.89% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 1.39177 | 0.86% | positive |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 1.17764 | 0.72% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | -0.930864 | 0.57% | negative |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.883328 | 0.54% | negative |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.821575 | 0.51% | positive |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.510416 | 0.31% | positive |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | -0.489741 | 0.30% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.431758 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.324776 | 0.20% | positive |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.319158 | 0.20% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.302636 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.239095 | 0.15% | positive |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | -0.109122 | 0.07% | negative |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 56.7200. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.114884 | 11.49% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0923118 | 9.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0613023 | 6.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.0526171 | 5.26% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0483673 | 4.84% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0458679 | 4.59% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0406667 | 4.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0375523 | 3.76% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0371315 | 3.71% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0284368 | 2.84% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.0282294 | 2.82% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0244556 | 2.45% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0228632 | 2.29% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.0226611 | 2.27% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.0224274 | 2.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0201868 | 2.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0184857 | 1.85% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0166748 | 1.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0163763 | 1.64% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0140444 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0132461 | 1.32% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0132085 | 1.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0131488 | 1.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0130599 | 1.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0129676 | 1.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.0124187 | 1.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0123846 | 1.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0120786 | 1.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0120736 | 1.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0117134 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0113423 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0113013 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0112123 | 1.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0107086 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0100346 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00959222 | 0.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00956285 | 0.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00895679 | 0.90% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00864385 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00860548 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00819739 | 0.82% | unsigned |

#### #3 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 56.9669. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.2411 | 24.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0614904 | 6.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0408757 | 4.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0185035 | 1.85% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00895605 | 0.90% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00787508 | 0.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00600833 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00477523 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00464371 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00455305 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.0044296 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00439234 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00436149 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00426342 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00406932 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.0039439 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00389425 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00381621 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00378319 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00372491 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00358184 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00351343 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00323372 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00323175 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00323054 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00303275 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.0029736 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00289494 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00284247 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00282692 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00280114 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00272182 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00268956 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00268257 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.00263475 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00259877 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0025744 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00256397 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.00254703 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00254521 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00252117 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00251665 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00250396 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00249821 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0024921 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00247881 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00243005 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0024199 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00241481 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00237746 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.0023742 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00236516 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00230825 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00225682 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00224797 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00224764 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.00223308 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00221573 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.00220538 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00218104 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.00217909 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00211304 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.0021074 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00209867 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00207486 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.00204515 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00201544 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00201109 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00200632 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00198914 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00197202 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00195768 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0019557 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.0018995 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00189773 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00189726 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00189703 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00187757 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00186966 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00183697 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00182813 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00180642 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00180227 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00179664 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00179468 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00177303 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00176898 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00176447 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00175232 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00174716 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00173419 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00172897 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00172003 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00171685 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00170604 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.001703 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00170201 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00168373 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00168328 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00165988 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00164408 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00163766 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00163754 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00162178 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00161909 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00161373 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00161205 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00161155 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00159124 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.001589 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00157397 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0015538 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00154144 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00153548 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00152451 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00152068 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00151695 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00151626 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00151328 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00150036 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00149565 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00148366 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.00147584 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00147235 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00147202 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00147184 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00146464 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00145976 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00145827 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00145642 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00145557 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00145016 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014447 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00143444 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00142681 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.0014173 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00141666 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00141404 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00140482 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00139166 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00139141 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00138569 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00138515 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00138303 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0013808 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0013796 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00137546 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00137525 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00137451 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00137426 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00137421 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00135602 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00134733 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00134638 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00134594 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00134443 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0013408 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.00133544 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00133352 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00132984 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00132332 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00132321 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00131581 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0012996 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.00129609 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00128389 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00128355 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00128126 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00127677 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00127221 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00127054 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00127034 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00125756 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00125597 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00125014 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00124017 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00123541 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00123525 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00123466 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00123379 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00123107 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0012266 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00122422 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00121521 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00121398 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.00121365 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0012088 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00120693 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00120601 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00120345 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0012014 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00119764 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00119134 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00118316 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00118078 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00117644 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00117591 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117528 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00117161 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.00117046 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00116751 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.00116372 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00116241 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00115857 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00115651 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00115619 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00114086 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00113554 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113363 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113354 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00112686 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00112675 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.0011263 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00112522 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00111625 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00111616 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00111463 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00110413 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110094 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.00107695 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00107376 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.00107176 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.00107167 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00106759 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00106717 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00106564 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00106085 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00105982 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00105882 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00105796 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00105351 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.0010534 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00105049 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0010498 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00104498 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00102482 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00102312 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00101143 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00100762 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000995374 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000987805 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.000986048 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.000985657 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000984537 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000983916 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000981599 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00097998 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000975853 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00097346 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0009731 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.00097215 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.000969538 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000967726 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000964212 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000963991 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000962176 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000960558 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000958728 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000957325 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000956976 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000952197 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.000947928 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000947794 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.000939523 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00093928 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000938235 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000935323 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.000934825 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.000934094 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.000931496 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.000929858 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000924875 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000922854 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000918304 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.000916703 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00091487 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00091156 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000909148 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000908179 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000907061 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000905048 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000903614 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000901401 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000900462 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000899202 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000896173 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000890628 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000886358 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.000880641 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000879628 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00087636 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000874397 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000872146 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000871854 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000866309 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.000865996 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000861482 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000861244 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000858088 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00085777 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.000853977 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000847086 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000843442 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000842374 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000841044 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00083956 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000839477 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000836114 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000830113 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000830045 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000828497 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000825445 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000825439 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000816392 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000812773 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000807804 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000807372 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000805984 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000797868 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000790864 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000787365 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000786931 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000784415 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00078036 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000778882 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.000775024 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000773051 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000771894 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000770948 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000769437 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000769064 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000765806 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000765675 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000763193 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000763091 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000762624 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000760252 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000757546 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000753691 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000745244 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000745219 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.000744608 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00074323 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000741028 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.000740272 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000737709 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00073745 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000733968 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000732716 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.000731358 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00073121 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000731198 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000723306 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00072308 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000720695 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.000719547 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000719159 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.000717088 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000714798 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.000713917 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000713175 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000713106 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.000713062 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.000712626 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000710954 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000709776 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.000708647 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000706779 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000704826 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000702814 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000700552 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000698794 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000698075 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000690789 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.000688432 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000686076 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000681044 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000678553 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000677104 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000674706 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000673158 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000669662 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000669014 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000664804 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000664428 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000663982 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000663198 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000655935 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000655748 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000653964 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000653609 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00065155 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000644684 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000644587 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000642371 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000640695 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000639527 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000638145 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000631281 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000630016 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000629931 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000627676 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000625366 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000623995 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000623374 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000622908 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000620174 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.000616988 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.000609588 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000607102 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00060662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000602592 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000600566 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000599498 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000596002 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000593583 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000588429 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000588283 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000586087 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00058533 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000584826 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000581909 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000575984 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00057338 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000571541 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000569056 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000562913 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000559446 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.000559272 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000559008 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00055787 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000557435 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.000553214 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000550494 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000547872 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000547171 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000546271 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000545275 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000545165 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000539774 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000537751 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000536194 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000535095 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000534429 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000527715 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.000521775 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000520675 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000518502 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000518055 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00051544 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.000511722 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000505592 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00050116 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.000499368 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000494809 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000494233 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000492265 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000491961 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.000489465 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000488356 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000484181 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000483668 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000479325 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000476979 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00047451 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000473988 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000472761 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.000470673 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00046787 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0004627 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000462572 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000458663 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000458127 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000453505 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000449866 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000448266 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000447614 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000447505 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000446284 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000446128 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000443507 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000443322 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000438985 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000437486 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000430765 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000428049 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000427506 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000427081 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000418417 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000409843 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000397355 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000396773 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000395853 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000395332 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000393368 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.000387385 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000380035 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000373513 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00037316 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000371578 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.000366523 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000365656 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000358926 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.000358924 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000357923 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000353414 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00035191 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.000346688 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000345833 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000342662 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000337343 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000332895 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000327087 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000322988 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000321333 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000315542 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000314132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000313207 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000306432 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000304595 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000302236 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000298658 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000296666 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00029615 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000291155 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00028302 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000280387 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000278798 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000274778 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00027435 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000274034 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000273032 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000272825 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000270468 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.000267771 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000265929 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000263482 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00026288 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000259212 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000257671 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000257023 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000256076 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000240293 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000233566 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000231754 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00022799 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000226401 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000226341 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000224609 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000221313 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000220262 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000219966 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000218253 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000218216 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000216344 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000211283 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000210823 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00020631 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0001977 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000196797 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000192255 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000191307 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000186972 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000179975 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000178433 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000176754 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.00017487 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000164807 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000162741 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000162585 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000156644 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000153021 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00015187 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000146785 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000144824 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000144102 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000143418 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000132577 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000132119 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 8.78651e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 8.64314e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 3.87233e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 3.66148e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 56.9731. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.0618877 | 6.19% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0526807 | 5.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0345118 | 3.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.0264068 | 2.64% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0252259 | 2.52% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0214343 | 2.14% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0202317 | 2.02% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0171972 | 1.72% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0168029 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.0151058 | 1.51% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00914213 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00868582 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00780306 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00739547 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00626903 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00551485 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00513387 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00510406 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.0046622 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.0044366 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.00433523 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00359859 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00337243 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00332896 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00330167 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00318936 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00313041 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00312371 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00311338 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00293774 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0028409 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00280238 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00270972 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00270844 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00265399 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00262907 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.0025067 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00239298 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.0023702 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.00235083 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00234438 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00226087 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0022428 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00221444 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00220141 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00218151 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00216018 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0021476 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00214719 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00211227 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00211063 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00210759 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00206765 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.00204904 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00204647 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00202834 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00200561 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00200108 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00199082 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00198998 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00196335 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00195258 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0019395 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00192756 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00190999 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00190755 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00190634 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00189725 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00189588 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00188962 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00188469 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00183689 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.00183263 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00182601 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00181552 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00180684 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00180064 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00175738 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00175256 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00174357 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00174312 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0017268 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00171103 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00169398 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00169049 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00168107 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00166333 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00165249 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00162618 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00161952 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00160559 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00158491 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00158345 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00158211 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.0015808 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00157617 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00156591 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00156064 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00154884 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00153916 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00153778 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00153508 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.0015333 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00153126 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00153057 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00152113 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00151391 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.0015111 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00150775 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.001497 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00149488 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00149383 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00148817 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00148428 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00148309 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.00148194 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00147852 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00147408 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.00147183 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00145981 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00145863 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00145593 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00145005 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00145001 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00144122 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00143954 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.00143604 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00142794 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00141863 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00140009 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00139465 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138393 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00137588 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0013739 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00137238 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00136892 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00136743 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00136569 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00136261 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00135625 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00134699 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00134592 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00134054 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00133934 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.00133739 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00133735 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00133069 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00132758 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00132725 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0013149 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00131111 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00130938 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.00130379 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00130247 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00129899 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00129847 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00129759 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00128804 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0012857 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0012835 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00127971 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00127856 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00127303 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00126964 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00126573 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00126073 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00125945 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00125928 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00125896 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0012543 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.00125236 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00125126 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00125088 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00124323 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00123869 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00123731 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0012367 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00123659 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00123546 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00123398 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00123332 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00123198 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00122297 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.0012186 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00121698 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00120851 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00120246 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00119965 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00119625 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00119611 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00119383 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00119188 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00119119 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00118945 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00118558 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00118262 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00118044 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00117983 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00116899 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.0011681 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00116607 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00116262 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00116197 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00116191 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00116053 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00115899 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00115861 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00115462 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00114936 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00114919 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00114461 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00114384 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00114034 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00113545 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113459 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00113253 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00113212 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00113121 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00112894 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00112797 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00112495 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0011228 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00112216 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00111525 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00111164 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00110958 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00110936 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110907 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00110843 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00110729 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110692 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00110662 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00110179 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110142 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00110044 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00109933 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00109718 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00109636 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.00109541 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00109517 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00109428 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00109409 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00109271 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.0010914 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00109008 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108934 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.00108925 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108854 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00108661 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00108525 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00108464 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00108437 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00108277 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.0010816 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.0010814 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108034 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.0010784 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.0010774 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.0010765 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107431 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00107029 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00106944 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00106765 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00106758 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00106679 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00106544 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.0010621 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00106184 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00106132 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00106025 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00105815 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00105661 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00105341 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00104564 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00103965 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00103707 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00103586 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00103534 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00103499 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00103403 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00103368 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00103367 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00103345 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00103187 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00103109 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00102948 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00102941 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00102828 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00102754 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00102531 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.0010252 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102519 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00102399 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00102167 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00102033 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00101718 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00101698 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.0010169 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00101616 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00101575 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00101511 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.00101463 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00101432 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00101413 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00101319 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00100869 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00100764 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00100497 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00100443 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00100319 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00100282 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00100149 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00100002 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000999865 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000999489 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000999418 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.000997538 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000997398 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000995726 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000994718 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000994492 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.000993975 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000992967 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000990709 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.000990189 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000987395 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.000986799 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000986441 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.000986321 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000986041 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000985676 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000984156 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000982091 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000982077 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000980665 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000980425 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00097883 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000978815 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.000978018 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000977577 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000975433 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000973524 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000970491 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000970422 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.000970122 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00096928 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000967902 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000966912 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000965067 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000962672 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000962019 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000959747 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000959459 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.000958157 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.000957101 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000955757 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.000955694 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000954558 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.000953545 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.000953039 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000951589 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000951155 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000945383 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.000944081 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000941577 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000941088 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000940404 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000940376 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000938217 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000937919 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000935528 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000931192 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.000929873 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000929646 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000929127 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000928351 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.000928028 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000927292 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.000927122 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000927065 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000926676 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000925985 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000925813 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000925034 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000922067 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000921783 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000920446 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.000919673 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000919661 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000916895 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.000914033 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000913097 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000912653 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000911763 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000905313 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000904068 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000903539 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000901516 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00090103 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.000899774 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000897807 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000896391 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.000895117 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000894876 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000891693 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000886657 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000885696 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000885349 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000883996 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000883951 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000883816 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000883647 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000883593 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000880987 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000879578 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000879101 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.000878747 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.000877632 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.000874904 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000874316 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000873277 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.00087247 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000871568 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000870556 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000868164 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000867984 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000866249 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000865896 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000861015 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00085882 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000857749 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00085511 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000853199 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000852151 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000851328 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.000849616 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000846869 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000846265 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00084542 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.000843562 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00084182 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000841708 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000834284 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000833185 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000831837 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000831417 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000829877 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000828884 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.000824225 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00082387 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000823719 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.000822105 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.000820857 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000820499 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000817526 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000816766 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000816387 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000813946 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000813458 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000809359 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000807182 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000806108 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000803506 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000803048 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000802986 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000801877 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000801586 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000800993 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000800788 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000800682 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000800324 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000799402 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000796542 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000790765 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000786379 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000784187 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000783558 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000782826 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000781286 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000778985 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000776343 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000773695 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000772587 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.000771754 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000771399 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000768405 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000765723 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000764862 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000761124 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000757093 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000754079 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000752984 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000750391 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000750209 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000748153 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000746372 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00074043 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00073855 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000738065 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000737254 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00073687 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000734991 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000733868 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000733098 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000731146 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00073079 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000728893 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000726805 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000723561 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000720028 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000715978 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000715518 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000713582 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000708933 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.000707702 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000701312 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000700569 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000699516 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000698349 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000697893 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000694144 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000693439 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000688075 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00068285 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000682837 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00068244 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000681757 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000679562 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000679534 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000678421 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00067731 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000672751 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000671712 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000667474 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000662813 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000661274 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00066024 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000659818 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000658651 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0006567 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000655374 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000653987 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000653876 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000651899 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000644823 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000637554 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000633706 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000632403 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000631919 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000622098 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000621261 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000618447 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.000617002 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000616071 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000611156 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00060951 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000606828 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000604875 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000603839 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000601875 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000599537 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000598847 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000598485 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000591635 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000588229 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.0005817 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000578958 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000569025 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0005642 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000561244 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000553676 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000535457 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000521058 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000519066 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000510924 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000499773 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000490509 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000488486 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00047227 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000440178 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000417163 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000395738 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000374151 | 0.04% | unsigned |

### `player_completions`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 5.2559. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.156788 | 15.68% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.11881 | 11.88% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.110801 | 11.08% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.098984 | 9.90% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0722966 | 7.23% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.032415 | 3.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0309733 | 3.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0293563 | 2.94% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0279758 | 2.80% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0268493 | 2.68% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0240438 | 2.40% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0188002 | 1.88% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.0165899 | 1.66% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.0101703 | 1.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00713983 | 0.71% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00683943 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00679108 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00646947 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00632321 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00524237 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.00423979 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0042172 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00414842 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00400313 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00384737 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00370598 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00346916 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00325069 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00311193 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00309825 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0027591 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00268244 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00201704 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00187909 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00178113 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00175768 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00159033 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0015807 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00157365 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00156509 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00140206 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00138545 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00137609 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00134184 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00132809 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00130385 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0012906 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00122175 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00120523 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00119584 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00118419 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00117104 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0011521 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00114195 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00113995 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00113213 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00111768 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00110327 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00110063 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00109586 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00107799 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00106636 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00106154 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00103205 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0010067 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000991586 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000981068 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000971097 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00095153 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000920875 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000911752 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000894017 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000871332 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00086748 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000854729 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00085216 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000848044 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000826413 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000820848 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000809269 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000801146 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000785061 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000784588 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000770208 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000759954 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000759328 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000746315 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000740664 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000728391 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000719403 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000719348 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000715435 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000713557 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000712393 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00071238 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000709867 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000703806 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00069577 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000695176 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000689905 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000685003 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000680591 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000672976 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000672924 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000669006 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000665292 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000662759 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000660208 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000651071 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000647968 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00064387 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000642675 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000635206 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000634662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000631625 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000630018 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000629944 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000619902 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000617741 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000616478 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000612175 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000600178 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000598341 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000598199 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000591592 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000588957 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000584631 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00058335 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000581781 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000578553 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000576249 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000569801 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000567726 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00055978 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000556211 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000552403 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00054565 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00054517 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000542469 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000540329 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000538625 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000535013 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000530805 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000530578 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000526937 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000526665 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000520399 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000519396 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000506962 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000505566 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000504671 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000498779 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000497513 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000497375 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000491215 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000490874 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000490366 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000490285 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000489185 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000485348 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000484977 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000484237 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000482945 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000481103 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000478213 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000477475 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000474549 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000474215 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000471513 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000465711 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000465576 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000461267 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00046015 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000459559 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000457109 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00045384 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000451359 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000449975 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000447446 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000446729 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000444945 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000443788 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000442387 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000441571 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000438536 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000432962 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000430147 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0004276 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000424117 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000423166 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000420412 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000416718 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000414903 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000413297 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000411603 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000407886 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000403915 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000403574 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000402488 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000396298 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000394647 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000392698 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00039241 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000391052 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000390607 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000385542 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00038464 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000384119 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000378704 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000376733 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000373607 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000373467 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000373134 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00037088 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000368849 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00036717 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000358537 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000355817 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000353847 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00035311 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000351307 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000350988 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000347246 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000346065 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000344827 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000341714 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000339789 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00033755 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000331756 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000321707 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000319247 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000318752 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000317283 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000315905 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000310853 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000309381 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00029975 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000297269 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000291448 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000289318 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000282266 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000271127 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000270533 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000267095 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000263895 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000262344 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000227578 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000223075 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000214197 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0002121 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000211886 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000201028 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000200283 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000194422 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000192213 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000191507 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000172245 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000165694 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000156184 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000155129 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000154359 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000153609 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000122207 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000108402 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000106283 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00010595 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 9.89248e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 8.29879e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 8.18978e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 7.86579e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 7.76554e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 7.13736e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 6.645e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 6.51693e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 6.41051e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 6.25445e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 5.67949e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 4.07754e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 3.62328e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 2.91689e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 4.17741e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 1.08907e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 1.46778e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.18735e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 5.34824e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 5.2885. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.54187 | 54.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.124734 | 12.47% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0535899 | 5.36% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.040918 | 4.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0275578 | 2.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0186354 | 1.86% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.015364 | 1.54% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.00953733 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00830347 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00546261 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00536936 | 0.54% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00468955 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0046165 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00451272 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00445857 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00326656 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00314627 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00283426 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00217742 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00206564 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00185926 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00168423 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00164675 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0016177 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00161708 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00154513 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00151339 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00145509 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00143761 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00136538 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00131255 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00128506 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00128321 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00115817 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00112597 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00112565 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00112144 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00110707 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00103971 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102566 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00101884 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00100209 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000991102 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00099042 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000990009 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000979357 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000976241 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000968069 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000949024 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000940887 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000928082 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00091785 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000903901 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000877728 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000874693 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000858993 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00085387 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000851627 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00081794 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000805251 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000800847 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000792538 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000792051 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000778815 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000766605 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000754181 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000744895 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000742363 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000732171 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000700517 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000698533 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000693385 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000689986 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000688165 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000682953 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000677229 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000667736 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000665272 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000645572 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000641268 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000638267 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000632327 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000629247 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000627428 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000620788 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000616486 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000614584 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000614052 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000613585 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000605794 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000596714 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000595357 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00059479 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000594609 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000592624 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000590877 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000583799 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000576682 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000573854 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00057297 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000572846 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000569479 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000568822 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000564446 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000562727 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000562482 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000558468 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000556171 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00055027 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000535977 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000535756 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000529899 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000514254 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000512604 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000507559 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000504307 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000495684 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000491335 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000485901 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000483006 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000479724 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000473609 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000460323 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000454553 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000452291 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000450818 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000448313 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000447349 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000439755 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000437007 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000436537 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000435143 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000431773 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00042423 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000417786 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00041542 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00041474 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000410967 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000409815 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00040367 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000394814 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00039322 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000391179 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000390635 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000383657 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000383032 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000380717 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000379908 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000377097 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000364826 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000364636 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000361728 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000355094 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000354878 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000353058 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000351448 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000349338 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000345568 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000340937 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000340827 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000340258 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000330239 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000327549 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000325317 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000324103 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000318735 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000306651 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000304708 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000295981 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000295751 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000294128 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000294026 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000286488 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000286256 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000283199 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000283194 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000278309 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000278135 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000277346 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000276119 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000275972 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000275575 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000273924 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00027252 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000268215 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000261964 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000257734 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000250877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000249776 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000244836 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000240636 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000238606 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000236768 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000236046 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000235431 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000223477 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000222411 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000219834 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000217206 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000213612 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000210261 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000209366 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000208991 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000203015 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000199982 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000197691 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000193822 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000186324 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000179682 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000172166 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000170707 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000169066 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000163226 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000161737 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000155987 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00015558 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000153908 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000153239 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000152079 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000149634 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000145246 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000142976 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000141806 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000135748 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00013474 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000132322 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000131424 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000126755 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000114163 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000114007 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000110703 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000109441 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000109132 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000108005 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 9.69332e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 8.70289e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 8.42503e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 8.26165e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 8.12929e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 7.88613e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 7.45208e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 7.05788e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 6.98368e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 6.90793e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 6.43992e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 5.43418e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 5.15578e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 4.94861e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 4.88045e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 4.55198e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 4.45371e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 4.31498e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 4.09886e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 4.08942e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 3.82121e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 3.80855e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 3.62966e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 3.48594e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 3.46572e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 3.31401e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 2.95566e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 2.30551e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 2.10636e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 1.99001e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 1.85281e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 1.41384e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 1.30853e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 6.30438e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.15482e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 2.05259e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 1.79592e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 1.34845e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 8.33865e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 7.32723e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 6.5948e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 6.46391e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 6.39686e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 5.60982e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 5.3137. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.513801 | 51.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.0590896 | 5.91% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.0511763 | 5.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.050031 | 5.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.0465997 | 4.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0333352 | 3.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.0281557 | 2.82% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0262394 | 2.62% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0241944 | 2.42% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0213654 | 2.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.0212142 | 2.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0151719 | 1.52% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0149679 | 1.50% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0141946 | 1.42% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.0125745 | 1.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.0107291 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00999154 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00903651 | 0.90% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00892589 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00722381 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00717793 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00465455 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00301413 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.002929 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00224615 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00105223 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000904096 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 3.58911e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 1.04289e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 5.3193. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.485184 | 48.52% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.131227 | 13.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0865574 | 8.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.0694555 | 6.95% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0521248 | 5.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.0329969 | 3.30% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0231802 | 2.32% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0182641 | 1.83% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0173451 | 1.73% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0171013 | 1.71% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0111377 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00678767 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00625322 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00577126 | 0.58% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.0057491 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00574386 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00486485 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00433344 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00367497 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0026657 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.00249348 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00230225 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00200583 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00185719 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000749317 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00016869 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 4.20161e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 2.39774e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 1.21007e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_passing_attempts`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.6103. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.177505 | 17.75% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.125685 | 12.57% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.11664 | 11.66% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.105098 | 10.51% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0665886 | 6.66% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0364969 | 3.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0328934 | 3.29% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0295662 | 2.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0289544 | 2.90% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0184044 | 1.84% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0152327 | 1.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0132746 | 1.33% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00954426 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00950885 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.0088511 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00765519 | 0.77% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00553738 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00522434 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00451707 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00439867 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.0042593 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00378315 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00346903 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00312928 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00265087 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00260944 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00251744 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00251568 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00231756 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.00222663 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00217204 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00214472 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00213631 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00210061 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00198627 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.0019495 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00188692 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00156206 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00144306 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00141979 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00139007 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00137171 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00136793 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00136536 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00134691 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00132461 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00129416 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00129271 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00128475 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00128055 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00125303 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00124311 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.0012359 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00121319 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00118137 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00117946 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00115997 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00110392 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00107976 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0010755 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.0010598 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00105915 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00103502 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00101237 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000973943 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000952748 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000937019 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000924845 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000913111 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000911997 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000908698 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000889018 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000879372 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000876069 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000861188 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000852593 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000849898 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000849866 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000848675 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000838682 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000838227 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000829438 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000824948 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000818685 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00079678 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000793664 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000788438 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000782232 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000780144 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000770944 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000768519 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000748564 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000743694 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000737315 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000728597 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00070894 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000708676 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000704618 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000699685 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0006995 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000695938 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00068916 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000688454 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000679436 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000673853 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000673118 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000671066 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000653868 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000653593 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000651936 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000644568 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00064399 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000639376 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000634415 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00062955 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000626349 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000626124 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000609133 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000603738 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000603618 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000603328 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000600625 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000598142 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00059656 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000590113 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000579133 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00057602 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000569508 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000567119 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000566737 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000556545 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000555623 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000555466 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000555042 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000553309 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000551541 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000548421 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000548001 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000542577 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000541874 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000540325 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000540017 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000535104 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000532453 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000531103 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000530003 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000529842 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000526387 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00052409 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000523906 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000523122 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000517093 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000516843 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000514373 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00051266 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000510692 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00050696 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000505633 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000504455 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000502627 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000497456 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000495149 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000490546 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000486658 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000482184 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000478192 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000478006 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000475758 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000475349 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000473385 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000472136 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000469674 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000464084 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000463978 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000463258 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000456177 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000451826 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000443041 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000441543 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000439925 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000439473 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000437839 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00043573 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000435619 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000432637 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000421683 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000417082 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000416974 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000415712 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000412217 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000406487 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000401494 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000396549 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000395566 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000393129 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000393079 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000390522 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000388688 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000388462 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000388252 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000386097 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000384705 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000384635 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000384602 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000382659 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000382397 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000379617 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000370273 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000369793 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000367405 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000366995 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000364185 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000363505 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000362616 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000362027 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000360674 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000358599 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000355842 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000352668 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000349446 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000347365 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000345065 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000342006 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000338113 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000337909 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000335439 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000333541 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000332728 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000330683 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00033034 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000326102 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000320053 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000313877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000311525 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000310596 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000307877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000306506 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000302498 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000299291 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00029813 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000294131 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000292252 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000290608 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000280076 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000278807 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000262863 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000252625 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000246766 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000236675 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000236524 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000216123 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000208706 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000195583 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000191087 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000180778 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00012194 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000120169 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000107196 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000100201 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 9.93468e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 9.9156e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 9.04337e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 7.1504e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 6.03568e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 6.02206e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 5.10981e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 4.85179e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 4.83942e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 4.69877e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 4.43479e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 4.25545e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 4.25459e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 4.04983e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 3.83869e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 3.47665e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 3.47444e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 2.67135e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 2.1363e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 1.8935e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 1.2953e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 8.87163e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 2.72519e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.98705e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.6579. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.551111 | 55.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0672413 | 6.72% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0507076 | 5.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0463892 | 4.64% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.035747 | 3.57% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0257938 | 2.58% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0210687 | 2.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0159909 | 1.60% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0126618 | 1.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0109802 | 1.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00690172 | 0.69% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0066953 | 0.67% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.0049118 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00490993 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00438912 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00389281 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00357363 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00269179 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00248631 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00248315 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00216815 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00198921 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00192599 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00189774 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00160141 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00158544 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00156234 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00153226 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00151473 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00148104 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00147039 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00146412 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00139726 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00137703 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00135734 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00133992 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00133962 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00126894 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00125361 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00123766 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00116687 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00115797 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00114856 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00114785 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00114014 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00111096 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00111034 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00110402 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00107361 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00106245 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00101497 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00100792 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000984023 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000967044 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000965173 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.0009575 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000936768 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000932293 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00092157 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000918273 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000886916 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000886237 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00085961 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000854026 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000825479 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000790177 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000783755 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000778492 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000770368 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000766581 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000750977 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000747244 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000746727 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000744018 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000724257 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000712812 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000711998 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00071091 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000698181 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000694511 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000693582 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000677361 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000669106 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000650471 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000636637 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000608484 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000606369 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000605147 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000602133 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000594843 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000587428 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000577235 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000573805 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000560018 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000557669 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000556646 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000556395 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000539867 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000537274 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000535794 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000533536 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0005257 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000522492 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000513708 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000511682 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000495731 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000494115 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000481973 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000480631 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000478551 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000474288 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00046473 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000463462 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000462275 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000458725 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000448803 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000444573 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000442379 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00043866 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000434896 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00043488 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000434332 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000431825 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000424478 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000422101 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000420811 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000417035 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000416171 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00041542 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000409955 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000408651 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000404337 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000397028 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000394097 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000391868 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000387318 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0003856 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000381529 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000375042 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000374076 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000363886 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000361003 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000356742 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000352301 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000348561 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000341653 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000340508 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0003398 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000337287 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00033589 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000334345 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00033291 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000327824 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000327278 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000320182 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000317233 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000309532 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000307238 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000302399 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000297712 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000293507 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000292956 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000291976 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000291426 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000289778 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000286343 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000284711 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000283084 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000281584 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0002744 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000263072 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000260326 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000259523 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000256718 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000256012 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000255859 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00025566 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000254524 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000251754 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000248202 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000246303 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000245623 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000243473 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000240455 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000237798 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000237212 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00023351 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000224545 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000221452 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000213373 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000212229 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000210761 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000203985 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000203051 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0002018 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000197764 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000197703 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000193917 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000193624 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000191378 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000190408 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000190253 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00018865 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000182579 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000181392 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000172557 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000171404 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00017105 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00016786 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000161256 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000157938 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000155028 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000154382 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000153657 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000153564 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000152645 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000146972 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000141516 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000141463 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000136672 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000136587 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000135218 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000128722 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000128458 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00012772 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000110747 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00010835 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000107726 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000107438 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000107078 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 9.91995e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 9.65644e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 9.4145e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 9.3971e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 7.93667e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 7.841e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 7.8382e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 7.49413e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 7.42986e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 7.35454e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 6.83611e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 6.77291e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 6.67146e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.50996e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 6.15902e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 5.76892e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 5.57786e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 5.41015e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 5.08537e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 4.97132e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 4.5125e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 4.40624e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 4.16938e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 3.99042e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 3.68449e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 3.11756e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 3.00364e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 2.69586e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 2.33835e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 1.70572e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 1.0128e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 8.80417e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 8.67418e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 3.23724e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 9.17823e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 3.77753e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 1.85732e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 1.24114e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 7.93879e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.7436. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.524788 | 52.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.112448 | 11.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0788053 | 7.88% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.0760264 | 7.60% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0280182 | 2.80% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.0279378 | 2.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.0275304 | 2.75% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0216986 | 2.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.0191 | 1.91% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0150792 | 1.51% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0125196 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00806642 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00798376 | 0.80% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00624646 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00504134 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0043447 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00429113 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.004281 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00402536 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00292512 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00251098 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00222153 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00189362 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00117905 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000740552 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000297545 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 5.87638e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 3.4023e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.7668. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.555913 | 55.59% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.0563209 | 5.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0559055 | 5.59% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.0432765 | 4.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.0408042 | 4.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.0286538 | 2.87% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.0262891 | 2.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.0250471 | 2.50% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.0196707 | 1.97% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0162422 | 1.62% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0141117 | 1.41% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0139339 | 1.39% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0132916 | 1.33% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.0126263 | 1.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0106738 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0104763 | 1.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.0101191 | 1.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.0095012 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00769795 | 0.77% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00759397 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00681902 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00486795 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00292593 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00252414 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00208735 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00162136 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.0010038 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.11078e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 3.37921e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_passing_interceptions`

#### #1 poisson_alpha_0.1 (poisson)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.6654. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.132298 | 4.42% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | -0.0536996 | 1.79% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | -0.0483374 | 1.61% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.0408658 | 1.37% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | -0.0387286 | 1.29% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0325843 | 1.09% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0317358 | 1.06% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0289193 | 0.97% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | -0.0285514 | 0.95% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0265125 | 0.89% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0259877 | 0.87% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.0258995 | 0.87% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0249373 | 0.83% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.0247313 | 0.83% | negative |
| `pregame_position_wr` | -0.0241313 | 0.81% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | -0.0238295 | 0.80% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0237952 | 0.79% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0237952 | 0.79% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0234599 | 0.78% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | -0.0225048 | 0.75% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.0220881 | 0.74% | positive |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.021272 | 0.71% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.020941 | 0.70% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.020941 | 0.70% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0206166 | 0.69% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0206048 | 0.69% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0204919 | 0.68% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0201828 | 0.67% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.0200502 | 0.67% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.019961 | 0.67% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.01989 | 0.66% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0198487 | 0.66% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.0196225 | 0.66% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.019527 | 0.65% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0193893 | 0.65% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0192182 | 0.64% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.0190901 | 0.64% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.0189012 | 0.63% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0184888 | 0.62% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0182725 | 0.61% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0178947 | 0.60% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0178356 | 0.60% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0176978 | 0.59% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0175265 | 0.59% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0175265 | 0.59% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.0174652 | 0.58% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.0173233 | 0.58% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.0171928 | 0.57% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.0170662 | 0.57% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.0166911 | 0.56% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0165677 | 0.55% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0164141 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | -0.0159541 | 0.53% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0158425 | 0.53% | positive |
| `pregame_position_te` | -0.0157567 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0156653 | 0.52% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0156388 | 0.52% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0155034 | 0.52% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.0155 | 0.52% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0154799 | 0.52% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | -0.0152157 | 0.51% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0152026 | 0.51% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.0151911 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0150297 | 0.50% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | -0.0149602 | 0.50% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | -0.0149602 | 0.50% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0148934 | 0.50% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0148723 | 0.50% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0148247 | 0.50% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0147597 | 0.49% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0144627 | 0.48% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.014434 | 0.48% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0141856 | 0.47% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0139552 | 0.47% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0136391 | 0.46% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.013192 | 0.44% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0131787 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0126341 | 0.42% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0126307 | 0.42% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | -0.012542 | 0.42% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.012542 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.0125409 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.0124815 | 0.42% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.012453 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0124452 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0124229 | 0.42% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.0120363 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.0119634 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0119617 | 0.40% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0119141 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.0117654 | 0.39% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0117337 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0115299 | 0.39% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -0.0114117 | 0.38% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.0113966 | 0.38% | positive |
| `rest_days` | 0.0113966 | 0.38% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0112526 | 0.38% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0111628 | 0.37% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0110056 | 0.37% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0110056 | 0.37% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | -0.0108843 | 0.36% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | -0.0107569 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0106488 | 0.36% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0105526 | 0.35% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0103851 | 0.35% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0103847 | 0.35% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0103523 | 0.35% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | -0.0103173 | 0.34% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.0103173 | 0.34% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0102054 | 0.34% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.0101033 | 0.34% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.0099727 | 0.33% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.00990812 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00986645 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00983695 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00974575 | 0.33% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00964665 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00962859 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.0095564 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | -0.00944986 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | -0.00944986 | 0.32% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.00937855 | 0.31% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.00937855 | 0.31% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00925811 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00925811 | 0.31% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00923684 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00920674 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00915057 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00913576 | 0.31% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00897444 | 0.30% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.00897294 | 0.30% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.00893178 | 0.30% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.00890798 | 0.30% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00877571 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00874466 | 0.29% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00857951 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | -0.00847661 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00843568 | 0.28% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00834115 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.00827188 | 0.28% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.00818807 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00809995 | 0.27% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | -0.00809932 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00803913 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00801462 | 0.27% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.00798334 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00796774 | 0.27% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.00760285 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.00759536 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.00759536 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.00751112 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.00750369 | 0.25% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00725513 | 0.24% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00721944 | 0.24% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00721944 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00719915 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00719879 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00718933 | 0.24% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | -0.00712778 | 0.24% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00710542 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00709029 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00696504 | 0.23% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | -0.00692436 | 0.23% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.00687789 | 0.23% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00679466 | 0.23% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00669319 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00669221 | 0.22% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | -0.00669004 | 0.22% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.00665244 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.00664708 | 0.22% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.0066459 | 0.22% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | -0.00660643 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00635342 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00634619 | 0.21% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00634477 | 0.21% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.00623747 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.0061047 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.00597966 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | -0.00597549 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.00591516 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.00584285 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.00583602 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | -0.00579006 | 0.19% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0057685 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | -0.00576621 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.00575909 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | -0.00567469 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00566445 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0056367 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00559302 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00557477 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.00557223 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | -0.00551947 | 0.18% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.00539629 | 0.18% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00539235 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00536612 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.00532873 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00529957 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | -0.00519033 | 0.17% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.00515425 | 0.17% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.00515425 | 0.17% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00506253 | 0.17% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.00503801 | 0.17% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00502887 | 0.17% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00502887 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.00496004 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.004828 | 0.16% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | -0.00482689 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | -0.00482689 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | -0.00472768 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | -0.00472768 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00468811 | 0.16% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00466611 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00451443 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00441449 | 0.15% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.00438822 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0043679 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00425764 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.00408768 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | -0.00407912 | 0.14% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00386082 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00384898 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00384898 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0038007 | 0.13% | negative |
| `is_home` | 0.00378869 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00372016 | 0.12% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.00369979 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00367398 | 0.12% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | -0.00366735 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.00366735 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00366735 | 0.12% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -0.00359297 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.00358617 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | -0.00354061 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | -0.00347809 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0034726 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.00330729 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00312717 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | -0.00308473 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.00295153 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.00294537 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.00294537 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0029324 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.0029115 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.0029115 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00283235 | 0.09% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00278964 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00263488 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.00254943 | 0.09% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.00253137 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00251459 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00250686 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.00249867 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.00244305 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00238846 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00237952 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | -0.00218298 | 0.07% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00218139 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00217236 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00212984 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.00208294 | 0.07% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.00206931 | 0.07% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00204994 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00200368 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0019789 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00193652 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.001846 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.00180856 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | -0.0017313 | 0.06% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00163744 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00153504 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.00147296 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0014484 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00138059 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | -0.00133144 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | -0.00130615 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00125981 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | -0.00120896 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00119022 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00110851 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | -0.00108369 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000953329 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000953329 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000838023 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000831413 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.000813286 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000789317 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00074845 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.000723172 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.000634691 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000597162 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000582501 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.000452983 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000411277 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000274395 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.000165453 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000136965 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000119627 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 2.48487e-05 | 0.00% | positive |

#### #2 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.6666. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.126398 | 1.95% | positive |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.115532 | 1.78% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.0996605 | 1.53% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0927739 | 1.43% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.0823344 | 1.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0785721 | 1.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.074046 | 1.14% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | -0.0687554 | 1.06% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.0683709 | 1.05% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0678309 | 1.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.067747 | 1.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0658657 | 1.01% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.065358 | 1.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.063685 | 0.98% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.063392 | 0.98% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.0622589 | 0.96% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0601669 | 0.93% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0583036 | 0.90% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | -0.0579379 | 0.89% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.0579379 | 0.89% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.0575934 | 0.89% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0552868 | 0.85% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | -0.0519092 | 0.80% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.0517827 | 0.80% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0509241 | 0.78% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0504281 | 0.78% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.0500702 | 0.77% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0495548 | 0.76% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0495234 | 0.76% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0484448 | 0.75% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0477497 | 0.74% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.0467132 | 0.72% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0465858 | 0.72% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.046369 | 0.71% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0459097 | 0.71% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.0447002 | 0.69% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.0446899 | 0.69% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0438159 | 0.67% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0429989 | 0.66% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.042851 | 0.66% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0424559 | 0.65% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0407376 | 0.63% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0402582 | 0.62% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0401684 | 0.62% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.0401541 | 0.62% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0399007 | 0.61% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.0396994 | 0.61% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.0396994 | 0.61% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.039686 | 0.61% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0387617 | 0.60% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0382627 | 0.59% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.037746 | 0.58% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.0374982 | 0.58% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0370488 | 0.57% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0357178 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | -0.0356608 | 0.55% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0355202 | 0.55% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.035145 | 0.54% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | -0.034335 | 0.53% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | -0.0331208 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0329933 | 0.51% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0327266 | 0.50% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.0324433 | 0.50% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.0323379 | 0.50% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0322679 | 0.50% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.0321688 | 0.50% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.0321688 | 0.50% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.031958 | 0.49% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0315709 | 0.49% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.0315014 | 0.49% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0314416 | 0.48% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0313014 | 0.48% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0312272 | 0.48% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0306603 | 0.47% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.030645 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0304653 | 0.47% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0295045 | 0.45% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.0293575 | 0.45% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0291421 | 0.45% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0290536 | 0.45% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.0289871 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.0289407 | 0.45% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0284138 | 0.44% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.0281469 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0277966 | 0.43% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0277681 | 0.43% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0274819 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0273717 | 0.42% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.0273006 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.0271736 | 0.42% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0269469 | 0.41% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | -0.0268967 | 0.41% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | -0.0267948 | 0.41% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0266106 | 0.41% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0265893 | 0.41% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.026423 | 0.41% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.0264182 | 0.41% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0262702 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0262284 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.0261647 | 0.40% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0260372 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0258106 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.0256854 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0255737 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0244583 | 0.38% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.0240943 | 0.37% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.0240314 | 0.37% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.0236854 | 0.36% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0230905 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | -0.0230423 | 0.35% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0229252 | 0.35% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.0225708 | 0.35% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | -0.0224814 | 0.35% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0221129 | 0.34% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0219248 | 0.34% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0217469 | 0.33% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0215744 | 0.33% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.0214704 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | -0.0214317 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0212194 | 0.33% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.0211086 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -0.0208301 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0203735 | 0.31% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0203691 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0202529 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0202295 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | -0.0200459 | 0.31% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0198894 | 0.31% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0198494 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0195855 | 0.30% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.019561 | 0.30% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0193439 | 0.30% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.019311 | 0.30% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0192089 | 0.30% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0190992 | 0.29% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.0187409 | 0.29% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.018438 | 0.28% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0182477 | 0.28% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | -0.018033 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0180152 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | -0.0178746 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0177779 | 0.27% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0174287 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.0170221 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.01694 | 0.26% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.0168457 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0168198 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0167025 | 0.26% | negative |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.0164803 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0162689 | 0.25% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.0162106 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0155974 | 0.24% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.0152382 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.015058 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0149801 | 0.23% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.01474 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.0144929 | 0.22% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.0144488 | 0.22% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0143251 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0140291 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.0138255 | 0.21% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | -0.0136372 | 0.21% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.0135684 | 0.21% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0135166 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0134353 | 0.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -0.0133034 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.0131814 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0129932 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.0129178 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0128 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0128 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0127943 | 0.20% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0127831 | 0.20% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | -0.0126648 | 0.20% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | -0.0126648 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0124637 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0117815 | 0.18% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0117815 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.011744 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0115686 | 0.18% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0113884 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | -0.0113275 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0112327 | 0.17% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0112128 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.0112025 | 0.17% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0110524 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0110257 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0108892 | 0.17% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.010837 | 0.17% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0104383 | 0.16% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.00981618 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.00968668 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.00968668 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00935746 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.00935617 | 0.14% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00918355 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00907668 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00898528 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00896326 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00896326 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00874218 | 0.13% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | -0.0086691 | 0.13% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.00852272 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00839798 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00832094 | 0.13% | positive |
| `is_home` | 0.00830587 | 0.13% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.008134 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.00796176 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.00796176 | 0.12% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00795194 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | -0.00794987 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00759933 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | -0.00752786 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00748497 | 0.12% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.0073197 | 0.11% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.0073197 | 0.11% | negative |
| `rest_days` | 0.00721128 | 0.11% | positive |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00721128 | 0.11% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00709164 | 0.11% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | -0.00681557 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | -0.00681557 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00679086 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00679086 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | -0.00675347 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00668134 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00668134 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00666188 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.00665397 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00663362 | 0.10% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -0.00661073 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.0065347 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00653173 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00653173 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.00651746 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.00640359 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | -0.00635856 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | -0.00627364 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | -0.00622949 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | -0.00622949 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00591646 | 0.09% | negative |
| `pregame_temperature` | -0.00561511 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.00543917 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.00536543 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00501666 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.00499737 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00488869 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.00475032 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | -0.00470459 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00468285 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00468285 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00464591 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00461372 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00457526 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00457266 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00457266 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | -0.00413423 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00401706 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.00396065 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00384902 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.00370599 | 0.06% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.00369721 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00362906 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.00342277 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.00333904 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00333895 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.00330246 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.00311809 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00293057 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.00291532 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00279992 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00279992 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00271432 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00262576 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00261338 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00255558 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00255558 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00255558 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | -0.00246354 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00235391 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0021037 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00196231 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00195178 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.00190514 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00184089 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00184089 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0018302 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | -0.00180771 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.00179601 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.00167046 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.00150816 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00122098 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00114454 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00114454 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.00105921 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.000910932 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000663868 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000652994 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.000582703 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | -0.00019812 | 0.00% | negative |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.6674. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.194122 | 19.41% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0530206 | 5.30% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0256191 | 2.56% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.0125346 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0118322 | 1.18% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0116623 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0101169 | 1.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00929472 | 0.93% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00814258 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00758847 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00700834 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00682436 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00646696 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00572992 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00568651 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00529911 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0052102 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00510893 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00485592 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00472801 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00467208 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00466293 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00463541 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00456274 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00455072 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00448611 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00448168 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.004382 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00421996 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00411375 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00410902 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00409561 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00402137 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00397117 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00388448 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00388008 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00385023 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00381823 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00377998 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00372304 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00371923 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00366451 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00362994 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0036151 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00350984 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00349793 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00348953 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00348458 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00346156 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00343487 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00342687 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00342373 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00340913 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00338152 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00336598 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00336056 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00330345 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00325458 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00321476 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00321432 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00321285 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0032128 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00319994 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00319636 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00318714 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0031816 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00317367 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0031711 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00316547 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00316253 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00311592 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00311111 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00309682 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00309357 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00306675 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00306668 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00305779 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00304533 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00300794 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00300522 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00298491 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0029838 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00297919 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00297671 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00296089 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00295008 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.00293408 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00292709 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00292322 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0029047 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00288828 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00285243 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00282364 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00280328 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00280164 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00279599 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00278113 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00276114 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0027565 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0027381 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00272473 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00270926 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00269011 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00268804 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00267401 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00267309 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00266477 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00266114 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00266057 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00264986 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00263659 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00263211 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00263151 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00261719 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00260252 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0025856 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00257745 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00257375 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00255108 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00254968 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00254848 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0025441 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00253049 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00251491 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00251417 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00250454 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00248731 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00248607 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00248282 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00248265 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00247593 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00247537 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00247146 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00246803 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00246662 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00246443 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00244293 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00244213 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00243356 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00242343 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00241667 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00241343 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00240194 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.002386 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00237959 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00236536 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00234482 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00233898 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00233242 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00233203 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00232757 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00232751 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00232194 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00232084 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00230966 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00230965 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00230798 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00230683 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0023035 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00229458 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00228066 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00228057 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00225995 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00223983 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00223054 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00222729 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00220671 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00219403 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00217362 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00217035 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00215936 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0021526 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00214883 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00214709 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00213739 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00209657 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00207945 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00207526 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00206111 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.00205314 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00204052 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00201699 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00200623 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00200483 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00200311 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00199067 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00198077 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00198014 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00197544 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00190925 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00190523 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00190288 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00190171 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00188211 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00187229 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00186898 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.00186011 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00184466 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00183847 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00182637 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00182239 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00180599 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00175617 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00175566 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00172655 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00171248 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00167466 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00167222 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0016679 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00165758 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00164585 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.0016365 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00161902 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.00158807 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00157714 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00156489 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.0015307 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00152903 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00152762 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00152635 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00152544 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00149169 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00148771 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0014667 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00146596 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.001461 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00143907 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.0014202 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00141705 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00139636 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00138764 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00137581 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00137349 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00136689 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00135304 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00134457 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00133752 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00132992 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00130825 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00130813 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00130733 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.00129677 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129581 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00128565 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.0012743 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00127339 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00127097 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.0012602 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00125142 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00123361 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00120157 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00120154 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00118576 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00115529 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00111287 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00109896 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00102575 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00102111 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00100391 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000996129 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000985574 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000944031 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000908917 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000818082 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000802986 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00079497 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000691328 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000674185 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000588733 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000517318 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000376406 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000349765 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000337991 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.000301511 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00026961 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000225706 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000222553 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000145689 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 8.97056e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 8.96587e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 7.25413e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 5.65363e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.98939e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `pregame`. Validation: MAE 0.6692. Features: 13.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.361001 | 36.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.214401 | 21.44% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.108704 | 10.87% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0674714 | 6.75% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.059696 | 5.97% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0539062 | 5.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0538953 | 5.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.0533332 | 5.33% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.0252839 | 2.53% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00108631 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000689614 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000352832 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.000178984 | 0.02% | unsigned |

### `player_passing_tds`

#### #1 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.0965. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.395002 | 39.50% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.270992 | 27.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0912777 | 9.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0813484 | 8.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0269108 | 2.69% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0167668 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0122592 | 1.23% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0114491 | 1.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00691294 | 0.69% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00583747 | 0.58% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00344493 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.0030604 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00276416 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00168248 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00167476 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00151312 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.0014784 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00117642 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00110912 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00110115 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000944545 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000932236 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000931922 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000908151 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00086414 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0008618 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000852803 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000839438 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000831204 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000774467 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000750786 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000715701 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000704818 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000649608 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000642222 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000619002 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.00060672 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000603443 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00059577 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000592619 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000584964 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000562303 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000540524 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000540005 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000526002 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000523118 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000521907 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000518119 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000504484 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000493234 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000492463 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000486209 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000479274 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00047667 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000475582 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000466368 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000461231 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000460337 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000455796 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000438391 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000422996 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000411703 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000410722 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000407286 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000400411 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000398582 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000398387 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000396707 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000386104 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000383815 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000383117 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000381826 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000378577 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000368416 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000362972 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000356953 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000355709 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000351129 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000350125 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000347958 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000341414 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000339484 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0003385 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000338288 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000335302 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000332096 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000329816 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000329312 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000317695 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000314212 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000310014 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000306648 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000305266 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000303158 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000291643 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000289484 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000286972 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000284506 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000278163 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000277427 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000276863 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000270641 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000268793 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00026808 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000264879 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000264708 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000264559 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0002641 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00026405 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000262603 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000258625 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000258311 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000252941 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000252244 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000247526 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00024723 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000245554 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000240298 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000239947 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000238221 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000233618 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000233595 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000231274 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000230685 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000229459 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000228996 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00022872 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000227066 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000224523 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000224503 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000223808 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000219435 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000217838 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00021177 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000207477 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000207243 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000206566 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000205573 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000204527 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000203535 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000202168 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000202043 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000196375 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000195647 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000193999 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000193159 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000191205 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000189143 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000188619 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000186805 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000185708 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000183563 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000181031 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000180139 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000179838 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000179186 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000178563 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000176335 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000172487 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000168765 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00016492 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000164728 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000161161 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000160747 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000160666 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000159655 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00015753 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000155668 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000154374 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000153256 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000150592 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000149251 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000147917 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000147282 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000145001 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000143434 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00014192 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000139291 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000139286 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000139124 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000138823 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000137085 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000135835 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000133996 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000132581 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000132009 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0001312 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000130212 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000129881 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000129037 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000127692 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000127649 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000126952 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000125613 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000123915 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000123566 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000122826 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000122253 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000120965 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000120002 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000115747 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000115116 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000112983 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000112558 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000112035 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000109962 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000109378 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000106663 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000105693 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 9.87747e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 9.72439e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 9.47747e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 9.46352e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 9.36843e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 9.23973e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 9.14532e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 9.08506e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 9.0268e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 8.9536e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 8.9129e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 8.69508e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 8.68873e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.50148e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 8.42321e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 8.02043e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 7.43552e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 7.35383e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 7.33447e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 7.03468e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 6.97486e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 6.62275e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 6.47423e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 6.27588e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.17727e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 6.11488e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 6.08486e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 6.04585e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 5.96859e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 5.60217e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 5.56934e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 5.07288e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 4.94801e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 4.69069e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 4.57767e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 4.31688e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 4.26234e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 4.15554e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 4.07587e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 4.04335e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 3.98645e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 3.89986e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 3.8412e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 3.61954e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 3.58731e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 2.45168e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 2.30938e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 2.164e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 1.97699e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.83433e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 1.53113e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 1.44279e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 1.20363e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 1.17535e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 1.1378e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 1.10583e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 1.01183e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 9.16626e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 5.47216e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 2.72873e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 1.62008e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 1.56636e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 1.55275e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 5.37397e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 5.12184e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 3.81578e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 7.48639e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 5.90792e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 2.14198e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.0969. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.165632 | 16.56% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.161887 | 16.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.115572 | 11.56% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0810859 | 8.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0646453 | 6.46% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0526502 | 5.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0476272 | 4.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0436807 | 4.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0419015 | 4.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0221231 | 2.21% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0202049 | 2.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0196456 | 1.96% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0181487 | 1.81% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0100477 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00826598 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00607984 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00601785 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00574177 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00554916 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0042703 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00415004 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00401024 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00291773 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0028917 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00270324 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00218487 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00166667 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00155556 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00138415 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00117918 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00116551 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00115843 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000904055 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000890122 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000866087 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000860498 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000767292 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000723391 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000720905 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000687557 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000613894 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000580713 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000574547 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000558627 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000550152 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.0005441 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000539809 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000534519 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000521673 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000487379 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000481654 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000480244 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000479817 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000476735 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000476035 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000469435 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000468499 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000456372 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000453959 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000453068 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000452375 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000448567 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000442975 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000439908 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000434192 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000431125 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000429577 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000426856 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000422691 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000420067 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000415647 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000413542 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00041324 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00041305 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000409419 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000406997 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000404096 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00039783 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00039459 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00039143 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000390919 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000390682 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000388445 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000386914 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00038334 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000379881 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000376846 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000376663 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000376133 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00037529 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000374801 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000374333 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000373915 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000369074 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000364037 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000363718 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00036282 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000362385 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000360549 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000360424 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000359832 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000353899 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000351708 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000351672 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000351334 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000348326 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0003468 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000343921 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000343799 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000341827 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000340035 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000339487 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000338131 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000337138 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000336294 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000335243 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000333044 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000331556 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000331314 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000330239 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000329986 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000323399 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000322855 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00032066 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00031881 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000318276 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000318109 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000317629 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000314911 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000311655 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000311293 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000309007 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000307853 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000304501 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000304007 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000303504 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000301587 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000301283 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000301064 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000297975 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000296267 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000295553 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000292204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000292021 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000291675 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00028877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000287638 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000286804 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00028677 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000284635 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000284299 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00027854 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000278062 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000275436 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000274831 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000273412 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000270791 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000270578 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000270132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000269803 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000269721 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000268806 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000268141 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00026718 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000266763 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000266679 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000264419 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000264157 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000262226 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000261786 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000259856 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000259841 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000257971 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000257108 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000256905 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000256269 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000256171 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00025539 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000250608 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00025042 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000247517 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000246792 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000246754 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000243648 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000241955 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000241655 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000240753 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000239703 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00023924 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000237029 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000236012 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000233424 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000232991 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000232142 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000230641 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000230537 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000228563 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000225703 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000225544 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00022396 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000222192 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000220918 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000219189 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000218087 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00021603 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000212946 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000210494 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000209329 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000209323 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000208099 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000206871 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000206058 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000205411 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000204814 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000203233 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000201784 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00020088 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000200247 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000198319 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0001973 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00019692 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00019674 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000195111 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000193365 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000186754 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000186176 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000185178 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000185164 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000180302 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000180067 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000176133 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000175473 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000175235 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000171923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000168428 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000167914 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00016632 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00015996 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000157317 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000157259 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000157216 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000155837 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000152052 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000150822 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000150298 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000146536 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000145958 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000145297 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000144496 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000143624 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000137723 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000137665 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000131739 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000126348 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000115356 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 9.54522e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 9.00481e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 8.96213e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 8.18664e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 7.80389e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 7.06979e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 5.95594e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 5.56633e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 5.38996e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 5.1472e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 5.08576e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 4.3605e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 4.27854e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 3.7423e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 3.52335e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 3.49476e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 3.38138e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 3.36763e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 2.55361e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 2.49766e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 2.10207e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 1.89144e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 1.66297e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 1.4789e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 1.23061e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 3.89514e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 1.62449e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 1.38966e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 7.54378e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 6.89473e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 6.68686e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 6.37625e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 4.75389e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 2.18683e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 1.95199e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 1.80947e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 1.23554e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 6.6676e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 4.93167e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 4.42262e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 3.71433e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 2.46445e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 2.17698e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 0.0978. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.831429 | 83.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0225709 | 2.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0162665 | 1.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.01539 | 1.54% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0130849 | 1.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0108881 | 1.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00888103 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00749443 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0073516 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00585313 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00567753 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00547576 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00515384 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00506742 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00504653 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00504177 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00501547 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00470828 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00384816 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00334255 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00319372 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00272155 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00218896 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00184427 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00141344 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00101066 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 2.13379e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.65021e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 3.03484e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 0.0979. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.774721 | 77.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.122476 | 12.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.019283 | 1.93% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0179331 | 1.79% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0134146 | 1.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0121722 | 1.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0111453 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00526026 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00266055 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00237064 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00191993 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0018428 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00172083 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00171403 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00161188 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.0015855 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00144298 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0012125 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00119875 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00115928 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00112696 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000589411 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000568784 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000555528 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000291913 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.49181e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 6.66913e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 4.31832e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 3.0708e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_passing_yards`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.5041. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.244882 | 24.49% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.192877 | 19.29% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.112305 | 11.23% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.110854 | 11.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0670871 | 6.71% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0483747 | 4.84% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0451569 | 4.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0414789 | 4.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0242812 | 2.43% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0194272 | 1.94% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0179881 | 1.80% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0123389 | 1.23% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0106787 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0061913 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00336917 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00257193 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00225631 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00161148 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00141355 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.001406 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00112384 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00107187 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.000775124 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000771752 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000770814 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000508689 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00048659 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000437698 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000404384 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000385598 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000383734 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00038117 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000371134 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000357876 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000352553 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000352454 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000347798 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000337195 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000323828 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000319498 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000315571 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000305526 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000295075 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000272899 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000267189 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000255755 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0002536 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000250449 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000249534 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000246197 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000243182 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000227723 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000223386 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000222002 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000216042 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000211996 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.0002097 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000207756 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000206554 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000200771 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00020056 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000195794 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000184939 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000183021 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000182972 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000179987 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000176136 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000170927 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000169805 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000166939 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000165384 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00016084 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000157176 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000152071 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000151058 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000149554 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000145112 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000144096 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000142655 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00014209 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000141591 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000139462 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000137693 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000135943 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000133899 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000133559 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000133172 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000132755 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000129339 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000126922 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000126386 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000125343 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000124163 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000122512 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000121194 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000119545 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000119344 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000118684 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000117666 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000116289 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000116252 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000115186 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000114461 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000114309 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000113212 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000111503 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000111307 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000109324 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000109036 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000108423 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000107377 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000106725 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000106319 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000105679 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000105502 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000105291 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000104718 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000103929 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000103403 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000102365 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00010221 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000102148 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000102039 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000100657 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000100657 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000100393 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 9.93764e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 9.87997e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 9.86665e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 9.84934e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 9.83033e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 9.79112e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 9.74292e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 9.53832e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 9.50912e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 9.41493e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 9.34916e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 9.26347e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 9.14642e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 9.1346e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 9.05733e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 9.04236e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 9.02126e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 9.01494e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 9.00898e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 9.00166e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 8.96109e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 8.91683e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 8.90976e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 8.83458e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 8.74245e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 8.67209e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 8.66863e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 8.64033e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 8.63847e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 8.61918e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 8.60137e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 8.5367e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 8.5266e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 8.48452e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 8.40903e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 8.3695e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 8.36843e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 8.33824e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 8.22932e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 8.21609e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.20703e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 8.19812e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 8.05174e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 7.95629e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 7.95406e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 7.92712e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 7.92567e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 7.87733e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 7.85528e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 7.85068e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 7.83435e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 7.82352e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 7.80505e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 7.69379e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 7.69355e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 7.66976e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 7.64489e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 7.52605e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 7.43051e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 7.39505e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 7.35526e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 7.34199e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 7.0859e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 7.07003e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 7.00844e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.98281e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 6.92057e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 6.87175e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 6.86465e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 6.83535e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 6.82658e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 6.7655e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 6.76368e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 6.72221e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 6.6928e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 6.65183e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 6.53894e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 6.5324e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 6.49257e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 6.47983e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 6.45611e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 6.35094e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 6.34405e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 6.29967e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 6.25567e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 6.23478e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 6.21342e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 6.16853e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 6.14541e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 6.11062e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.10339e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 6.05979e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 6.04234e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 6.01805e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 6.00305e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 5.96873e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 5.87586e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 5.83532e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 5.80357e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 5.77872e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 5.72249e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 5.6997e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 5.68681e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 5.64528e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 5.53634e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 5.46847e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 5.38604e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 5.38375e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 5.27715e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 5.27475e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 5.27054e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 5.25655e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 5.21729e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 5.17817e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 5.02796e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 5.02307e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 4.94283e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 4.79759e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 4.7569e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 4.61844e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 4.55584e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 4.39083e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 4.30404e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 4.2901e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 4.22217e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 4.0715e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 4.0686e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 3.95274e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 3.94017e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 3.76648e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 3.6932e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 3.6572e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 3.64015e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 3.02301e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 2.85104e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 2.58524e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 2.40159e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 2.37082e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 2.35411e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 2.13725e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 1.79898e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 1.704e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 1.44876e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 1.10802e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 1.10185e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 1.04585e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 1.03773e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 9.12594e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 8.87011e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 6.77017e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 6.33207e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 5.38008e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 5.10359e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 4.13874e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.11266e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 4.65104e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 2.08992e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 1.44644e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 8.12001e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 4.53237e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 4.48299e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 4.28316e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 3.71127e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 3.10822e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 2.86968e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 1.37238e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 1.26264e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 4.87506e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 4.0403e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 3.05498e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 7.71583e-10 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 5.88457e-12 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 5.24073e-12 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.5059. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.919351 | 91.94% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.024205 | 2.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0150824 | 1.51% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00759319 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00618103 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00524241 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00469493 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00318809 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00156441 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00150758 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00147038 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00144178 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0012603 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00119621 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00111614 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000750972 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000698258 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000674382 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000611224 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000566504 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000540473 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000405551 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000356652 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000221155 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 7.09298e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 6.93824e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.159e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 8.08286e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 8.71361e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.5124. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.258758 | 25.88% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.187149 | 18.71% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.173049 | 17.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.163832 | 16.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.107487 | 10.75% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0391606 | 3.92% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0195762 | 1.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0170424 | 1.70% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00495297 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00362007 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00320243 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00232791 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00218314 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00212697 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00209548 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0019002 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00186487 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00177125 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00174094 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00162098 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00153544 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00140114 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000476041 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000461315 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000427564 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000207708 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 2.39717e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 4.1416e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 1.58769e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.5269. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.676241 | 67.62% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.242495 | 24.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0213546 | 2.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0209752 | 2.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00395791 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00327102 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00283761 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00137382 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00126001 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00119334 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.0011506 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000981178 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000950837 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0005928 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000519015 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000464927 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000445367 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000371724 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000351156 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0003428 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000336128 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000306851 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000288521 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00028729 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000269646 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000256987 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000255479 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000244673 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000243271 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000243162 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000242738 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000240897 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000238302 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000217135 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000213938 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000208048 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000201804 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000199628 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000187921 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000186296 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000184821 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000181985 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000179661 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000170878 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000165233 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000162851 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0001605 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000158728 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000158099 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000157708 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000153468 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000148826 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000145415 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000145086 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000145046 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000144596 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000139198 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00013819 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000135287 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00013458 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000127581 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000126597 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000125765 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00012515 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000124413 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000122069 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000121408 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000120383 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000116714 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00011564 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000115578 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000113892 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000113215 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000111208 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000108257 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000107941 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000107545 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000106829 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000105892 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000103241 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000102845 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000102315 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000101914 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000101903 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000101528 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000101011 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000100465 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 9.8776e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 9.78347e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 9.48433e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 9.46798e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 9.43426e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 9.326e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 9.29692e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 9.24887e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 8.93518e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 8.77479e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 8.64328e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 8.53458e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 8.53273e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 8.47011e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 8.39838e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 8.37322e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 8.31643e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 8.28629e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 8.22183e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 8.02656e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 7.98255e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 7.94708e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 7.78462e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 7.7092e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 7.61391e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 7.58789e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 7.5865e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 7.51118e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 7.32594e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 7.28424e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 7.2831e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 7.24648e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 7.24362e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 7.20799e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 7.14253e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 7.01669e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 6.9888e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 6.94351e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 6.94141e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 6.88725e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 6.83497e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 6.69058e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 6.60689e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 6.55109e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 6.52584e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 6.49499e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 6.44024e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 6.34428e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 6.34379e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 6.30667e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 6.22423e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 6.1568e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 6.14075e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 6.12942e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 6.09691e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 6.06456e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 6.03338e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 5.87543e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 5.87036e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 5.78822e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 5.69608e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 5.64931e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 5.47354e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 5.29067e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 5.28928e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 5.28392e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 5.1797e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 5.17421e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 5.11839e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 5.10054e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 5.07365e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 5.04653e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 5.02389e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 5.01347e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 4.98875e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 4.95356e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 4.85915e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 4.85653e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 4.73724e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 4.72594e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 4.70342e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 4.64072e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 4.54833e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 4.39994e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 4.38685e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 4.32871e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 4.30566e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 4.11634e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 4.11554e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 3.99141e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 3.95074e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 3.93278e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 3.93228e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 3.89894e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 3.88696e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 3.82658e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 3.64379e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 3.61859e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 3.51314e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 3.51176e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 3.49474e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 3.49044e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.41793e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 3.4126e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 3.3658e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 3.21469e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 3.20533e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.19149e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 3.15841e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 3.14879e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 3.10541e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 3.0297e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 3.02477e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 3.01579e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 2.96433e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 2.95362e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.9288e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 2.8963e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 2.87116e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 2.86235e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 2.78043e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 2.76159e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 2.73e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 2.72714e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 2.67006e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 2.66422e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 2.61439e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 2.53754e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 2.50242e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 2.46197e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 2.38354e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 2.3139e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 2.27967e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 2.22108e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 2.218e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 2.21513e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 2.1865e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 2.17458e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 2.13618e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 2.10427e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 1.95784e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 1.91507e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 1.88133e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 1.87334e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 1.84689e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 1.80968e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 1.78368e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 1.73304e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 1.70774e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 1.60406e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 1.60088e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 1.58381e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 1.37902e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.33019e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 1.32229e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 1.26408e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 1.2489e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 1.20907e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.19496e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 1.06732e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 9.71767e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 6.86261e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 6.77001e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 6.63698e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.36586e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 6.24283e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 6.03617e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 6.00029e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 5.55623e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 5.39177e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 5.28543e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 5.28435e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 3.53103e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 3.479e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 2.40416e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 1.07759e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 9.57629e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 9.01156e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 8.56412e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 8.34246e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 5.38294e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 4.44465e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 4.1721e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 2.96286e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 2.03712e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 1.99112e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 1.30003e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 9.4857e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 7.20186e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 3.83059e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 3.6726e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 1.424e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 1.30714e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 1.20642e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 1.2009e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 3.2887e-09 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_receiving_tds`

#### #1 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2184. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.559623 | 55.96% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0970718 | 9.71% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0188485 | 1.88% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0139824 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.0136069 | 1.36% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0128124 | 1.28% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.0100641 | 1.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00618247 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00600545 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00517486 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0044871 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00445789 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00443215 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00425601 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00402569 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00397838 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00388841 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00373894 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00369283 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.00357865 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00334288 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00321466 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00303981 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00303892 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00294526 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00293375 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00289289 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00288291 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00279868 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00274281 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00256352 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00244226 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00242137 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00240116 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00239205 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00238606 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00230277 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00228813 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00227584 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00221898 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00215293 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00213895 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00211047 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00209881 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0020499 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00202905 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00198918 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00190604 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00185383 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00185043 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00184714 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0017926 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00170968 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00168773 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.0016832 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00162974 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00162939 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00162929 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00161559 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0015366 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00151596 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00150677 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00149885 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00149812 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00148129 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00147986 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00145261 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00143538 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00142055 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0014154 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00139257 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00138483 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00127611 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00123324 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00121998 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00120429 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00118546 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00117053 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00116603 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00115554 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00114307 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00114181 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00112563 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.001125 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00111494 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0011018 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00109541 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00109026 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00108722 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0010757 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00107181 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00106168 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00105351 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00105211 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00105116 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00104687 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00103527 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00102186 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00101626 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00101021 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000979205 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000977697 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000977365 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000973013 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000960844 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000955054 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000945656 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000940078 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000937486 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000936299 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000935115 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00093155 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000918376 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000888407 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000875776 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000873991 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000860004 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000857553 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000850967 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000844419 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000840482 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000838784 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000831606 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000816231 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.0008151 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000809245 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000793998 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00078475 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000780875 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000756623 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000753881 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000741186 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000730754 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000720642 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000717186 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000714385 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000684004 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000682895 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000677125 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000675741 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000671873 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000669569 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000660054 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000648572 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000640604 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00064033 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000633029 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000627323 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000615721 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000613293 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000612948 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000603236 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000591269 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000587703 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000587175 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000571016 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000570675 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000542575 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000535938 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000516969 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000515464 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000514275 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000511442 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000507636 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000506484 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000496083 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000494913 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000491716 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000487017 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000486521 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000484095 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000475222 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000467623 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000464631 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000461982 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000461149 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000457276 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000457003 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000450202 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000438964 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000437606 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000428321 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000421504 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000420408 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000415945 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000409309 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000396381 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000394524 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00038482 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000380479 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000380211 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000379853 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000376953 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000368209 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00036696 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000362051 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000355672 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000349132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000337678 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000336631 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000335952 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000327873 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000326835 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000326619 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000314773 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000313524 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000308768 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000305544 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00030294 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000296824 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000296485 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.000290948 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000280165 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000278379 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00027422 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000274171 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.000274145 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000267565 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000266809 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000265529 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000262737 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000257942 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000241373 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000231857 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000230332 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000229777 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000229023 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000228549 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000226309 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000219841 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000219377 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000218518 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000218281 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000212755 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000205893 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000205183 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0.000194603 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000192749 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000191272 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000186642 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000182391 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000180062 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000180035 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00016777 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000160822 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000159675 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000144036 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000139918 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000133576 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000133243 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000125846 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000121797 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000104454 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 9.68535e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 9.675e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 9.2944e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 8.39767e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 8.35387e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 8.34712e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 7.87916e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 7.85457e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 7.67425e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 7.58799e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 7.44579e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 7.37987e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 7.36861e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 7.22045e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 5.60337e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 5.22442e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 4.90366e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 4.46653e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 4.12103e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 3.5909e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 3.39261e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.34705e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 2.92042e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.9202e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 2.46911e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 2.16072e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 1.89483e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.41236e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 1.33852e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 1.15151e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 1.07031e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 7.89967e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 7.10315e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 6.63622e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 3.82096e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 1.99594e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 1.25287e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2186. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.109223 | 10.92% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.098784 | 9.88% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0808978 | 8.09% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.0764208 | 7.64% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0603154 | 6.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0464384 | 4.64% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0461227 | 4.61% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.0320861 | 3.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0319622 | 3.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0232444 | 2.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0209832 | 2.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.0197015 | 1.97% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0126316 | 1.26% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00996664 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00975508 | 0.98% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00867521 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00753399 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00749772 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00688853 | 0.69% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00589773 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00518657 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00489902 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.0044185 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00413869 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00382341 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00379082 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00371423 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00368153 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00350637 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00301154 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00259072 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00240068 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00233834 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00229186 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00224986 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00224838 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00219612 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00212152 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00210517 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00208986 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00206467 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00201275 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00198653 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00194227 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00188284 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00186855 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00185805 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00173234 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00171691 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00170753 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00167291 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00167238 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00165197 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00162475 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00161695 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00160319 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00159579 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00158891 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00158562 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00157445 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00157249 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00156268 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00155762 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00154737 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00153987 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00153178 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00153067 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0015256 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00151433 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00149696 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00148283 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00147667 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00144574 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00144528 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00144444 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00144232 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00141458 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00139938 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00138285 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00137616 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00136774 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00136494 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00134403 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00133237 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00132074 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00131834 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00131808 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00130196 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00129204 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00128807 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00128054 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00127084 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00126604 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00124695 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00122909 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00122438 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00122246 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00122109 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00119972 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00119419 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00118585 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00118074 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00117983 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00117956 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00117646 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00116888 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00116472 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00116079 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00115334 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00115258 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00113891 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00113769 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00113213 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00112397 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00110989 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00110404 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00110377 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00110275 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00109332 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00109234 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00109181 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00108939 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00108491 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00107649 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00107297 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00106858 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00106734 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00106565 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00106555 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.0010645 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00106342 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00106053 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.0010581 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.0010579 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00105273 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00105225 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00105219 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00105008 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00104816 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00104757 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00104567 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00103323 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00102893 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00102614 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00102161 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00101578 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00100511 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00100434 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00100348 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00100338 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00100094 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000999735 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000990073 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000982095 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000978986 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000978516 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000971357 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000970824 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000956387 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000955795 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000955225 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000954491 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00095225 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000951354 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000947984 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000938006 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000927279 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000921163 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000919531 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000915176 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0009082 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000906954 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000905632 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000905023 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00090216 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000898113 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00089767 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000895307 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000893448 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000893005 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000890282 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000890048 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000886654 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000886586 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000885378 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000877244 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000872981 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000870969 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000868559 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000859713 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000858099 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000850899 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00084926 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000843093 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000842344 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000841275 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000833839 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000824068 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000813528 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000809307 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000800182 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000780564 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000776684 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00077101 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000762945 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000747777 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000719997 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000719265 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000712683 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000710066 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000710042 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000701488 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000697917 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000693878 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000689677 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000686499 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000679068 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000663651 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000659708 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000659684 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000634761 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000631437 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000631043 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000628762 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000591087 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000585418 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000577046 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000573275 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000560276 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000549584 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000527659 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000524966 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000481033 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000460895 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000422645 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000418432 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000405053 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000397386 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000381308 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000377051 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000362972 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000351306 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000343554 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000336649 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000330111 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000293015 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000270501 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000267341 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.000256654 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000224041 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0002202 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000214923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0002032 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000201855 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000188585 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000155046 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.000149444 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00013827 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000137969 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000137803 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000137216 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000128615 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.000123542 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000119945 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00011431 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000113222 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000110882 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000110429 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000108288 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0.000101508 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 9.87254e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 9.7335e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 9.50434e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 9.40735e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 9.3763e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 9.25323e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 9.09416e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 8.68863e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 8.29985e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 7.16709e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 6.84385e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 6.58936e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 6.02223e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 5.61535e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 5.13144e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 4.9854e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 4.66608e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 4.50096e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 4.20748e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 3.73427e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 3.61008e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 3.46442e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 2.7477e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 2.6791e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 2.63816e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.8049e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 1.03546e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 7.86895e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 3.65966e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2193. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.050693 | 1.84% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0484879 | 1.76% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.0457456 | 1.66% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0442537 | 1.61% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0426273 | 1.55% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0414892 | 1.51% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.0404604 | 1.47% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0379268 | 1.38% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0341856 | 1.24% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.0331811 | 1.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0325782 | 1.18% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0291106 | 1.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0285221 | 1.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0267667 | 0.97% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0267605 | 0.97% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -0.0267402 | 0.97% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0266223 | 0.97% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.0251567 | 0.91% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0250843 | 0.91% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0250665 | 0.91% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0247295 | 0.90% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0243201 | 0.88% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0240885 | 0.88% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0240334 | 0.87% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0229871 | 0.84% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.0228406 | 0.83% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0224898 | 0.82% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0213654 | 0.78% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.021212 | 0.77% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0205469 | 0.75% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0203942 | 0.74% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0203425 | 0.74% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | -0.0200328 | 0.73% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0199482 | 0.73% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.0195577 | 0.71% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0195412 | 0.71% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0192792 | 0.70% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.019221 | 0.70% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0187211 | 0.68% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0184218 | 0.67% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | -0.018237 | 0.66% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.0182121 | 0.66% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0181912 | 0.66% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0181045 | 0.66% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0178469 | 0.65% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0174995 | 0.64% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0174995 | 0.64% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0173122 | 0.63% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0167385 | 0.61% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0165821 | 0.60% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.0165067 | 0.60% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.0165067 | 0.60% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.0159075 | 0.58% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0157366 | 0.57% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0151108 | 0.55% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.01498 | 0.54% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0149279 | 0.54% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0149157 | 0.54% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0146822 | 0.53% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.014561 | 0.53% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0145428 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.0142115 | 0.52% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0142058 | 0.52% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.0135805 | 0.49% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | -0.0134291 | 0.49% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0133886 | 0.49% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0133248 | 0.48% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.0132775 | 0.48% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0130901 | 0.48% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.013075 | 0.48% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0129952 | 0.47% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0128062 | 0.47% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0128062 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.0127717 | 0.46% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | -0.0126305 | 0.46% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0124785 | 0.45% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.0123969 | 0.45% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.012389 | 0.45% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.0122771 | 0.45% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.0122459 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.0119827 | 0.44% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.0118604 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.0117225 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.011541 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.0111497 | 0.41% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.011083 | 0.40% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0110578 | 0.40% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.010998 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.0109506 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.0108656 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0107389 | 0.39% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0107336 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.0106947 | 0.39% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.0106537 | 0.39% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0104975 | 0.38% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0103362 | 0.38% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.0103131 | 0.37% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0103124 | 0.37% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00996553 | 0.36% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00996449 | 0.36% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0099595 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00966317 | 0.35% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00964975 | 0.35% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00964646 | 0.35% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00964646 | 0.35% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | -0.00953359 | 0.35% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00936605 | 0.34% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.00934162 | 0.34% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.00926535 | 0.34% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.00926535 | 0.34% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.00924984 | 0.34% | negative |
| `pregame_position_qb` | -0.00905709 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | -0.00905361 | 0.33% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.00903204 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00899219 | 0.33% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.00893657 | 0.32% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00892391 | 0.32% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00867428 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.00863167 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.00855567 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0084876 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00841857 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.00830892 | 0.30% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00830245 | 0.30% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00824604 | 0.30% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.00823096 | 0.30% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.00811252 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00794264 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.00788041 | 0.29% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.00786451 | 0.29% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0077873 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | -0.00771072 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00751353 | 0.27% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00747712 | 0.27% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00746229 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | -0.00735676 | 0.27% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.00729993 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.00726559 | 0.26% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.00725237 | 0.26% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.00721915 | 0.26% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.00690134 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.0068385 | 0.25% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0068385 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00663613 | 0.24% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.00641526 | 0.23% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00622521 | 0.23% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.00621062 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00621042 | 0.23% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.0061814 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.00615547 | 0.22% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0061478 | 0.22% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00602939 | 0.22% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00589408 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0058387 | 0.21% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.00583327 | 0.21% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0058185 | 0.21% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0058185 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | -0.00569162 | 0.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.00566448 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00549783 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.00548751 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.00540899 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00524946 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0052015 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0052015 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00517332 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00513324 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00513011 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00510538 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00506826 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00492996 | 0.18% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.00489552 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.00486013 | 0.18% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.00478393 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00476443 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.00475928 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | -0.00469347 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | -0.00469347 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.00466425 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.004341 | 0.16% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00431121 | 0.16% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00431121 | 0.16% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00424739 | 0.15% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00416492 | 0.15% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00416492 | 0.15% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.00414347 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00409364 | 0.15% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -0.00405429 | 0.15% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00401302 | 0.15% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00396148 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0039559 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00394598 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00387393 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00385055 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00376179 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00375736 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00375407 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.00369451 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00368553 | 0.13% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00367678 | 0.13% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00367678 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00359999 | 0.13% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.00355414 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00355305 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.00354154 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00347164 | 0.13% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00345489 | 0.13% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00345489 | 0.13% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00332314 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.0033089 | 0.12% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00321319 | 0.12% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.00317553 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | -0.0030278 | 0.11% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00301563 | 0.11% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00298942 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00293235 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.00289457 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00283145 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.0028199 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00275826 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00274886 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00274886 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00274783 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00266973 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.0026419 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.00264057 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.00262032 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00260088 | 0.09% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00259693 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00257695 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00256718 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.00252487 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00238678 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00230745 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.00227449 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00227388 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00226813 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00215734 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00215571 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00213936 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00213936 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00212936 | 0.08% | positive |
| `rest_days` | -0.00212606 | 0.08% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.00212606 | 0.08% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.00211701 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00209778 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00208796 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00207597 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.00205361 | 0.07% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00202769 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00194413 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00191204 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00190625 | 0.07% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00186782 | 0.07% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00171479 | 0.06% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00166727 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00163209 | 0.06% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.00161838 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.00159241 | 0.06% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00153561 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | -0.00153143 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00148536 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00145112 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00139448 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00136406 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0013618 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | -0.00134001 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00133075 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00127752 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.00120062 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00116748 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00116748 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000979858 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000979858 | 0.04% | positive |
| `is_home` | -0.000942356 | 0.03% | negative |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00086454 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000836535 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.000832661 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.000794392 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.000743821 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | -0.000695016 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | -0.000686258 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.000665103 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.0006516 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.0006516 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.00065074 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.000581052 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000492999 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.000436966 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.000436966 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000433144 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.000426586 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.000426586 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000338647 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.000329791 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000292884 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000193437 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 5.94178e-05 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 2.47237e-05 | 0.00% | positive |

#### #4 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2202. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

### `player_receiving_yards`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 19.0811. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.153555 | 15.36% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.132813 | 13.28% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.104049 | 10.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0890144 | 8.90% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.082002 | 8.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0749538 | 7.50% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0477755 | 4.78% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.037388 | 3.74% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.0367354 | 3.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0242059 | 2.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0150078 | 1.50% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0145124 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.014496 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.0144534 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0121801 | 1.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.0118192 | 1.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.0111279 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00875609 | 0.88% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00549083 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00425086 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00351068 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0032866 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00318068 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00284188 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00168723 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00150652 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.0012111 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0011365 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00110549 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000976231 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000952717 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000935298 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000915141 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.0008847 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00086073 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000824168 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000815718 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00079456 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000772468 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000742526 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000722451 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000702057 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000700983 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000699306 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00068216 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00068144 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000648263 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00064477 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000636401 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000633434 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000623063 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.0006061 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000603835 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000602857 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000600946 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000591304 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000581902 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000568457 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00055737 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000553838 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000552834 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000546992 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000543136 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000537513 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000533426 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000529988 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000523397 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000521578 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000521272 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000513929 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000513096 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00050841 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000503788 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000501224 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000501 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000496942 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00049294 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000492933 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000488001 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0004859 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000479463 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000478692 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000473716 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00046788 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000466822 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000465653 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000465482 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000463687 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000462936 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000460186 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000459952 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000459464 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000458482 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000458434 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000452594 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000442861 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000442712 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00044127 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000438056 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000435018 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000425573 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00042528 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000424402 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000423507 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000423305 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000420181 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000413652 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000404687 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00040399 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000403779 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000402724 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000400868 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000400691 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000399094 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000398362 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00039831 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000396208 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000392391 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000392287 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000389566 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000389253 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000389088 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000388839 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000385866 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000384626 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000384367 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000379806 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000378126 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000377478 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000376747 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000376242 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000374124 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000374044 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000372382 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000372271 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000370166 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000364227 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000359555 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00035684 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000353413 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00035109 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000349295 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000345239 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000343313 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000338409 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000338171 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000336986 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000335722 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000335146 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000330571 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000328506 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00032669 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000323155 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000323092 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000321797 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000318701 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000314493 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000313335 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000309787 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000303589 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000303392 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000300244 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000299393 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000298141 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000295931 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000295145 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000295041 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000293946 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000290193 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000289139 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000287132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000286914 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000282716 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000281742 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000280744 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000278377 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000277552 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000277469 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000276564 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00027635 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000275258 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000274618 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000274499 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000273555 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000273478 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000272591 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000272582 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000272349 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000271772 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000270045 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00026817 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000266877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000265132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000263504 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000262171 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000260055 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000259425 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000255897 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000255185 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000250623 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000247329 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.000246001 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000245824 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00024492 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000242897 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000241582 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000241021 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00024088 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000238477 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000237868 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000236928 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000235614 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000234728 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000231738 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000229855 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00022685 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000225562 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000224733 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000224679 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000224145 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000223115 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000222541 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000220522 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000219 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000213167 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000211574 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000209534 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000209013 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000208264 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000206311 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000206187 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000205073 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000201284 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000197169 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000191736 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000186396 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000181111 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000177298 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00016989 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000165546 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000159157 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000153174 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000142719 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000140447 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000135914 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00011935 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000106108 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 9.63294e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 8.39437e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 7.97973e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 7.80273e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 7.24582e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 6.84115e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 6.41605e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 6.27701e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 6.20547e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 5.18097e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 4.80421e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 4.7343e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 4.66941e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 4.48279e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 4.40616e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 3.83836e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 3.22643e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 2.97959e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 2.28162e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 2.27596e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 2.26718e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 2.13148e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 2.05283e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 2.00082e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 1.93082e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 1.86507e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 1.82204e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 1.39663e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 8.96606e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 8.72974e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 8.52448e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 7.81508e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 7.71457e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 3.95658e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 3.04559e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 2.48086e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 1.94391e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 1.67642e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.66864e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 8.66358e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 7.82434e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 4.50563e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 2.72711e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 19.1004. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.774619 | 77.46% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0772747 | 7.73% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0195377 | 1.95% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.0169605 | 1.70% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00905336 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00762856 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.00705908 | 0.71% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.0036683 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00329934 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00175455 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00164823 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00157265 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00155856 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00149772 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00141563 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00118857 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00114338 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00107048 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00106343 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00102842 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000994275 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000981367 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000959539 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000935493 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000906989 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00088837 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000872608 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000864765 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000852269 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000830759 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000827294 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000815368 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000811973 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000747732 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000693248 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000691134 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000685694 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000682149 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000681267 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000671455 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000668062 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000653866 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000635291 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000608219 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000601829 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000600432 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000596175 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00059617 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000585027 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000573901 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000566464 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000560239 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000556489 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000553542 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000537067 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000536901 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000522635 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000512919 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000510506 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000509192 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000507683 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000504155 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000493895 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000491415 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000485036 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000481539 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000481358 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000474846 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000472685 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000468228 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000467642 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000457797 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000456599 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000448726 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00044518 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000441381 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000422881 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000415959 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000406652 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000403712 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000401791 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000401522 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00040074 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000398225 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000397124 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000395513 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000395103 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000387514 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000386029 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000374285 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000367444 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000364762 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00036291 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000358808 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00035064 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000341536 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000335403 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000335398 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000333101 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000331755 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000323076 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000322777 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000322262 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00032049 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000316073 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000316012 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000312177 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0003076 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000306041 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000302714 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000299476 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000289398 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000279829 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000278605 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000278102 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000277686 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000277643 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000267855 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000267397 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000263888 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000262295 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000262264 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000250823 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000249305 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000244532 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000244165 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000241137 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000240792 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000240153 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000238983 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000236958 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000235438 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000232887 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000231129 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000230754 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000230606 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000229311 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000227794 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000223018 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000219482 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00021745 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000213934 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000213042 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00020825 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000193356 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000189346 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000188981 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00018874 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000183745 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000182568 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000181612 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00018154 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000173318 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000166595 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00016397 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000163554 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000162369 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000160729 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000159747 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000157209 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000151476 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000149878 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000148645 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000147357 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000145131 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000142286 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000142251 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000140156 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000139774 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000134276 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00013205 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000130178 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000129572 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000129199 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000125929 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000124085 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000122669 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00012261 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000118119 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00011666 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000115971 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00011565 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000112588 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000111189 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000109777 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000108463 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000107147 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00010649 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000105303 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000104503 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000100247 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 9.98979e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 9.86102e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 9.79937e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 9.74263e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 9.33952e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 9.28212e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 9.22717e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 9.15249e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 9.03858e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 8.88411e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 8.72255e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 8.58077e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 8.55475e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 8.05192e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 8.04515e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.01869e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 8.01507e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 7.96206e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 6.8561e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 6.42073e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 6.41179e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 6.15168e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 6.05781e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 6.04972e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 5.79469e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 5.51626e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 5.28063e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 4.95239e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 4.85837e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 4.51053e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 4.37727e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 4.30083e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 4.12259e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 4.03287e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 3.88693e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 3.39438e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 3.28118e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 3.23176e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 3.1886e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 3.05019e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 2.99156e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 2.97321e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 2.9504e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 2.77475e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 2.68087e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 2.43454e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 2.43225e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 2.41435e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 2.29107e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 2.28635e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 2.28569e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 2.21267e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 2.14281e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 2.03051e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 1.85362e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 1.80255e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 1.66195e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 1.65607e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 1.58476e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 1.30824e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 1.24337e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 1.13227e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 1.0174e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 8.59452e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 8.40914e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 7.5359e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 6.79017e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 6.42189e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 4.9937e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 4.58475e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 1.29265e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 7.03353e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 5.59673e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 4.34137e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 19.1446. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

#### #4 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 19.1934. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 6.87295 | 2.31% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 6.62523 | 2.23% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 4.75423 | 1.60% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 4.71625 | 1.59% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 4.18534 | 1.41% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 4.15508 | 1.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 4.12154 | 1.39% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -3.99654 | 1.34% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -3.92863 | 1.32% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -3.84852 | 1.29% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 3.72176 | 1.25% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 3.64748 | 1.23% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 3.51328 | 1.18% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 3.50882 | 1.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.50131 | 1.18% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 3.39877 | 1.14% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 3.28136 | 1.10% | positive |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 3.16901 | 1.07% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 3.07108 | 1.03% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -3.02785 | 1.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -2.75394 | 0.93% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -2.75394 | 0.93% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -2.74318 | 0.92% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -2.73629 | 0.92% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -2.61124 | 0.88% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 2.33162 | 0.78% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -2.31593 | 0.78% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -2.31593 | 0.78% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -2.31498 | 0.78% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 2.27095 | 0.76% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -2.25891 | 0.76% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.18881 | 0.74% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 2.18614 | 0.74% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -2.14655 | 0.72% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 2.13429 | 0.72% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 2.1225 | 0.71% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 2.12022 | 0.71% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 2.09328 | 0.70% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -2.04314 | 0.69% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -2.02675 | 0.68% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -1.96006 | 0.66% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -1.93095 | 0.65% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -1.93095 | 0.65% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -1.93028 | 0.65% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | -1.91013 | 0.64% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | -1.90885 | 0.64% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | -1.90885 | 0.64% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -1.83754 | 0.62% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -1.83754 | 0.62% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -1.81075 | 0.61% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -1.77822 | 0.60% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 1.75716 | 0.59% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.73549 | 0.58% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 1.72726 | 0.58% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -1.71483 | 0.58% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 1.68202 | 0.57% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -1.67422 | 0.56% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -1.67274 | 0.56% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | -1.54466 | 0.52% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | 1.54105 | 0.52% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -1.53871 | 0.52% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 1.50083 | 0.50% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 1.4827 | 0.50% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 1.45751 | 0.49% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -1.45738 | 0.49% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 1.41132 | 0.47% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | -1.40594 | 0.47% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -1.38372 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 1.34931 | 0.45% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -1.33171 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | -1.32153 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | -1.3173 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | -1.3173 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -1.31136 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 1.31046 | 0.44% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -1.3071 | 0.44% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.30331 | 0.44% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | -1.29941 | 0.44% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | -1.29941 | 0.44% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 1.29878 | 0.44% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 1.28401 | 0.43% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -1.28163 | 0.43% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 1.27006 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 1.25527 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -1.2509 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 1.24131 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 1.23423 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 1.22799 | 0.41% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -1.22711 | 0.41% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 1.2085 | 0.41% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 1.20297 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -1.1095 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -1.10583 | 0.37% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -1.09788 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -1.09125 | 0.37% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -1.09077 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 1.08596 | 0.37% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | -1.08467 | 0.36% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -1.07435 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 1.07383 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -1.07339 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 1.06058 | 0.36% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -1.0601 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -1.03 | 0.35% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.995034 | 0.33% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.987716 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.950058 | 0.32% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.9259 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.918625 | 0.31% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.917122 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.91382 | 0.31% | negative |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.899745 | 0.30% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.897794 | 0.30% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.89679 | 0.30% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.881564 | 0.30% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.876407 | 0.29% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.875759 | 0.29% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.866358 | 0.29% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.85635 | 0.29% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.851323 | 0.29% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.835855 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.831043 | 0.28% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.820133 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.807047 | 0.27% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.801125 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.798329 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.797433 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.793238 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.791932 | 0.27% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.770817 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0.769506 | 0.26% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.760178 | 0.26% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.758022 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.755712 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.748282 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.747 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.747 | 0.25% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.724779 | 0.24% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.713834 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.709643 | 0.24% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.709445 | 0.24% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.709445 | 0.24% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.706206 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.703832 | 0.24% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.700681 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.68014 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.67194 | 0.23% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.659634 | 0.22% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.6482 | 0.22% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.639651 | 0.22% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.632077 | 0.21% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.601782 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.599512 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.584998 | 0.20% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.583135 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.574038 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.571364 | 0.19% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.565297 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | -0.561542 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.560193 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.549369 | 0.18% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.545249 | 0.18% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.537848 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.526479 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.526479 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.524804 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.524562 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.523238 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.50987 | 0.17% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.502765 | 0.17% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.501761 | 0.17% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.501761 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | -0.491517 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.490441 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.489574 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.488937 | 0.16% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.476995 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.467849 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.464212 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.459989 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.449648 | 0.15% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.444124 | 0.15% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.443158 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.436564 | 0.15% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.436562 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.433213 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.431262 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.424612 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.423961 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.423961 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.421175 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.420839 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.419568 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.417066 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.416233 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.407021 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.404019 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | -0.399175 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.391071 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.390832 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.390421 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.385769 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.384811 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.38407 | 0.13% | positive |
| `pregame_position_qb` | -0.366702 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.363417 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.361382 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.360962 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.356386 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.351244 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.350065 | 0.12% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.348878 | 0.12% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.34152 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.327231 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.327231 | 0.11% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.319504 | 0.11% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.319504 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.310749 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.309174 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.308967 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.298257 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.295297 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.292639 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.291169 | 0.10% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.285248 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.283092 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.276912 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.259562 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.259198 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.258953 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.258646 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.257625 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.253422 | 0.09% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.24047 | 0.08% | positive |
| `rest_days` | -0.240246 | 0.08% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.240246 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.229339 | 0.08% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.225329 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.217886 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.217536 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.217536 | 0.07% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.190959 | 0.06% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.185606 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.169958 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.169378 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.164968 | 0.06% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.163754 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.163124 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.160882 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.159409 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | -0.158618 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.153943 | 0.05% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | -0.148424 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | -0.148424 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.14475 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.143913 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.138914 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.137697 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.133582 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | -0.133237 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.133079 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.130675 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.13048 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.125133 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.123668 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.119361 | 0.04% | negative |
| `is_home` | 0.11608 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.103205 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | -0.0986303 | 0.03% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | -0.0986303 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | -0.0851193 | 0.03% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.082529 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0787623 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0776277 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.068597 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.068597 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.0605304 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.0579969 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0567749 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.0507584 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.0490854 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.048019 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.0469831 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.0459132 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | -0.0439964 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0412058 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | -0.0411625 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.0354867 | 0.01% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0354137 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0350153 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0307957 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.0237119 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0144955 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0137571 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00610538 | 0.00% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00403808 | 0.00% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00403808 | 0.00% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.000688863 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.000688863 | 0.00% | negative |

### `player_receptions`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3848. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.177499 | 17.75% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.133853 | 13.39% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0956199 | 9.56% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0886508 | 8.87% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.0845646 | 8.46% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.0596101 | 5.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0544608 | 5.45% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0494565 | 4.95% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0352809 | 3.53% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0286467 | 2.86% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.025917 | 2.59% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0187522 | 1.88% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0128085 | 1.28% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00970743 | 0.97% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00499839 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0049518 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00492808 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00444006 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0039668 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00361314 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00343238 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00251723 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00246653 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00237812 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00208586 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00204947 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00204092 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00177965 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00154176 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.001109 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00110862 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00109898 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00107949 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000962311 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000949709 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000899215 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000840091 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000705129 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000652925 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000638102 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000629422 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000624638 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.000614735 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00060947 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000603687 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000598681 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000594871 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000576417 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000566257 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000534634 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000530686 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000522611 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000520864 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000509816 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000497308 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000492313 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000492084 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000477483 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000468141 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000467249 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000455568 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000455221 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000453889 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000452427 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000452374 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000446271 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000445275 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000444258 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000440261 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000439744 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000438054 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000437812 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00043493 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000434237 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000430941 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000430427 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00042984 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000428339 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000426646 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000426633 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000421635 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000421104 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000414869 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00041319 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000411956 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000403401 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000402618 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000402323 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00040112 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000399823 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000398135 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000388509 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000386198 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000382262 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000373176 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000373132 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000370127 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000369992 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000368075 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000366762 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000365816 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000365621 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000364408 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000364113 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000363201 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000362545 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000359997 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.00035981 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000358944 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000358188 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000355479 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000354977 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000354229 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000346368 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000345657 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000345185 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000344292 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000342826 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000341173 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00034058 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00034044 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000338746 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000338204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000337722 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000334911 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000332146 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000332086 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000331757 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000331421 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000331094 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000330456 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000330451 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00032967 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000329171 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000328128 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000327191 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00032641 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000323975 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000322334 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000321377 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000320119 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000319321 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000314662 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000314584 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000314395 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000314388 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00031228 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000301174 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000298832 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000298119 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000298051 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000297555 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000295025 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000294282 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000294043 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000293099 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000291825 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000291115 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000290728 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000290686 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000289949 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000289577 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000289104 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000288609 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000286767 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00028405 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00028348 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000282742 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000275483 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000275428 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00027273 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00027138 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000270027 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000269905 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000268436 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000266995 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000265638 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000261425 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000261238 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000259929 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000259278 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000259264 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000257805 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000255198 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000253701 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000252752 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000251631 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000249876 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000249291 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000245677 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00024531 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000244724 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000243891 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000243222 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000237613 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000237052 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000236948 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000235563 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000233761 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000230783 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000230233 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000227857 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000227568 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000224569 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000224095 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000224033 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000221428 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000221245 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000220237 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000218844 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000217942 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000217866 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000216397 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000215775 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000215738 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000213988 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000211571 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000210773 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00021072 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000210696 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000208663 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000206431 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000205278 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000203692 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000203606 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000201407 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000195602 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000193785 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000193782 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000192413 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000188613 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000184304 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000173964 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000169792 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000166865 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000164778 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000163339 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000156217 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000138437 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00012856 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000123276 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000116424 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00010982 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000107022 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 9.8012e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 8.67439e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 8.38942e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 7.89079e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 7.83327e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 7.30691e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 7.27843e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 7.04215e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 6.93564e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 6.90635e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 6.56367e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 6.08388e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 6.06039e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 6.01654e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 5.73943e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 5.36675e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 5.34266e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 4.92412e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 4.75436e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 4.25762e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 3.63565e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 3.59652e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 3.59526e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 3.25569e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 2.93982e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 2.84934e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 2.72165e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 2.42764e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 1.84312e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 1.37273e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 1.36054e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 1.25584e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 8.77654e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 8.08731e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.77344e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 2.75434e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.89783e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 1.54695e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 4.57142e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 1.47572e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3870. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.8466 | 84.66% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0320742 | 3.21% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.0235475 | 2.35% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0059005 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00420134 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00303786 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00243315 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0023041 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00214809 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0020802 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00186167 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00186032 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00155725 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00133785 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129624 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00127768 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00123193 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00121389 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00116169 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00115064 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00109883 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00108154 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00104916 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00103189 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000953739 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00088671 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000875164 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000872108 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000866368 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000816953 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0007663 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000762765 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000762105 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00075288 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000729877 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000703792 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000688858 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000650838 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000647976 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000634973 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000608799 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000594164 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000585895 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000562546 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000560345 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000547313 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000543828 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000543317 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000543241 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000535166 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000530852 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000506191 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000502868 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000499815 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000492276 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000490173 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000482848 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000478917 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000471356 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000462585 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000445775 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000443032 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000439034 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00042514 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000424185 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000419401 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000406016 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000402018 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000401916 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000401173 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000400997 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000400252 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000395511 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000392953 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000392792 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000386414 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000378331 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000377376 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000376198 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000370561 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000363384 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000360164 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000358921 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000357815 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0003577 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000356607 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000356226 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00034413 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000342382 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000342214 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000337661 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000337388 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000332133 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000331838 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000326078 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000318774 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000318512 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000313842 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000306927 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000303508 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000297623 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00029379 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000293596 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000291142 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000282411 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000278919 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000276291 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000274031 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000266127 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000265536 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000259305 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000255492 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00025338 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000252494 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000246106 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000234694 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000232534 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000232518 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000231228 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000228088 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000224749 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000222836 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000222507 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0002222 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000221939 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000221068 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000219172 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000217427 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000216815 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000216026 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000214848 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000211955 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000210994 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000210078 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000206959 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000201459 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000199108 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000198719 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000197326 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000195359 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000192663 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000190238 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000188728 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000187957 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00018484 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000184168 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000182889 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000181283 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000181209 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000179918 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000179082 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000177075 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0001758 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000173315 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000171297 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000170636 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000168168 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000163396 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000162243 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000159995 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000157375 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00015532 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000153997 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00015242 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000148531 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000148302 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000147848 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000147715 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000146342 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000142605 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000141484 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000136628 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000133862 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000129508 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00012507 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000119569 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000119465 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000114331 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000111391 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00011118 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000109073 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000108486 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000107327 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000102675 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000101596 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000101528 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000100248 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 9.64839e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 9.59589e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 9.41684e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 9.36258e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 9.20686e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 9.1093e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 9.02264e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 9.01346e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.79037e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 8.65053e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 8.23691e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 7.9843e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 7.98362e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 7.77276e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 7.50115e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 7.41996e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 7.40289e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 7.15359e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 6.99403e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 6.84951e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 6.30473e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 6.15705e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 5.77992e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 5.76065e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 5.61601e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 5.53194e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 5.09035e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 5.08708e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 4.73782e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 4.62297e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 4.34851e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 4.26204e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 4.10023e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 4.03725e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 3.59182e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 3.52994e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 3.44335e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 3.42776e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 3.41734e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 3.31775e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 3.25498e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 3.18109e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 2.99145e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 2.91829e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 2.87201e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 2.77447e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 2.69484e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 2.54707e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 2.54386e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 2.14952e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 2.03718e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 1.90921e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 1.77092e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 1.65182e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 1.63355e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 1.46256e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 1.36786e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 1.31133e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.21601e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.17015e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 1.14467e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 9.74099e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 9.67695e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 9.671e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 9.24531e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 8.52514e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 8.51231e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 8.48979e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 8.03339e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 7.67255e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 7.50688e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 7.33563e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 7.30258e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 7.08391e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 6.58217e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 5.98534e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 4.61919e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 4.51514e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 3.61776e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 2.22674e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 2.10453e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3915. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

#### #4 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.4008. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.562309 | 2.43% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.417488 | 1.81% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.415372 | 1.80% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.411024 | 1.78% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.397504 | 1.72% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.385187 | 1.67% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.317922 | 1.38% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.317413 | 1.37% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.299139 | 1.30% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.295125 | 1.28% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.274562 | 1.19% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.269538 | 1.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.254891 | 1.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.244908 | 1.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.243588 | 1.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.236571 | 1.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.230158 | 1.00% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.230158 | 1.00% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.222926 | 0.97% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.218233 | 0.94% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.217294 | 0.94% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.213367 | 0.92% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.210694 | 0.91% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.207363 | 0.90% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.205878 | 0.89% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -0.193106 | 0.84% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | -0.192276 | 0.83% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | -0.192276 | 0.83% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.190175 | 0.82% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.172046 | 0.74% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.17144 | 0.74% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.170801 | 0.74% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.168499 | 0.73% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.162932 | 0.71% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.158179 | 0.68% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.156827 | 0.68% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.156165 | 0.68% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.154543 | 0.67% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.154543 | 0.67% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.152999 | 0.66% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.152936 | 0.66% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.152379 | 0.66% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.143856 | 0.62% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.140093 | 0.61% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.138506 | 0.60% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.138422 | 0.60% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.138422 | 0.60% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.137284 | 0.59% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | -0.136885 | 0.59% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.136661 | 0.59% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.134849 | 0.58% | negative |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.13482 | 0.58% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.132012 | 0.57% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.131505 | 0.57% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.127596 | 0.55% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.12686 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.125046 | 0.54% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.124779 | 0.54% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | -0.122304 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | -0.122304 | 0.53% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.122139 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.121662 | 0.53% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.120332 | 0.52% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.119402 | 0.52% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.118396 | 0.51% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.118396 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.118205 | 0.51% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.116097 | 0.50% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.112261 | 0.49% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.112143 | 0.49% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.112093 | 0.49% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.107502 | 0.47% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.105468 | 0.46% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.10484 | 0.45% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.103165 | 0.45% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.102717 | 0.44% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.102052 | 0.44% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.101455 | 0.44% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.100872 | 0.44% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.100763 | 0.44% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.10053 | 0.44% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.10024 | 0.43% | positive |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.0992534 | 0.43% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0990114 | 0.43% | negative |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.097331 | 0.42% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0972103 | 0.42% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.0969703 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.0965533 | 0.42% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.0959259 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0935355 | 0.41% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.0930723 | 0.40% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -0.0923445 | 0.40% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.0895538 | 0.39% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0890186 | 0.39% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0878128 | 0.38% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0871569 | 0.38% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0859967 | 0.37% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.0857487 | 0.37% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.0856892 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0854143 | 0.37% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.0853403 | 0.37% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0822501 | 0.36% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0820637 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0809074 | 0.35% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.0796748 | 0.34% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | -0.0796547 | 0.34% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0794583 | 0.34% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0774485 | 0.34% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0766326 | 0.33% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.0757756 | 0.33% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.0757756 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0752292 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | -0.0735604 | 0.32% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | -0.0735604 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.0733899 | 0.32% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.0733775 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | -0.07304 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -0.0723206 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0719142 | 0.31% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.070721 | 0.31% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0674094 | 0.29% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0671818 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0657455 | 0.28% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.0647327 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0642265 | 0.28% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.0618433 | 0.27% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0618243 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0616765 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0608256 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | -0.0570445 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0565938 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.0562741 | 0.24% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.0561324 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.05591 | 0.24% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0556084 | 0.24% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.055189 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0547713 | 0.24% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0546289 | 0.24% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0545614 | 0.24% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.0545614 | 0.24% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0542956 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0538159 | 0.23% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0535382 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0532588 | 0.23% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0519576 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.0498997 | 0.22% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.0496078 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.0489937 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0487293 | 0.21% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0487257 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.0485581 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0468553 | 0.20% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.046636 | 0.20% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0456601 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0454709 | 0.20% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0449203 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0449203 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.0443083 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.044291 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0442589 | 0.19% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0436605 | 0.19% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.0435059 | 0.19% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.0435059 | 0.19% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.0434448 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.0423641 | 0.18% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0422313 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0420131 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.041358 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.0406079 | 0.18% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.040545 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0400205 | 0.17% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0398694 | 0.17% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.038945 | 0.17% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0388861 | 0.17% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.0378347 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0377367 | 0.16% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0377135 | 0.16% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.0371707 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.036857 | 0.16% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0363778 | 0.16% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0363778 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.0363008 | 0.16% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | -0.0355289 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.0354694 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0347479 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.0335004 | 0.15% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.032896 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.0324578 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0320056 | 0.14% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.0319256 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0317955 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.0315451 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.0311718 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0309255 | 0.13% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0301883 | 0.13% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.0300782 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0299826 | 0.13% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.0292691 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.0289324 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0278632 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.0275696 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0270973 | 0.12% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0270973 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0268738 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0267895 | 0.12% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0252319 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0250335 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.0245896 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.0235597 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.0235029 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0224732 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.0224231 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0223516 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.022286 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | -0.0220742 | 0.10% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.0218356 | 0.09% | positive |
| `rest_days` | -0.0217368 | 0.09% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.0217368 | 0.09% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | -0.021366 | 0.09% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | -0.021366 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0213161 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.0211936 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0209901 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0209276 | 0.09% | positive |
| `is_home` | 0.0205085 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.0201351 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.0197745 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0197538 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.0195251 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.0194897 | 0.08% | negative |
| `pregame_position_qb` | -0.0194089 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0192741 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0192649 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.0192567 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.0191919 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0191271 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0183038 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0181088 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | -0.0178681 | 0.08% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | -0.0178681 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0174905 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.0173417 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.016198 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.016198 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.0161645 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.0159789 | 0.07% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.0154855 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0151644 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0151644 | 0.07% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0145864 | 0.06% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.013934 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0127554 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.0123758 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0121125 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.0119363 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.0118858 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.0111012 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | -0.0109022 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0107644 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.0106623 | 0.05% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0102236 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0100146 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.00945247 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.00940808 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.0090479 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00857968 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00857968 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.00843934 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00813868 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00800336 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00728532 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.00664934 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00643941 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00600278 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | -0.00565748 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | -0.00565748 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00470833 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00463641 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | -0.00430335 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00404267 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00394523 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00382099 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00361186 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00341613 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00338885 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0033869 | 0.01% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.00306237 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.0029213 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.0029213 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.00230635 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00225658 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.00211112 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00185526 | 0.01% | positive |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00166787 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00144517 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00135708 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | -0.00120896 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00104183 | 0.00% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000569683 | 0.00% | positive |

### `player_rushing_receiving_yards`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 21.6110. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.131098 | 13.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.112214 | 11.22% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0904317 | 9.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0846088 | 8.46% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0772172 | 7.72% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0645426 | 6.45% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.0367694 | 3.68% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0366174 | 3.66% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.0354981 | 3.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0353917 | 3.54% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.0353573 | 3.54% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.0334423 | 3.34% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0303544 | 3.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0289784 | 2.90% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.0242181 | 2.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0151926 | 1.52% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0127448 | 1.27% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00872257 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00749781 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00610452 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.00534548 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0037481 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00345092 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00329242 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00305631 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00238984 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00203644 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00155236 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00129555 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00122127 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00102229 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00101135 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000971815 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000956796 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00094888 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000905941 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000898886 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000858828 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000814844 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00077124 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000755785 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.000735852 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000728338 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00072058 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000686977 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000629238 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000625455 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000606509 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000565572 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000563578 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000555529 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000520771 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000474363 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000474062 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000469943 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000437337 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000415884 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000412381 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000408533 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000402229 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000394768 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000392578 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000390182 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000385047 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00038473 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000382567 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000377699 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000369704 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000363055 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000359405 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000358426 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000355722 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000354834 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00035389 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000352611 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000351842 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000343891 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000341887 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000341503 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000339146 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000338761 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000333937 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000324083 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000318397 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000318364 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000316743 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000314545 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000314204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000312237 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000311841 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000311749 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000309639 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000308758 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000308639 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00030631 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000302256 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000299498 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000298719 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000296371 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000294518 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000292221 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000291399 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000291103 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000289694 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000289074 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000289042 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000288706 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000288569 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000287794 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0002877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00028629 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000286068 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000285712 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000285038 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000282188 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000281358 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000278743 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000278013 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000277984 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000275771 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000273198 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000270588 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00026783 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000265367 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000264885 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000260578 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000259817 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000256166 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000253568 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000252063 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00024911 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000248517 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000247171 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000245318 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000241837 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000239171 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000239 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000237698 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000237075 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00023507 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000235016 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000234429 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000234065 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000233981 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000233475 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000232987 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000232119 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000231739 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000230769 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000230133 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000230057 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000228605 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000228102 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00022573 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000225695 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000222469 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000222015 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000220547 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000220461 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000219944 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000219622 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000218721 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000217199 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000216468 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000216217 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000214871 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000211924 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000211326 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000210182 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000208448 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000208322 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.0002082 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000208065 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000207923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000207728 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000206787 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000205431 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000203727 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000203218 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000203053 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000202085 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000201989 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000199726 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00019813 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000196691 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000194409 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000192498 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000191152 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000190896 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000190403 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000190287 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000190066 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000189808 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000186372 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000185577 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000184312 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000183201 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000183032 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000182732 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000181623 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00018138 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000179533 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000179212 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00017827 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000178168 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000175958 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000175939 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000175886 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000174302 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000173045 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000172425 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000171688 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000171296 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00017109 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000170491 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000169398 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000167521 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000166683 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00016503 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000164957 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000163576 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000162173 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000160664 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000159039 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000158075 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000156309 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000152229 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000152051 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000151755 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000145949 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000145845 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000143813 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000143286 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000142494 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000142236 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000141497 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000141294 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000140896 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000139572 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000135336 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000134115 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000127609 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000120426 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000119244 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000116661 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000103765 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 9.80734e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 8.29254e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 7.31043e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 6.03296e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 5.62084e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 5.31164e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 5.28907e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 4.53029e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 4.4279e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 4.40743e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 4.27565e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 4.22547e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 3.87646e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 3.58759e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 3.28133e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 3.13635e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 2.82092e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 2.72737e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 2.32181e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 2.24576e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.20397e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 2.05993e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 1.88023e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 1.82295e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 1.8107e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 1.72992e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 1.70868e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 1.54935e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 1.49423e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 1.46706e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 1.45997e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 1.28804e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 1.25712e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 1.2358e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 1.18139e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 1.17174e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 9.87901e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 5.60813e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 3.18162e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 2.84282e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 1.04936e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 6.12709e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 5.42236e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 4.37927e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 2.61598e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 2.39149e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 2.24283e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 2.20881e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 7.26678e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 4.86669e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 21.6448. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

#### #3 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 21.6554. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.828294 | 82.83% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.0296037 | 2.96% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.0272465 | 2.72% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0143018 | 1.43% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0125235 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00719449 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.00605483 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00419951 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00414801 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00188776 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00177755 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00173671 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00152924 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.00151896 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00149537 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00147972 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00133318 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00121934 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00120895 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00117942 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00108392 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000958396 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000927121 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00091365 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000904285 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000864864 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000835979 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000828962 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000811626 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000783644 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000757635 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000751856 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000723381 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000692638 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000686823 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000675089 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000664468 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0006569 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000644545 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000632548 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000594604 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000553798 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.000549938 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000538448 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000495117 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000473214 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000469849 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000469214 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000455904 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000454418 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000450182 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000437501 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000432834 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000429222 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00042662 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00042255 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000421502 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000410204 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000402255 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000400503 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000392529 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00035925 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000355721 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000353469 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000352654 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000347411 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000333413 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00032518 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000319297 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000318449 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000313957 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000304622 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000302547 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000301953 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000300246 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000296413 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000292738 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000288554 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000286198 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000282901 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000282097 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000281669 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000278818 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000272144 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00026654 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000262389 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000250794 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000249841 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000249047 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000245588 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000245009 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000243382 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000241449 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000238925 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000236726 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0002345 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000226615 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000221094 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000217953 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000217149 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000214305 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00021315 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000211266 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000206484 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000205933 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000205251 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000199456 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000196569 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000194283 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000189156 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000187573 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000185812 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000180926 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000180471 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000176971 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000175952 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000174077 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000163501 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00016238 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000158695 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000156699 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000155782 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.0001552 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000152899 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000151539 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000151182 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000150317 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000149654 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000149641 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000147714 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000141708 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000139752 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00013641 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000136246 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00013112 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000128296 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000128183 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000125423 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000125383 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00012392 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000123658 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00012331 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000121865 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000119818 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000118586 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000117012 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000114981 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000114244 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000108995 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000106509 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000106207 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000105483 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000104978 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000103382 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000102676 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 9.78002e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 9.6942e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 9.64505e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 9.5333e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 9.44596e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 9.44007e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 9.42416e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 9.23646e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 9.20819e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 9.16425e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 8.93138e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 8.76853e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 8.75431e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 8.71839e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 8.61816e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 8.59693e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 8.57992e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 8.56065e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 8.49082e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.34234e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 8.18032e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 8.15847e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 8.08054e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 8.00784e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 7.93158e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 7.90764e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 7.89872e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 7.64002e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 7.57048e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 7.48892e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 7.38281e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 7.07954e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 7.0334e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 6.92083e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 6.89928e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 6.45745e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 6.33421e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 5.99574e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 5.8879e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 5.83379e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 5.82643e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 5.57132e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 5.55745e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 5.55122e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 5.45712e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 5.26624e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 5.23988e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 5.12654e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 4.87248e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 4.77485e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 4.77381e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 4.75127e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 4.72028e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 4.59962e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 4.43635e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 4.35475e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 4.13824e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 4.096e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 4.01327e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 3.94335e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 3.79751e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 3.79572e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 3.75729e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 3.65422e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 3.54379e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 3.48988e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 3.37542e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.35219e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 3.31096e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 3.27366e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 3.2162e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 3.14105e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 3.11535e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 3.0564e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 2.91663e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 2.88929e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 2.88083e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 2.79212e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 2.61845e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 2.57076e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 2.4471e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 2.27189e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 2.15421e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 2.15212e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 2.12739e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 2.12303e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 2.04755e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 2.01811e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 1.80458e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 1.73006e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 1.61469e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 1.55946e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 1.43247e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.38824e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.32067e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 1.28936e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 1.18011e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 1.09902e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 1.04522e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 9.31818e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 9.20231e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 9.16122e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 9.06708e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 8.17055e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 6.36887e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 5.84546e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 5.7325e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 5.4074e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 3.30703e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 3.07284e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 2.98084e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 1.65325e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 7.80102e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 4.96103e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 21.6703. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 7.76008 | 2.41% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 6.91046 | 2.15% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -5.80436 | 1.80% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 5.26633 | 1.64% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 4.87556 | 1.51% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -4.87014 | 1.51% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 4.80485 | 1.49% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 4.57786 | 1.42% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 4.57752 | 1.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -4.36359 | 1.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 4.01056 | 1.25% | positive |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 3.78157 | 1.17% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 3.55828 | 1.11% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 3.55553 | 1.10% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 3.46863 | 1.08% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 3.29726 | 1.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -3.07505 | 0.96% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -3.07505 | 0.96% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.95349 | 0.92% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.86532 | 0.89% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -2.84464 | 0.88% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -2.8406 | 0.88% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -2.83452 | 0.88% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -2.83452 | 0.88% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 2.75439 | 0.86% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -2.679 | 0.83% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 2.46977 | 0.77% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 2.45994 | 0.76% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 2.43416 | 0.76% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 2.42034 | 0.75% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 2.41071 | 0.75% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -2.37504 | 0.74% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -2.36759 | 0.74% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 2.35259 | 0.73% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -2.32906 | 0.72% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | -2.28258 | 0.71% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | -2.26879 | 0.70% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -2.24909 | 0.70% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -2.11193 | 0.66% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -2.11193 | 0.66% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -2.09631 | 0.65% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -2.04527 | 0.64% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | -2.00756 | 0.62% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 2.00671 | 0.62% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 1.99248 | 0.62% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | -1.99115 | 0.62% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | -1.99115 | 0.62% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 1.9891 | 0.62% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 1.97195 | 0.61% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 1.9555 | 0.61% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -1.90699 | 0.59% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -1.87635 | 0.58% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 1.87524 | 0.58% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -1.87333 | 0.58% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 1.86457 | 0.58% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 1.83771 | 0.57% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 1.78663 | 0.56% | positive |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.77598 | 0.55% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 1.72132 | 0.53% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -1.71422 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -1.69023 | 0.53% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 1.67144 | 0.52% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -1.62105 | 0.50% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 1.61131 | 0.50% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 1.59367 | 0.50% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -1.57461 | 0.49% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 1.57098 | 0.49% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -1.56094 | 0.48% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 1.53216 | 0.48% | positive |
| `pregame_total_line` | 1.5302 | 0.48% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 1.52072 | 0.47% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -1.51934 | 0.47% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -1.50793 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 1.50247 | 0.47% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 1.49435 | 0.46% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 1.49278 | 0.46% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -1.49051 | 0.46% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -1.47226 | 0.46% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 1.44949 | 0.45% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 1.40946 | 0.44% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 1.4055 | 0.44% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 1.38322 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -1.36268 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | -1.35525 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -1.35323 | 0.42% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -1.3485 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 1.30684 | 0.41% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | -1.30521 | 0.41% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 1.30413 | 0.41% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -1.30173 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -1.29921 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 1.29787 | 0.40% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 1.29781 | 0.40% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 1.29781 | 0.40% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 1.2968 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -1.2948 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 1.28611 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | -1.27922 | 0.40% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -1.27437 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -1.23527 | 0.38% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | -1.20415 | 0.37% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 1.20245 | 0.37% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -1.19776 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 1.19182 | 0.37% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -1.18806 | 0.37% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -1.18557 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | -1.18201 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -1.17244 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 1.16485 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 1.15937 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | -1.1524 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 1.12138 | 0.35% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 1.11889 | 0.35% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -1.11586 | 0.35% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | -1.07988 | 0.34% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 1.07589 | 0.33% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -1.06142 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 1.04973 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -1.03624 | 0.32% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -1.03282 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -1.02793 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -1.01705 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -1.01705 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.990878 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.988394 | 0.31% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.968756 | 0.30% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.955476 | 0.30% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.908218 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.902057 | 0.28% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.886782 | 0.28% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.881785 | 0.27% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.881307 | 0.27% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.877489 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.873957 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.872173 | 0.27% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.85872 | 0.27% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.848825 | 0.26% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.848416 | 0.26% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.829868 | 0.26% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | -0.796062 | 0.25% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.79598 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | -0.78615 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.757352 | 0.24% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.755045 | 0.23% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.738809 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.734453 | 0.23% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.732981 | 0.23% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.728844 | 0.23% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.724327 | 0.23% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.718878 | 0.22% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.716197 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.710024 | 0.22% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.706629 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.700839 | 0.22% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.700839 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.676153 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.650582 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.650582 | 0.20% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.643586 | 0.20% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.641166 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.614826 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.613374 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.603227 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.594766 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.578867 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.577475 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.577475 | 0.18% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.565786 | 0.18% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.520704 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.50237 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.494905 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | -0.490914 | 0.15% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.479118 | 0.15% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.478623 | 0.15% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.464137 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.459554 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.457584 | 0.14% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.455963 | 0.14% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.451064 | 0.14% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.445938 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.445239 | 0.14% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.432617 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.427482 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.421853 | 0.13% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.421604 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.421463 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.415066 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.414932 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.41461 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.409003 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.405268 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.399996 | 0.12% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.391736 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | -0.391074 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.379588 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.373415 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.371304 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.366446 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.365316 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.349476 | 0.11% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | -0.342121 | 0.11% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.342121 | 0.11% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.338791 | 0.11% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.333387 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.328624 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.323629 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.307808 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.305773 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.295195 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.29351 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.292901 | 0.09% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.287991 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.269624 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.266865 | 0.08% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.260694 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.260694 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.257044 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.253104 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.247829 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.242491 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.242491 | 0.08% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.230182 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.22498 | 0.07% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.220608 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.213059 | 0.07% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.211753 | 0.07% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.211753 | 0.07% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.211131 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.208315 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.206418 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.203098 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.203045 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.202474 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.200339 | 0.06% | positive |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.198956 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.194551 | 0.06% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.194551 | 0.06% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.190767 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.186909 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.184773 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | -0.179194 | 0.06% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.178169 | 0.06% | negative |
| `rest_days` | -0.178169 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.172842 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.170638 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.169339 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.169339 | 0.05% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.165896 | 0.05% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.165896 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.165034 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.163195 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.16054 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.155316 | 0.05% | negative |
| `is_home` | 0.147802 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.14777 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.137618 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.136774 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.133994 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.133994 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.131311 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.128579 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.124743 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.122698 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.122698 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | -0.118892 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | -0.118892 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.117243 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.116909 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.111498 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.109418 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.104957 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | -0.102797 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.102639 | 0.03% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.100976 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.100753 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.0950223 | 0.03% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | -0.0928748 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0895342 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.0887192 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0817519 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0735091 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.070587 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | -0.0693453 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | -0.0632258 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.059679 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.059679 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.0531029 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0477675 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0400313 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.035361 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | -0.0196512 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.0184778 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0144223 | 0.00% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0121828 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00954263 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00757372 | 0.00% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.00458291 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00363736 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | -0.000616293 | 0.00% | negative |

### `player_rushing_tds`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.1222. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.109409 | 10.94% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.0913985 | 9.14% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.082998 | 8.30% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0794282 | 7.94% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0760867 | 7.61% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0514637 | 5.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.0470646 | 4.71% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0340245 | 3.40% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0279496 | 2.79% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0196581 | 1.97% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.0167997 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0133497 | 1.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0121223 | 1.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0112139 | 1.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00973778 | 0.97% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.0077656 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00696857 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00676081 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00645431 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00620678 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00607235 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0055944 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00415692 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00414234 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00335365 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00333136 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00329257 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00313151 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00302783 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00292149 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00275353 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00263013 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00234892 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00231145 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00230327 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.002249 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00224638 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00198075 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00188003 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00185797 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00182505 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.0017728 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00173154 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00171142 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00170216 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00169956 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0016907 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00162805 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00162581 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00160959 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00155938 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00155801 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00154772 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00151048 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00146438 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00145059 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00143194 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00142297 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0014225 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00142235 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00141689 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00140131 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.0013896 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00138674 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00137591 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00136822 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00136307 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00135497 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00135262 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00133724 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00133087 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00129291 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00125149 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00123749 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0012332 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00123084 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00122474 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00121685 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00121589 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00120191 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00120142 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00120121 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00119596 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00118694 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00118574 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00118243 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00118191 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00117758 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00116293 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00115908 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0011435 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.00114076 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00113814 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00113615 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00113462 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.0011297 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00111935 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00111903 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00111562 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00110908 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00110717 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00110715 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00110511 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00110311 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00110257 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00110062 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00109925 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00109767 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00108667 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00108477 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00108274 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00107325 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00106185 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00106089 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00105471 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00105293 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0010494 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00104213 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00103964 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00102365 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00101983 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00101447 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00100949 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00100475 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.0010018 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000999693 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00099862 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000989223 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000988053 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000983895 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000980833 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00098035 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000978569 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000977921 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000975689 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000964311 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000963531 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000961547 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000959532 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000957174 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000956437 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000954123 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000952968 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000951372 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000951308 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000943428 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000942829 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000942015 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000941936 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000936317 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000936136 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000928586 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000927731 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000923867 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000922842 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000908452 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000908059 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000906849 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00090192 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000900677 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000898554 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000886446 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000885835 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000882774 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00088131 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000877905 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000877264 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000876939 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000875552 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000871698 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000868195 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000865716 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000859209 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0008577 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000849016 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000843735 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000843004 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000841305 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000830911 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000823677 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000823316 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000821968 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000818001 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00081411 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000806678 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000803675 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000797805 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000797485 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000796355 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000795807 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000790841 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000789979 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000785667 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000775369 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000771838 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000767063 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000765691 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000762325 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000756925 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000755489 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000747603 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000747045 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000740006 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000736472 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000733823 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000731774 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000729336 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000728655 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.000718726 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000718096 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000709414 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000705363 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00070243 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000700832 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000697368 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000694107 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00068972 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000689618 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000682368 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000680558 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000679407 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000675334 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000670528 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000664815 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000663104 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000662814 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000661749 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000657694 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000657115 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000650848 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00064406 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000638952 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000637343 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000634327 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000626305 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000623815 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000622231 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00061538 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000602559 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000594422 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000593821 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000592932 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000592311 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000591504 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000588953 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000583383 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000570997 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000564985 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000557178 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000556671 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000554887 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000542518 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000537538 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000533887 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000529416 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000519808 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000517438 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000515141 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000509419 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000505505 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000503492 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00050103 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000496078 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000487164 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000479175 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000471395 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00046921 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000465727 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000464369 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000437836 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000433289 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000411859 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000397049 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000348865 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000346099 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000342913 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000342453 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000337064 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000304204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000295036 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000288785 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00028268 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000240213 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 4.19413e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 2.48959e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 1.90434e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 1.06604e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 8.7536e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 7.95958e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 1.99998e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 9.65015e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 4.78421e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 2.45499e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 2.18009e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 1.41061e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.1222. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.226478 | 22.65% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.207201 | 20.72% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.0811629 | 8.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0650304 | 6.50% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.0629692 | 6.30% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.050182 | 5.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0221522 | 2.22% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0168859 | 1.69% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0118846 | 1.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.0116941 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00716883 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00504815 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00495387 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00483877 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00372694 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00363699 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.0035049 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00293562 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00285417 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00279337 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00275302 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00268001 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00252441 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00233333 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00225655 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00224381 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00223137 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00212908 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00211857 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00197681 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00197091 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00196262 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00195888 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0019337 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00189021 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00184288 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00180406 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00179882 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00179196 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0017511 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0017297 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00167136 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00166485 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00165442 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00163879 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00163315 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00155082 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00153363 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00153307 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00151618 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00149422 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00148015 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00147147 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00144921 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00143238 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00142051 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00140669 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00138572 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00138486 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00136472 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0013627 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00134064 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00133523 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00131883 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00126208 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00125843 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00123845 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00122963 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00122182 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.00122161 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00121556 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00120575 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00119273 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0011917 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00115889 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00115485 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00115411 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00114667 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00113063 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0011262 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00111542 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00109754 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00109136 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00109029 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00106935 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00105742 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00104763 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00104657 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00103611 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00102819 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00101851 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00101485 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00101115 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.0010003 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000996695 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000976054 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000969112 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000955424 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000946585 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000941278 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00093828 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000935053 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000927546 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000926932 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000921961 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000913951 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000911194 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000901802 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000896466 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00089214 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000886491 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000877695 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000871585 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000870632 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000861305 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000860206 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000852004 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000851642 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.000841214 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000833805 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000823816 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000801293 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.000797105 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000790779 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000789428 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000786028 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000779731 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000769421 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000759652 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00073628 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000728636 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000727087 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000722171 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000715128 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00071011 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000699736 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000690841 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000686481 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000677907 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000673289 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000666193 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000646015 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000634256 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.000630657 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000630041 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000629948 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000626788 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000621005 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000620602 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000611955 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000609848 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0005937 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00058633 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000578506 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000573379 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00057151 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000570213 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000568178 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000564943 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000564122 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000563913 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000563535 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000557043 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000551989 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000546928 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000546356 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000539249 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000538251 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000535356 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000533248 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000532682 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000511024 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00050782 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0005066 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000503776 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000498069 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000494825 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000484653 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000483853 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000481995 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000467376 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000466744 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000461679 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.000459795 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000458657 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000447205 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000438131 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000437481 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000434476 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000434114 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000429717 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000427054 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000419401 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000418838 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000415264 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000412256 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00040869 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000408154 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000401112 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00040085 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000393118 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000391247 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00038575 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000382213 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000382052 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000380632 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000379634 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000378415 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000375517 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00037376 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00036923 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000365935 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000364084 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000363669 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000363408 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000357574 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000356979 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000356825 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000355392 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000353854 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000351741 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000347509 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000345351 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000344173 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000343474 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000342593 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000336761 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000335229 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000332532 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00032624 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000325574 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.00032306 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000318884 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000316023 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000311922 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.00031103 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000306624 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000292542 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000285236 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000281532 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000276684 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000271355 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000271233 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000270757 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000269821 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00026953 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000269133 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000265439 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000257288 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.0002513 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000248276 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00024629 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000244702 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000239006 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000238292 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.000233179 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00021048 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000199446 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000192438 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000187417 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000186609 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000180068 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000179061 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000178748 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00017366 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000163251 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000155665 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000153622 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000139191 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000138137 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000124251 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000113287 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000112627 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00011056 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000106933 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000105498 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000101824 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 8.94373e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 7.62368e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 5.90477e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 5.07836e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 4.42944e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 3.55102e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 3.00012e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 2.89722e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 2.3123e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 6.31618e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 2.91526e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 1.58181e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.1246. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 0.1257. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.357156 | 35.72% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.206093 | 20.61% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.128481 | 12.85% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0837631 | 8.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0312469 | 3.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0305671 | 3.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0304583 | 3.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.020498 | 2.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0182624 | 1.83% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0108447 | 1.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.0101696 | 1.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00726938 | 0.73% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00683598 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00662874 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00648629 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00613379 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0058789 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00493877 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00478242 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00444546 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00403793 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00350614 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00349529 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00285651 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00284428 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00194853 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000288525 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 5.31461e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 2.9746e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_rushing_yards`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.3210. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.1431 | 14.31% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.123357 | 12.34% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.119806 | 11.98% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.119403 | 11.94% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.108213 | 10.82% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0657819 | 6.58% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.052257 | 5.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0428659 | 4.29% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0374575 | 3.75% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0157861 | 1.58% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0155586 | 1.56% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.0145924 | 1.46% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.013824 | 1.38% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.0122315 | 1.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.011854 | 1.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00880446 | 0.88% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.00646356 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00518438 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00436777 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00436227 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00420013 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00395411 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00394566 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00273456 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00210636 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00185391 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00144666 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00115994 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000921472 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000767508 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000694526 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000637317 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.000622665 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000601835 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000530804 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000518417 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000495833 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000490477 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000478099 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000470592 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000455377 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000450076 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000442373 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000441173 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00044063 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000425328 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000387719 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000383382 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000383285 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000383147 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000379401 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00037762 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000376212 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000372636 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000371371 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000370373 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000363226 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000361237 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000355362 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000354898 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000354148 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000349655 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000339293 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000334925 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000334182 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000323542 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00031652 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000316007 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000315047 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000308443 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000305702 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00030352 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000302677 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000299386 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00029822 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000293019 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000292449 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000292031 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000288336 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000285659 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000285628 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000285006 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000284766 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000280663 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00027734 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000273667 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000271873 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00027164 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000271022 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.0002707 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000269068 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00026688 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000263977 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000262849 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000260729 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000259456 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000256963 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000256578 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000255912 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000253114 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000249766 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000248699 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000248107 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00024664 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000242921 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00024213 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000241192 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000237975 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000237717 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000237608 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000234277 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000232161 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000230734 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000228714 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000227401 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000227245 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000225063 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000223416 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000222877 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00021958 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00021828 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000216741 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000216714 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000216297 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000216282 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000215966 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000215962 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000213407 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000213297 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000213153 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000212129 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00021178 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000210955 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000210861 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000208467 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000207894 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000207415 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000207169 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000206253 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000204994 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000203588 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000203588 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000200498 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000200332 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000199466 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000198936 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000197405 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000196006 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000195051 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00019395 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000191965 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000190821 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00019068 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000189332 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000187665 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000187319 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000187189 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00018666 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000186421 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000186295 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000186145 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000185844 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000183667 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000183184 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000182928 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000182923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000182552 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000179536 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000179479 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000179247 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000177132 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000176671 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000176323 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000174923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000174634 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000173952 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0001736 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000173512 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000173302 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000172194 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000172109 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00016897 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000167957 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000167887 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000167575 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000165937 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.000165009 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000159324 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00015867 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000157247 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000157186 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000156303 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000155123 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000154835 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000154243 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000153769 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000152767 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000152353 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000151757 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000150483 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000149939 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000149869 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000149793 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000149612 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00014919 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000148844 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000148587 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000148154 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000146941 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000146455 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000141103 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000140547 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000139642 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000139032 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000138845 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000138305 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000138163 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000136371 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000134738 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000134651 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000133421 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000132594 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000132125 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000131612 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000131378 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000130786 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000129994 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000126318 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000122213 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000121624 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000116945 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000114265 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000113102 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00011244 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000112414 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000108525 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000100796 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 9.89756e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 9.83629e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 9.6585e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 9.41084e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 8.55817e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 8.18597e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 7.61321e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 6.36374e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 6.09514e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 5.91182e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 5.77844e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 5.59964e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 5.32347e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 5.18219e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 4.81346e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 4.68677e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 4.67929e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 4.59896e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 4.58422e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 4.35173e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 4.24217e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 4.23867e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 4.18036e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 3.76297e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 3.63909e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 3.57908e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 3.55196e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 3.54804e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 3.22721e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 3.08009e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 3.02206e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 2.98667e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 2.98385e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.96382e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 2.93633e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 2.90359e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 2.50274e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 2.45949e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 2.40526e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 2.39985e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 2.32098e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 2.10586e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 1.83941e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 1.70339e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 1.54742e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 1.01924e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 2.36995e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 1.27011e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 9.99379e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 9.72268e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 6.67541e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 4.9454e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 4.66787e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 4.4612e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 4.18892e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 4.12245e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 4.07554e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 6.83128e-08 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.3632. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.44211 | 44.21% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.24078 | 24.08% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.162627 | 16.26% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.0604918 | 6.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0119694 | 1.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.0088526 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00774968 | 0.77% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00417418 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.002288 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00219834 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00218892 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.00196385 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00154613 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00136288 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00135685 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00120133 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117965 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0010361 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00102792 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000886498 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000815418 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000772373 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000771603 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00071316 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00069521 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000678448 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000662339 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000634595 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000602269 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000585653 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000562795 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000536105 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.000487505 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000478101 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000474492 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000473345 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000465818 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00046335 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000444252 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000426679 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000399231 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00037885 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000377988 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000372673 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000367803 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000366265 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000363613 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000357606 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.000350269 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00034512 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000342413 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000339488 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000337862 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000336045 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.000335946 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000332438 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000323414 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000315204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000303757 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000298843 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000295543 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000294485 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.000292158 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00029061 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000290246 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000289865 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000285686 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000285587 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000281249 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000280627 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000277634 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000276777 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000274229 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000270067 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00026681 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000261667 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000257844 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000251308 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000250952 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000250702 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000243473 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000243216 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00024058 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000236804 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000235635 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000232618 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000232368 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00023171 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000231553 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000228394 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.000227745 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000227122 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.000225419 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000224217 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000222902 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000220125 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000219677 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000212233 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000211622 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000209334 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000208188 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.000203681 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000202892 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000199292 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000197826 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00019777 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000192347 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000191263 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000190059 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000189675 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000189134 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000185891 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000183732 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000180489 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000179452 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000177206 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000176853 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000176627 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.000174648 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000172335 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000171238 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000170653 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000170566 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000166517 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00016603 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000161935 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000160631 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000160425 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000157986 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000155065 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000151774 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000148933 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000147356 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000147191 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000145522 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000144753 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000142592 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000141922 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000141752 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000140372 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000139764 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000139583 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000135552 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000135216 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000133599 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00013308 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000130756 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000128686 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000128318 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000128252 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000128155 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000127806 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000127201 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000124121 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000123211 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000123096 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000121212 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000120122 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000119036 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000113086 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000108011 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.000107211 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000106886 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000105437 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000104281 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 9.51002e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 9.50509e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 9.46617e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 9.43153e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 9.36207e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 9.3526e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 9.28627e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 9.26838e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 9.19338e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 9.10007e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 8.7525e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 8.47994e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 8.41798e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 8.23492e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 7.96592e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 7.76779e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 7.29774e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 7.12551e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 7.12399e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 6.84544e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 6.67874e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 6.45525e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 6.42782e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 6.30946e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 6.29802e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 6.24555e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 6.16139e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 5.92817e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 5.92573e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 5.74716e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 5.703e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 5.69042e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 5.65608e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 5.6007e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 5.15888e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 5.00438e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 4.88085e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 4.75372e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 4.42515e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 4.42012e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 4.39661e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 4.37742e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 4.32274e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 4.26615e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 4.25543e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 4.21418e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 4.11863e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 4.07819e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 3.89e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 3.71375e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 3.54523e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 3.29451e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 3.27631e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 3.20549e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 3.1875e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 3.03174e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 2.97496e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 2.97424e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 2.96851e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 2.96057e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 2.9559e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 2.89511e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 2.76427e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 2.70524e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 2.56935e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 2.41702e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 2.24175e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 2.21083e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 2.14976e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 2.12023e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 2.09707e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 2.00528e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 2.00351e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 1.97774e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 1.78964e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 1.70512e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 1.6811e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 1.67719e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 1.58527e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 1.58451e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 1.50935e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 1.45106e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 1.40894e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 1.33786e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 1.32489e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 1.30753e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 1.18587e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 1.1785e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 1.12816e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 1.10396e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 1.10152e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 1.08043e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 1.05846e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 9.252e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 8.83239e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 8.51796e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 7.74719e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 7.33595e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 7.33472e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 7.22818e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 7.05306e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 7.0407e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 6.44231e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 5.88524e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 4.74207e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 4.72786e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 4.39053e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 3.33087e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 2.85844e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 2.6715e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 2.16245e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 1.85329e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 1.15657e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 6.4914e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 3.78931e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 2.82582e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 2.09981e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 1.94499e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.3869. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.272751 | 27.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.209773 | 20.98% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.16557 | 16.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.141405 | 14.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0946123 | 9.46% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.0223804 | 2.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0148273 | 1.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0142135 | 1.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0112591 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0109751 | 1.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00855992 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00710064 | 0.71% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00335556 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00313205 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00285499 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00234673 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00200176 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00176642 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00150767 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0014957 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00129662 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00126063 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00102861 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00101198 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.000979256 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000854292 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000767006 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000581697 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00033224 | 0.03% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.4063. Features: 29.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.905927 | 90.59% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0357303 | 3.57% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00812741 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00683717 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00557912 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00527844 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00397606 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00316556 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00232683 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00205634 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00201787 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00200806 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.001895 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00187524 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00182579 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00162801 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00156033 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00125659 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00124935 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00118013 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.001112 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000961151 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000804836 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.000803152 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000363777 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000330095 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000114433 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 1.02267e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `player_sacks`

#### #1 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2096. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.786451 | 78.65% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0313396 | 3.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0251654 | 2.52% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00912606 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00485386 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00466848 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00395558 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00383952 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00298826 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00285714 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00285648 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00253783 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00244062 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00233927 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00229142 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00224293 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00222122 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00218617 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00212922 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00203428 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00198238 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00183483 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00180196 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0.00179143 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00177416 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00172996 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00171151 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00170347 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00166207 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00165526 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.00165405 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00163933 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00162417 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00160494 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0015915 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00151814 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00151288 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00150469 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00148506 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00147946 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00147231 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00146906 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00142581 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0014175 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00141658 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00139767 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00139161 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00137764 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00135289 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00134959 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00128272 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00120201 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00119492 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00118957 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00117713 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00117313 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00112194 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00112107 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00112018 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00111394 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00110694 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00108448 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00104707 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00103877 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00102243 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00101924 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000999417 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000995129 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000985986 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000973291 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000953268 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000943992 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000912523 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000906374 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000904646 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000884886 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000838311 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00083665 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000766897 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000762371 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000761035 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000754099 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000727302 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000707024 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000689913 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000646687 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000642891 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000632024 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.000617464 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000608219 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000602893 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00057029 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000562158 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000534604 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0005335 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000530927 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000517609 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000503229 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000499914 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000487897 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000473136 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000469311 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000454321 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000431501 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000428262 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000422674 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000421533 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.000416888 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0004112 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000406565 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000405271 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000401086 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000399156 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000350373 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000343211 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000312745 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000306855 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000296276 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000287858 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000277213 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000270152 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00026356 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000231745 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000224083 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000175333 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000173496 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000170377 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000155893 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000151578 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000146044 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00013816 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000105836 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.0001053 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00010072 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 8.84446e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 8.26681e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 8.05304e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 7.76232e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 7.12267e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 6.8147e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 6.7018e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 6.4381e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 6.43219e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 5.89389e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 5.10027e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 4.39255e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 4.33114e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 4.25909e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 3.38128e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 3.21186e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 2.82944e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 2.02256e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 2.0033e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 1.89782e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 1.7839e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 1.6141e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 1.44684e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 1.41597e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 1.19159e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 1.1153e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 1.06002e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 6.81928e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 5.7259e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 4.71486e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 4.46504e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 4.44221e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 4.27409e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 4.18063e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 4.00827e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 3.68441e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 3.21414e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 2.76429e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.51239e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 2.30973e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 1.78119e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2101. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.220469 | 22.05% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.178366 | 17.84% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 0.120567 | 12.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0979713 | 9.80% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.0856013 | 8.56% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.0677569 | 6.78% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 0.0299397 | 2.99% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0187886 | 1.88% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00813235 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00757574 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0044665 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00343366 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.0030039 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00295939 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00260919 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00250076 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00248112 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.0021809 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00209383 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00202162 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00200507 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00199352 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00199344 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0019106 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00186115 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00185063 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00181183 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00177358 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.0017674 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00173245 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00173202 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00163088 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00162318 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00162186 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00160893 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00155883 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00152986 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00150901 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00150037 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00148633 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00147233 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00145979 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0013958 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00138428 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00138396 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00137829 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00135963 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00135443 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00135175 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00135149 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00134911 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0013462 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00133899 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00132808 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00132724 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00131466 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00130817 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00130364 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00129621 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00127875 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00127872 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00126778 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00125589 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00123995 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00123682 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00122678 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00121304 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00119593 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00119192 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00118752 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.0011849 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00118488 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00118357 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116731 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00116532 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00115561 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00115291 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00114631 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00114266 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00114007 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00112986 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0011274 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00112181 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00111742 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00110799 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00110748 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00109762 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00109282 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00108976 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00108424 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00107921 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107386 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00106167 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00106133 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.00105261 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00104526 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00104323 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00103743 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00103595 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00103536 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00102801 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00102703 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00102362 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00102264 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00102018 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00101727 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00100674 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00100635 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000995081 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000992682 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000982357 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000981277 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000969718 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000960292 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000956474 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000948086 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000910637 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000893854 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000892507 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000888818 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000879079 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000829193 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000795984 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000784711 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000770602 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000762625 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000753418 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000719041 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000677588 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000666243 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00064731 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.000171041 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000170183 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000157244 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.000149826 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000125571 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000109144 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 9.89211e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 9.30922e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 7.14366e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 7.0872e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 6.63639e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 6.17686e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 5.37596e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 5.14787e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 5.00469e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 4.72567e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 4.0529e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 3.90512e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 3.66175e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 3.49561e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 3.47377e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 3.16438e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 2.9904e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 2.94657e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 2.86982e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 2.46928e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 1.57521e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 1.25372e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 1.16118e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 1.12021e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 1.02617e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 9.33868e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 9.20782e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 9.02161e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 8.96563e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 8.94119e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 8.45939e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 8.11755e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 8.11026e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 8.05324e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 7.82944e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 7.57795e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 7.18932e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 6.27613e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 6.25068e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 6.17799e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 6.09342e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 6.06353e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 5.15307e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 4.56638e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 4.4151e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 4.02216e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 3.99929e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 3.92992e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 3.877e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 3.83308e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 3.79081e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 3.69323e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 3.57199e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 3.5208e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 3.51039e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 3.27787e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 3.26676e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 3.06338e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 3.04979e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 3.04607e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 2.91241e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 2.61216e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 2.59062e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 2.51704e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 2.05021e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 1.91274e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 1.85532e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 1.81463e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 1.80966e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 1.54012e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 1.52754e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 1.28652e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 1.15265e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 1.13221e-06 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 9.49994e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 7.37065e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 5.32185e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 3.88914e-07 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2105. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.121205 | 7.06% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0483056 | 2.81% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.034778 | 2.02% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.0330373 | 1.92% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.026227 | 1.53% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | -0.0237895 | 1.38% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0232123 | 1.35% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0213214 | 1.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0211407 | 1.23% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.0207964 | 1.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.0180943 | 1.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | -0.0176839 | 1.03% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0175899 | 1.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.0174117 | 1.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0172738 | 1.01% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.017207 | 1.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0161561 | 0.94% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.016121 | 0.94% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.016121 | 0.94% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0153561 | 0.89% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0152648 | 0.89% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.0148542 | 0.86% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0145567 | 0.85% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.0145207 | 0.85% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0140877 | 0.82% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0138687 | 0.81% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | -0.0138085 | 0.80% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0132271 | 0.77% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0129684 | 0.75% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.012906 | 0.75% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0127429 | 0.74% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.0124721 | 0.73% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.0118106 | 0.69% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | -0.0115001 | 0.67% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.0113766 | 0.66% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.0112775 | 0.66% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0111801 | 0.65% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0111801 | 0.65% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0110809 | 0.65% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0106583 | 0.62% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0104429 | 0.61% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0103692 | 0.60% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0101664 | 0.59% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0101387 | 0.59% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.0101303 | 0.59% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0100481 | 0.58% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00993774 | 0.58% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.00977392 | 0.57% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00976142 | 0.57% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.00965288 | 0.56% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00942029 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.00938362 | 0.55% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00937178 | 0.55% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00928678 | 0.54% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.00926454 | 0.54% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.00892011 | 0.52% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00859539 | 0.50% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.00832013 | 0.48% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.00828616 | 0.48% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00822939 | 0.48% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.00818239 | 0.48% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00800409 | 0.47% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00789492 | 0.46% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00786515 | 0.46% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0078053 | 0.45% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00780315 | 0.45% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.00771176 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.00770194 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -0.0076239 | 0.44% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00761885 | 0.44% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.00729112 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00724086 | 0.42% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0072286 | 0.42% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.00714295 | 0.42% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00697888 | 0.41% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0069253 | 0.40% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00691264 | 0.40% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.00690576 | 0.40% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.00690576 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | -0.00685763 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | -0.00685763 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00683775 | 0.40% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.00683379 | 0.40% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | -0.00680124 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00674249 | 0.39% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00673849 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.00673179 | 0.39% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | -0.00652881 | 0.38% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.00641067 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00635684 | 0.37% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.00625138 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.00616667 | 0.36% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | -0.00616048 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.00614826 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.00607991 | 0.35% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00607392 | 0.35% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00607392 | 0.35% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00602117 | 0.35% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.00594697 | 0.35% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00576988 | 0.34% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.00571436 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.00569626 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.00567669 | 0.33% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00557642 | 0.32% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | -0.00554322 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0055323 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.005503 | 0.32% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.0054913 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00545818 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.00545142 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.00541529 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | -0.00538127 | 0.31% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00533297 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.00532575 | 0.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00526287 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00522917 | 0.30% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | -0.00521517 | 0.30% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00516023 | 0.30% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00514666 | 0.30% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00511485 | 0.30% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00495913 | 0.29% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00492782 | 0.29% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00483696 | 0.28% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00480011 | 0.28% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00477093 | 0.28% | positive |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.00474451 | 0.28% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.00467294 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.00461654 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.00459367 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00450756 | 0.26% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00450143 | 0.26% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | -0.00446249 | 0.26% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00439089 | 0.26% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.00437153 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00433829 | 0.25% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.00432816 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00426395 | 0.25% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.00425949 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00419288 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00411921 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00411168 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00396838 | 0.23% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.0037788 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0037788 | 0.22% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | -0.00364427 | 0.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00362576 | 0.21% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | -0.00359759 | 0.21% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00346388 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.0034368 | 0.20% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | -0.00339162 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.00336463 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00334629 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.00334629 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00332717 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00330972 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.00329606 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | -0.00327277 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00325293 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0032282 | 0.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00321117 | 0.19% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00320158 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00319557 | 0.19% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.00319486 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00315495 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00312277 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00309218 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00304649 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.0030246 | 0.18% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.00298616 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0029202 | 0.17% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00289307 | 0.17% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.00278944 | 0.16% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00278039 | 0.16% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00278039 | 0.16% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00275017 | 0.16% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00267564 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | -0.00267117 | 0.16% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00266168 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00263761 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00263478 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | -0.0025985 | 0.15% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.00239314 | 0.14% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.00239314 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00239052 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | -0.00236977 | 0.14% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00234039 | 0.14% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00234039 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | -0.00232956 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.0023174 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00230509 | 0.13% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.00227557 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.00227557 | 0.13% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.0022715 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.00226872 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00221233 | 0.13% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00221233 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.00219624 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00219011 | 0.13% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | -0.0020734 | 0.12% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -0.00196718 | 0.11% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -0.00186361 | 0.11% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00182733 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | -0.00170762 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00169169 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00169169 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00164236 | 0.10% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.00158364 | 0.09% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00157303 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00145677 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00145646 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.00142751 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00142508 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00142457 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00140114 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.00139867 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00136598 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00136353 | 0.08% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00136353 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.00135679 | 0.08% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.00133128 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00132832 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.00131408 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.00131408 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.00130424 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00129892 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00129892 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | -0.00126531 | 0.07% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00121237 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00120633 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00118355 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117891 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117891 | 0.07% | positive |
| `rest_days` | 0.00113001 | 0.07% | positive |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00113001 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | -0.00111432 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.00109342 | 0.06% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | -0.00108649 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00104201 | 0.06% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00103901 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00102777 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | -0.00102458 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | -0.00102458 | 0.06% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.00102343 | 0.06% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.00102343 | 0.06% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000971043 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000936245 | 0.05% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000921381 | 0.05% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000896862 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.00089128 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.000885912 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | -0.000865587 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.000852133 | 0.05% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000805406 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | -0.000768291 | 0.04% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.000766096 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00070789 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000659588 | 0.04% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000644791 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000614938 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | -0.000612827 | 0.04% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -0.000606132 | 0.04% | negative |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.000594663 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.000590903 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000555215 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000539821 | 0.03% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.000532282 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000532133 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.000532133 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000530996 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.000529077 | 0.03% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000511254 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000449696 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.00043956 | 0.03% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000406183 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | -0.000377715 | 0.02% | negative |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.000377559 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.000318547 | 0.02% | negative |
| `is_home` | 0.000309198 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.000292564 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.000224496 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.000205708 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000184676 | 0.01% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000143891 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00013017 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.000120093 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000116728 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | -9.78686e-05 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -5.05766e-05 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -2.28302e-05 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 1.41866e-05 | 0.00% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 5.65409e-15 | 0.00% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -2.58793e-15 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -2.45917e-15 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | -2.32495e-15 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -2.15757e-15 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | -1.64484e-15 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -2.84474e-16 | 0.00% | negative |
| `pregame_position_qb` | -1.13889e-16 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 7.40555e-17 | 0.00% | positive |

#### #4 hist_gradient_boosting (hist_gradient_boosting)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.2105. Features: 299.

No stable per-predictor coefficient is exposed for this artifact. Exact inputs: `is_home`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff`, `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5`, `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5`, `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8`, `player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_completions_ewma`, `player_player_completions_last3`, `player_player_completions_last5`, `player_player_completions_last8`, `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `player_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `player_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_passing_tds_last3`, `player_player_passing_tds_last5`, `player_player_passing_tds_last8`, `player_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_passing_yards_last3`, `player_player_passing_yards_last5`, `player_player_passing_yards_last8`, `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `player_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_receptions_ewma`, `player_player_receptions_last3`, `player_player_receptions_last5`, `player_player_receptions_last8`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `player_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `player_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `player_player_sacks_ewma`, `player_player_sacks_last3`, `player_player_sacks_last5`, `player_player_sacks_last8`, `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `player_player_scoring_tds_last8`, `player_receiving_targets_ewma`, `player_receiving_targets_last3`, `player_receiving_targets_last5`, `player_receiving_targets_last8`, `player_rushing_attempts_ewma`, `player_rushing_attempts_last3`, `player_rushing_attempts_last5`, `player_rushing_attempts_last8`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5`, `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8`, `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last3`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last5`, `player_scoring_opportunities_last8`, `pregame_position_qb`, `pregame_position_rb`, `pregame_position_te`, `pregame_position_wr`, `pregame_rest_days`, `pregame_spread_line`, `pregame_team_favorite_margin`, `pregame_team_win_call`, `pregame_team_win_probability`, `pregame_temperature`, `pregame_total_line`, `pregame_week`, `pregame_wind`, `rest_days`, `team_player_completions_ewma`, `team_player_completions_last3`, `team_player_completions_last5`, `team_player_completions_last8`, `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last3`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last5`, `team_player_passing_attempts_last8`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5`, `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8`, `team_player_passing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_passing_tds_last3`, `team_player_passing_tds_last5`, `team_player_passing_tds_last8`, `team_player_passing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_passing_yards_last3`, `team_player_passing_yards_last5`, `team_player_passing_yards_last8`, `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last3`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last5`, `team_player_receiving_tds_last8`, `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_receptions_ewma`, `team_player_receptions_last3`, `team_player_receptions_last5`, `team_player_receptions_last8`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8`, `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last3`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last5`, `team_player_rushing_tds_last8`, `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last3`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last5`, `team_player_rushing_yards_last8`, `team_player_sacks_ewma`, `team_player_sacks_last3`, `team_player_sacks_last5`, `team_player_sacks_last8`, `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last3`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last5`, `team_player_scoring_tds_last8`.

### `player_scoring_tds`

#### #1 ridge_alpha_10.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.3206. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.173194 | 2.99% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.105675 | 1.82% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0980574 | 1.69% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0951936 | 1.64% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0887647 | 1.53% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0883794 | 1.53% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.0871092 | 1.50% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.0835326 | 1.44% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0819268 | 1.41% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0798242 | 1.38% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0759461 | 1.31% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0743139 | 1.28% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0709394 | 1.22% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.0669775 | 1.16% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.0669775 | 1.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.064132 | 1.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0634865 | 1.10% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0599347 | 1.03% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0594695 | 1.03% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0588602 | 1.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0584263 | 1.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0514265 | 0.89% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -0.0495034 | 0.85% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.0491563 | 0.85% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.048649 | 0.84% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.0486361 | 0.84% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0486168 | 0.84% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0485638 | 0.84% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0476904 | 0.82% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0474213 | 0.82% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0471808 | 0.81% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.046343 | 0.80% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0455165 | 0.79% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.0436623 | 0.75% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0424376 | 0.73% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0420637 | 0.73% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0417786 | 0.72% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0411479 | 0.71% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0410558 | 0.71% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0396553 | 0.68% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | -0.0384308 | 0.66% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.0383362 | 0.66% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.0380462 | 0.66% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.0376319 | 0.65% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.0372243 | 0.64% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.0365723 | 0.63% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0362782 | 0.63% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0362159 | 0.62% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0362159 | 0.62% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0357269 | 0.62% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0356863 | 0.62% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.0356863 | 0.62% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.0351834 | 0.61% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0347942 | 0.60% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0343338 | 0.59% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0337653 | 0.58% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0334704 | 0.58% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0328315 | 0.57% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0319132 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0316857 | 0.55% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.0314406 | 0.54% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.0313412 | 0.54% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0311743 | 0.54% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.0311336 | 0.54% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0305494 | 0.53% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0305454 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.0304032 | 0.52% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0302615 | 0.52% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -0.0301281 | 0.52% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.0300684 | 0.52% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0297167 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0294306 | 0.51% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0286944 | 0.50% | positive |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0275331 | 0.48% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.0272974 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0271838 | 0.47% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | -0.026547 | 0.46% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0261377 | 0.45% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0258322 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0258163 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0257967 | 0.45% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.024957 | 0.43% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.02408 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0239014 | 0.41% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.0233622 | 0.40% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0228772 | 0.39% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0227039 | 0.39% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.0226126 | 0.39% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0219898 | 0.38% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0218999 | 0.38% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0209723 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0208991 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0207852 | 0.36% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.0201794 | 0.35% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.019738 | 0.34% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0195713 | 0.34% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.019488 | 0.34% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0193437 | 0.33% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0193437 | 0.33% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0193248 | 0.33% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0191601 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0191397 | 0.33% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.018888 | 0.33% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.0188652 | 0.33% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0187414 | 0.32% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.0186519 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.0182556 | 0.32% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0182282 | 0.31% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.017749 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0176944 | 0.31% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | -0.0175415 | 0.30% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.0174354 | 0.30% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.0165283 | 0.29% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.0164588 | 0.28% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0164219 | 0.28% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0163017 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0160893 | 0.28% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0160882 | 0.28% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.016033 | 0.28% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.0160134 | 0.28% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.0158366 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.0157129 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0155987 | 0.27% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0154776 | 0.27% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.015083 | 0.26% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.015083 | 0.26% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0148061 | 0.26% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0147745 | 0.25% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0146889 | 0.25% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0146544 | 0.25% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0144535 | 0.25% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.0144333 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.0144333 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0144246 | 0.25% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.0142685 | 0.25% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.0141796 | 0.24% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0141698 | 0.24% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0139354 | 0.24% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.0134328 | 0.23% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.0129418 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0128525 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0126998 | 0.22% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0126998 | 0.22% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.0126374 | 0.22% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0125963 | 0.22% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.0123214 | 0.21% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0121757 | 0.21% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.0121688 | 0.21% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.0121175 | 0.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.0115516 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0114328 | 0.20% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0114137 | 0.20% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0112302 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0111631 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0111511 | 0.19% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0110535 | 0.19% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0110535 | 0.19% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0104715 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.0104715 | 0.18% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.0104397 | 0.18% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0104397 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.0104366 | 0.18% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.0103716 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | -0.0102888 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0101313 | 0.17% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0100264 | 0.17% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.00998022 | 0.17% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.0099089 | 0.17% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00978631 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00970666 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.00915848 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00904597 | 0.16% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00892027 | 0.15% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00892027 | 0.15% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.00884401 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.00868758 | 0.15% | negative |
| `pregame_position_rb` | -0.00850502 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | -0.00834941 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.00791697 | 0.14% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.00782013 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.00782013 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00775947 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00767863 | 0.13% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00762655 | 0.13% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.00748339 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | -0.00730821 | 0.13% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | -0.00728749 | 0.13% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00712593 | 0.12% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00709041 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -0.00704684 | 0.12% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00694745 | 0.12% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00677453 | 0.12% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | -0.00652022 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00650673 | 0.11% | positive |
| `pregame_position_wr` | -0.00649995 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00649036 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00648088 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00645195 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00644337 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00637095 | 0.11% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00637095 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.00633971 | 0.11% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.00630534 | 0.11% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.00617244 | 0.11% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00594071 | 0.10% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00594071 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00586001 | 0.10% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.00584987 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00562926 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.0054435 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00536059 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.00532953 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00528591 | 0.09% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0052665 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00515456 | 0.09% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00514586 | 0.09% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.00514536 | 0.09% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00502016 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00496987 | 0.09% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00492889 | 0.09% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.00469338 | 0.08% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00465439 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.00465138 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.00463967 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.00456471 | 0.08% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00456397 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00452817 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00447732 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00430959 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.00412485 | 0.07% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00400901 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00400229 | 0.07% | positive |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.00389068 | 0.07% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.00388593 | 0.07% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00388494 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00388494 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00380711 | 0.07% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00380711 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.00372613 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00363636 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.00356661 | 0.06% | positive |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00345521 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.00333337 | 0.06% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00318077 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00316726 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.00304133 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00303144 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0029375 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.00287588 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00283937 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00279162 | 0.05% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00267928 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00267928 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00266062 | 0.05% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.00265587 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.00256768 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.00255489 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00233383 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00223612 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00221034 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.00218877 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00210699 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00209419 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00204179 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00190431 | 0.03% | positive |
| `rest_days` | -0.00184025 | 0.03% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.00184025 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00179057 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | -0.00159796 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00153972 | 0.03% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | -0.00153972 | 0.03% | negative |
| `is_home` | 0.00148744 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00146497 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00146497 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00144362 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | -0.00135636 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00134776 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.00125396 | 0.02% | negative |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.00122227 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.00116091 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00116012 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00108572 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00104335 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000937062 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000852773 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.000832336 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.000738358 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.000622583 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000499806 | 0.01% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0004724 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.000369218 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.000361186 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000322536 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000322536 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000287704 | 0.00% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | -0.000189758 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | -0.00016988 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.000111672 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | -5.69772e-05 | 0.00% | negative |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.3224. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.517144 | 51.71% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0494732 | 4.95% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0455 | 4.55% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0308575 | 3.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0277146 | 2.77% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0275672 | 2.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0115983 | 1.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.00948849 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00681632 | 0.68% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00563582 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00478248 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00471759 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00464801 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.0046 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0044968 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.00446202 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00425841 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00417094 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00355665 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0035301 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00326843 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00301169 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00294612 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0028168 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00271883 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00259655 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00257572 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00256341 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00255385 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00253048 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00250067 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00245338 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00244293 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00241454 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00236309 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00234889 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0023021 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0022524 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00223005 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00222082 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00221149 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00219265 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00218249 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00213341 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00209923 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00209052 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00208368 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00204125 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00200444 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00198819 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00198251 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00197398 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00195888 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00187974 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.0018689 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.0018597 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00184887 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00184266 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.00184083 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00182916 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00182155 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00180274 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00175447 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00164575 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00162285 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.00159885 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00159087 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.0015798 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00152986 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.0015282 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00149937 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00149243 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00143248 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00142262 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00141695 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00141668 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00136872 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00135161 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00129815 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00128967 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00127413 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00126695 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0012654 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00126397 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00122006 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00119255 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0011813 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00118057 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00112441 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00112323 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00110834 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00110618 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00108541 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.0010831 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0010705 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00105765 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00105584 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00104835 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00103109 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00102563 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00102456 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00100894 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00100499 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000997823 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00098917 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000981503 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.000957637 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000953899 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000928363 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000926093 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000920671 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000919978 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000917827 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000917268 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000907468 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00088642 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000872756 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000872324 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000870808 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.000840192 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000833662 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000829275 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.000826084 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000814053 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000809221 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000801329 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000800885 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000797739 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.000780017 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00077999 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000774976 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.000770585 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000768828 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.000764349 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000755334 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000752942 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000736817 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000729235 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000726033 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000722315 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000708189 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000696386 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00068655 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000679746 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000673957 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000666313 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000657991 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.000654499 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000616047 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000612232 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000611196 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.000611031 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000600901 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.000598143 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000596183 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000589964 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000588942 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000584987 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000579817 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000569612 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.000563486 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000556948 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000548707 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000546111 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000533805 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000532358 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000522246 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000505261 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00049425 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000486331 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000485682 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.000482185 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00047831 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000475124 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000461567 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000448067 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000443542 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0004409 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00043742 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000434083 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000433831 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000428872 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000427145 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.000416426 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000415444 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000413182 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000412381 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000407795 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000406372 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000400708 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000399356 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000396115 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000385579 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.000381731 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000374704 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000374675 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000368581 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000365168 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000360161 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000357548 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000351439 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000347893 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000338065 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000333591 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000328109 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000322561 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000321962 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000321656 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00032097 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000320598 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000319466 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.000319132 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000306466 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00030586 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000305014 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000284481 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000283762 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000280483 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.000267073 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.000242339 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000238245 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000231341 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000229207 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000227502 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000224508 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000222189 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000222037 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000214951 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000213397 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000210819 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000207342 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000206654 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000205864 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000205252 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000203124 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.000201621 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000201445 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000192145 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00019112 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000187482 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000181471 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000171462 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000171041 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.000169172 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000168345 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000163923 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000161704 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000156287 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.000150276 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00014993 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000146597 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000145499 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000141248 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000138832 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000137066 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000136965 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00013502 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000129253 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00012766 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000126386 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000126281 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.000123134 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000118555 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000111978 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000109951 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000109864 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000108208 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00010582 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000105652 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000104229 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000100011 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 9.81957e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 9.44492e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 8.98379e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 8.51378e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 8.417e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 8.03632e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 7.98072e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 7.59258e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 7.48324e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 7.0918e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 6.79717e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 6.62114e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 6.33657e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 5.56167e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 4.61321e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 3.64963e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 3.33872e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 3.14304e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 2.83537e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 2.6221e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 2.54955e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 2.27589e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 1.83475e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 1.49052e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 1.29181e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.3227. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.0830776 | 8.31% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0613236 | 6.13% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.059459 | 5.95% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0522867 | 5.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0444453 | 4.44% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.0434454 | 4.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0389094 | 3.89% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | 0.0324982 | 3.25% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0323766 | 3.24% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.0299242 | 2.99% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.029871 | 2.99% | unsigned |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | 0.0290555 | 2.91% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0274579 | 2.75% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.0239152 | 2.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0189291 | 1.89% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.0157042 | 1.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0110977 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.0103952 | 1.04% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.00917087 | 0.92% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.00863199 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00861789 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | 0.00758391 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00758261 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00734836 | 0.73% | unsigned |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0069832 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00640563 | 0.64% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00620038 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00500823 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00487102 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00474836 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00440105 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.00428135 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00352068 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00348105 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00337831 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00294342 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.00292929 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.00290846 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00279387 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00270971 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00243748 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00224855 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.00217799 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00214277 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | 0.0021066 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.0020417 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00203526 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00199719 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00199567 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00197137 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00195578 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.0019021 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00189975 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00185647 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.00184771 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00183991 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00182208 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | 0.00180529 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00180463 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00177404 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00176451 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00175937 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00174796 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_temperature` | 0.00174537 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00173929 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00168585 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | 0.00162446 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00160212 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00159901 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00157658 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00156999 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00155457 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0015476 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00154387 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00153161 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00146362 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00146314 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00146263 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | 0.00143143 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.00141986 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00140809 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0013732 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00135709 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00135531 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00132994 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00132856 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0013166 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00130904 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00130107 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.00129159 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00126124 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.00125718 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00125119 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00122171 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.00121614 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00120081 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00119846 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00118818 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00118428 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0011834 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00117818 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00117413 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.00117183 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | 0.00116079 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00115026 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00114998 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_rest_days` | 0.00114565 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00114159 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00114077 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00113963 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.0011391 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00113619 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00113187 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00112392 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | 0.00112338 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00112132 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00111672 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00111643 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00111086 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00111051 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.0011096 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00110881 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0011087 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.00110046 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00110044 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_wind` | 0.00109747 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00108494 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108485 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.00108085 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.00107236 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00106927 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00106704 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.00106683 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00106246 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | 0.00106246 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.00106125 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00105686 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00105338 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00103946 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00103891 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00103872 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00103698 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00103567 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00103514 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00103384 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00103272 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00102693 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00101698 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | 0.00101175 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00100689 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00100647 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00100645 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00100341 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000995426 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000991273 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000990493 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000982295 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000971964 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.000970654 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.000970247 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000964773 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000959178 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.000956974 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000954056 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00095309 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000951816 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000950378 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000946805 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000942768 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00093325 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000925481 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000921376 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000920609 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000918978 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000909761 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00090389 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000900893 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000895369 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000890658 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000872546 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000869066 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000868225 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000864773 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000861941 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000855728 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00085084 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000848545 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000842025 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000835311 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000829009 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000827414 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_rb` | 0.000826335 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000824536 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000824065 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000818527 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000818204 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000818083 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000815596 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000815586 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000813184 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000813175 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000800156 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000796649 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000794087 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000789826 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000783141 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000779753 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000778084 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.000772686 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000765719 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000760959 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000758841 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000757218 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000753567 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.000753123 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000745145 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00074174 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000740993 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000738973 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000732285 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000732004 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000731387 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000718452 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000714706 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000707681 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000691557 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.000683288 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000679881 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000675026 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000667029 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00065783 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000650085 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000648358 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000645119 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000619656 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000572137 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000572054 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000551446 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000539858 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00050838 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000505573 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000493027 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_wr` | 0.000491329 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000489027 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000471182 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.000448309 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000441957 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000417354 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00040514 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000389364 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00038251 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000380893 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000377739 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000377529 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000349722 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000345441 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.000323496 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | 0.000319949 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000309369 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | 0.000297479 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000280402 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0002804 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000278689 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00027194 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000270759 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | 0.00026761 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000266661 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000239891 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00021635 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000211758 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000204265 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.000201013 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000197301 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000193419 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.000191344 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00018609 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000170587 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000169683 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000167538 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000164303 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.000154118 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000149885 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000148734 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000135634 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | 0.000132121 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000129497 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | 0.000128586 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000123859 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000114037 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000105469 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | 9.94361e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 9.55394e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | 8.06455e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 4.32598e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | 3.71737e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 2.44448e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | 2.25784e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | 2.19618e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | 1.14373e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 linear_ols (linear)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.3231. Features: 299.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | 2.24444 | 6.21% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last8` | -1.50819 | 4.17% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -1.42153 | 3.93% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last8` | -1.4058 | 3.89% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | 1.25704 | 3.48% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last3` | 1.16473 | 3.22% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | -1.13224 | 3.13% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 1.09332 | 3.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | -1.03026 | 2.85% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 1.02052 | 2.82% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.892959 | 2.47% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.81662 | 2.26% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.760459 | 2.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.709185 | 1.96% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.696229 | 1.93% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.696184 | 1.93% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.671042 | 1.86% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last8` | -0.667851 | 1.85% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.646435 | 1.79% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_diff` | -0.587924 | 1.63% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.579167 | 1.60% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.533818 | 1.48% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.527372 | 1.46% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last8` | -0.510944 | 1.41% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.473417 | 1.31% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.43083 | 1.19% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.43083 | 1.19% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_diff` | -0.426281 | 1.18% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.355314 | 0.98% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.292469 | 0.81% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.28232 | 0.78% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.27625 | 0.76% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.271303 | 0.75% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last5` | -0.26802 | 0.74% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | -0.260907 | 0.72% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.253123 | 0.70% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.249822 | 0.69% | negative |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | 0.223259 | 0.62% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.210472 | 0.58% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.205098 | 0.57% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.199453 | 0.55% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | -0.192348 | 0.53% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.187485 | 0.52% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.185815 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_diff` | -0.180763 | 0.50% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.175622 | 0.49% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_ewma` | -0.168867 | 0.47% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.168418 | 0.47% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_diff` | 0.166301 | 0.46% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma` | 0.153382 | 0.42% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.148883 | 0.41% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.144306 | 0.40% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.140549 | 0.39% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_ewma` | -0.139655 | 0.39% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last8` | -0.139267 | 0.39% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.135941 | 0.38% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.134005 | 0.37% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.130094 | 0.36% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_ewma` | -0.125284 | 0.35% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.118255 | 0.33% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.117353 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.116927 | 0.32% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | -0.116701 | 0.32% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.114128 | 0.32% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last3` | 0.113089 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.110782 | 0.31% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.110782 | 0.31% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_ewma` | 0.108346 | 0.30% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_ewma` | -0.0980115 | 0.27% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0962698 | 0.27% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_ratio` | -0.0945644 | 0.26% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | -0.0928171 | 0.26% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_ewma` | -0.0900565 | 0.25% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_ewma` | -0.0900565 | 0.25% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_ewma` | -0.0894106 | 0.25% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0844554 | 0.23% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0768814 | 0.21% | positive |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_ewma` | -0.0750237 | 0.21% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0719902 | 0.20% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last8` | 0.0693426 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.0689335 | 0.19% | positive |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last5` | 0.0689153 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.0688786 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.067404 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0660182 | 0.18% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.063394 | 0.18% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last5` | -0.0596147 | 0.16% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -0.0578173 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.0568915 | 0.16% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0562367 | 0.16% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_diff` | -0.0562185 | 0.16% | negative |
| `player_player_scoring_tds_last3` | 0.0554429 | 0.15% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last8` | -0.0494072 | 0.14% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0490833 | 0.14% | positive |
| `player_player_completions_last5` | 0.0474666 | 0.13% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0466924 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.0466174 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8` | -0.0460353 | 0.13% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last3` | -0.0452541 | 0.13% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.0439285 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0432944 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | -0.0430523 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | -0.0427978 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.0414844 | 0.11% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last8_ratio` | -0.0402616 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0389291 | 0.11% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_ewma` | 0.0389291 | 0.11% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_tds_last5` | -0.038912 | 0.11% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_diff` | 0.0381929 | 0.11% | positive |
| `player_player_receiving_tds_last5` | -0.0381069 | 0.11% | negative |
| `player_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0370932 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0363315 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last5` | 0.0359516 | 0.10% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.0357273 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_ratio` | 0.0353367 | 0.10% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.03513 | 0.10% | negative |
| `player_player_completions_last3` | -0.0350244 | 0.10% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_ratio` | -0.0333621 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.0328372 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.032768 | 0.09% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0320422 | 0.09% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_ewma` | -0.0308929 | 0.09% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last5` | 0.0291024 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_last8` | 0.028752 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.028668 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | -0.0277413 | 0.08% | negative |
| `pregame_total_line` | 0.0275565 | 0.08% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.0273731 | 0.08% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3` | -0.026828 | 0.07% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last5` | -0.0261588 | 0.07% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.024874 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0245024 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.0244002 | 0.07% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_receiving_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0235729 | 0.07% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.0230023 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0228897 | 0.06% | positive |
| `player_receiving_targets_ewma` | 0.0226931 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.022428 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.0221639 | 0.06% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.0217273 | 0.06% | positive |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0216367 | 0.06% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last5` | -0.0205876 | 0.06% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last5` | -0.0205876 | 0.06% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0192532 | 0.05% | positive |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last8` | 0.0188714 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0187925 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last8` | -0.018646 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_ratio` | -0.0185841 | 0.05% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0183885 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0181539 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.0181442 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_diff` | -0.0180137 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_ratio` | -0.0179619 | 0.05% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_last3` | -0.017417 | 0.05% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0172369 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.0168391 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.0164936 | 0.05% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -0.0162674 | 0.05% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0161535 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_ratio` | -0.01599 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_last3` | 0.0155395 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_attempts_ewma` | -0.015355 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_scoring_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0152104 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0151045 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0151045 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last8_diff` | -0.0149463 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0148576 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0148331 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0143295 | 0.04% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0143005 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last8` | 0.0132153 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_last8` | 0.0132153 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last8` | -0.0132068 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last8` | -0.0132068 | 0.04% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.0129475 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last5_diff` | -0.0128174 | 0.04% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | -0.0126848 | 0.04% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.0126744 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last3` | 0.0126684 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last3` | 0.0126684 | 0.04% | positive |
| `player_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last5` | -0.0122931 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | -0.0122923 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.0112858 | 0.03% | negative |
| `team_player_receptions_last3` | 0.0111004 | 0.03% | positive |
| `team_player_completions_last3` | 0.0111004 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.0109896 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.0107879 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | -0.0104962 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.0102949 | 0.03% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_ewma` | -0.0102946 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00978919 | 0.03% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00973101 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_tds_last5` | -0.00941158 | 0.03% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last5` | -0.00940384 | 0.03% | negative |
| `matchup_player_sacks_last5_diff` | -0.00894815 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00879258 | 0.02% | positive |
| `pregame_position_rb` | -0.00872577 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last5_diff` | 0.00870692 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last8_diff` | -0.00858149 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00843216 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00843216 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00841826 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00835414 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last8_diff` | 0.00795959 | 0.02% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last3` | 0.00794624 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00789545 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_ewma_diff` | -0.00783755 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00773996 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00773996 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_sacks_allowed_last5` | -0.00749951 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00711159 | 0.02% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.00699415 | 0.02% | negative |
| `pregame_position_wr` | -0.0067483 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | -0.00672308 | 0.02% | negative |
| `matchup_player_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00662243 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.00655313 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.00653491 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last8` | -0.00629475 | 0.02% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last8` | -0.00629475 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_rushing_receiving_opportunities_last5` | 0.00628978 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_scoring_opportunities_last5` | 0.00628978 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00611073 | 0.02% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | -0.00583397 | 0.02% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00564155 | 0.02% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0055424 | 0.02% | positive |
| `player_player_receptions_last5` | -0.00529057 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00514276 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00514276 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_sacks_last8` | -0.00503707 | 0.01% | negative |
| `pregame_position_te` | 0.00484441 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00476933 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00474754 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00474594 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00463074 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last5` | -0.00451036 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_last3_diff` | 0.00450009 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_sacks_ewma_ratio` | -0.00442176 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00435536 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receiving_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00435536 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | -0.00429841 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | -0.0041099 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last5_diff` | -0.00410086 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00405599 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00401992 | 0.01% | positive |
| `pregame_wind` | -0.00395678 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_receiving_targets_last3` | -0.00383392 | 0.01% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00371144 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00333479 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00333382 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00310609 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last3` | 0.00309159 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_receiving_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00306169 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00303694 | 0.01% | positive |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00294308 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last3` | -0.00292109 | 0.01% | negative |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last3` | -0.00292109 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00286069 | 0.01% | positive |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00269193 | 0.01% | positive |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last5` | -0.00249709 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_defensive_qb_hits_ewma` | -0.00228336 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last5` | -0.00222526 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.00213481 | 0.01% | negative |
| `player_player_passing_interceptions_ewma` | -0.00210565 | 0.01% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_ratio` | -0.0020818 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00204441 | 0.01% | negative |
| `pregame_rest_days` | -0.0019274 | 0.01% | negative |
| `rest_days` | -0.0019274 | 0.01% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | -0.00170626 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00164604 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_receiving_tds_last8` | 0.00164604 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00162885 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_passing_interceptions_last8` | 0.00155958 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_receiving_tds_last5_diff` | -0.00148403 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_rushing_yards_last5` | -0.0014753 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receptions_ewma_diff` | -0.00145073 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_rushing_tds_last8` | -0.00142301 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_passing_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00140184 | 0.00% | positive |
| `is_home` | 0.00139756 | 0.00% | positive |
| `opponent_player_receptions_allowed_last3` | -0.00118714 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_completions_allowed_last3` | -0.00118714 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_receiving_yards_last3_diff` | -0.00116985 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_rushing_attempts_last3` | -0.00113209 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_passing_interceptions_last3_diff` | -0.00112225 | 0.00% | negative |
| `matchup_player_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00098109 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | -0.00082797 | 0.00% | negative |
| `opponent_player_scoring_tds_allowed_last3` | -0.000817264 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_receiving_yards_last3` | 0.000720263 | 0.00% | positive |
| `matchup_player_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000657898 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last3` | -0.000626772 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_sacks_last5` | -0.000592408 | 0.00% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000582096 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_scoring_tds_last8` | 0.000441189 | 0.00% | positive |
| `pregame_position_qb` | 0.000376598 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_sacks_last8` | -0.000316024 | 0.00% | negative |
| `team_player_completions_ewma` | 0.000270441 | 0.00% | positive |
| `team_player_receptions_ewma` | 0.000270441 | 0.00% | positive |
| `pregame_temperature` | -0.000245887 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_ewma` | -0.000132003 | 0.00% | negative |
| `player_player_sacks_last3` | -5.78453e-05 | 0.00% | negative |

### `points_scored`

#### #1 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.4623. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 1.62575 | 10.64% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 1.54125 | 10.09% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 1.2408 | 8.12% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | -1.13321 | 7.42% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.618473 | 4.05% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.581496 | 3.81% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | -0.560882 | 3.67% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | -0.523319 | 3.42% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | -0.434974 | 2.85% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.425643 | 2.79% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.405981 | 2.66% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.404665 | 2.65% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.37354 | 2.44% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.362745 | 2.37% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | -0.348428 | 2.28% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | -0.342133 | 2.24% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | -0.337666 | 2.21% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.337297 | 2.21% | positive |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.31304 | 2.05% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.31286 | 2.05% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.284202 | 1.86% | positive |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | -0.274646 | 1.80% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.251827 | 1.65% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.248198 | 1.62% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.242631 | 1.59% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | -0.235149 | 1.54% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.197666 | 1.29% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.193737 | 1.27% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.175678 | 1.15% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | -0.173967 | 1.14% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | -0.17364 | 1.14% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.153072 | 1.00% | positive |
| `pregame_week` | -0.139017 | 0.91% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | -0.0918611 | 0.60% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | -0.0777457 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | -0.0574194 | 0.38% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.0466357 | 0.31% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | -0.016038 | 0.10% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0128421 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00680887 | 0.04% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00400617 | 0.03% | positive |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.4801. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.376294 | 37.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.0937955 | 9.38% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0405639 | 4.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.0384336 | 3.84% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0292322 | 2.92% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.0260459 | 2.60% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.025152 | 2.52% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.0238378 | 2.38% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0197562 | 1.98% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.0168909 | 1.69% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0157975 | 1.58% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.0151609 | 1.52% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.0144905 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0143545 | 1.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0140428 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.0140379 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0137147 | 1.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.0134603 | 1.35% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0134596 | 1.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0130937 | 1.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.0130628 | 1.31% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.0119498 | 1.19% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.0111076 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.0110858 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.0101861 | 1.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.0098752 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00945126 | 0.95% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00944451 | 0.94% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00919283 | 0.92% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00901279 | 0.90% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00861111 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00825857 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.00797271 | 0.80% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.00732728 | 0.73% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00702452 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00659879 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.00511192 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00474215 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.00425377 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.00411568 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #3 linear_ols (linear)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 7.4817. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 25.5887 | 14.74% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | -20.3569 | 11.73% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | -20.3306 | 11.71% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 15.9289 | 9.18% | positive |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 14.7962 | 8.53% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | -14.3892 | 8.29% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | -11.8645 | 6.84% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 11.2759 | 6.50% | positive |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | -9.29379 | 5.36% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 3.55849 | 2.05% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 3.40868 | 1.96% | positive |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | -3.18556 | 1.84% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | -1.90318 | 1.10% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 1.88507 | 1.09% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 1.80163 | 1.04% | positive |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 1.718 | 0.99% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | -1.21115 | 0.70% | negative |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | -1.14298 | 0.66% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 1.1071 | 0.64% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | -1.07287 | 0.62% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | -0.88924 | 0.51% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.836223 | 0.48% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.816155 | 0.47% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.561215 | 0.32% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.510967 | 0.29% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.457198 | 0.26% | positive |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.443108 | 0.26% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -0.442693 | 0.26% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | -0.377417 | 0.22% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | -0.333149 | 0.19% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.326983 | 0.19% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | -0.319677 | 0.18% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.270208 | 0.16% | positive |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | -0.26593 | 0.15% | negative |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | -0.200272 | 0.12% | negative |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | -0.174096 | 0.10% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.158514 | 0.09% | positive |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | -0.142497 | 0.08% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | -0.126215 | 0.07% | negative |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.0696455 | 0.04% | positive |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.0118877 | 0.01% | positive |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 7.4859. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.301037 | 30.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.0565681 | 5.66% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0270114 | 2.70% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.0176438 | 1.76% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.0172627 | 1.73% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0161964 | 1.62% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00878992 | 0.88% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00787315 | 0.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00765256 | 0.77% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00625309 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00489227 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00487825 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00428266 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00425004 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00418484 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00380631 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00350246 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00337927 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.0031816 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00304151 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00303658 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00297571 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00282195 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00268476 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00257477 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00256305 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00243338 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00241087 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00240664 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00236968 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00233514 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00222231 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00221222 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00221152 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00219628 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.0021885 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00218134 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00215559 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.002153 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00212023 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00210545 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00210532 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00210204 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00207821 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00205751 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00204723 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00200755 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00197733 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00197073 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00196487 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0019461 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00193673 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00193652 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00191001 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00189594 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00189291 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00187874 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00184644 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00184349 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00182168 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00181751 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00180696 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00180296 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00179805 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00179496 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00176482 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00175268 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00175158 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00173379 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00169733 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.0016926 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00167372 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00167115 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00167076 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00166901 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00166327 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.00163773 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00162621 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00162289 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00161778 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00161201 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00160083 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00159578 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0015948 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00158621 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.001579 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00156176 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00155383 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00154888 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00154545 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00153252 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00152571 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00152477 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00151466 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00151451 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00150268 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00150042 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00148793 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00148331 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00147803 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00144728 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00144658 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00143939 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00143661 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00142565 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00142242 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00141638 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00141351 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00140006 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00139957 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00139798 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00139683 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00139414 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00138439 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00137652 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00136297 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00136162 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00135936 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00135437 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00135393 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.00134993 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00134408 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00134313 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.0013326 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00132404 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00132242 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.0013198 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0013163 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129969 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00129392 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.0012861 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00128572 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00126721 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00126474 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00124108 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00123699 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00123566 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00123223 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00123196 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122931 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.001225 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.0012217 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00121774 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00121596 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121513 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00121459 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121448 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121438 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.0012138 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00121166 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00120706 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0011981 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00119019 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00118676 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0011781 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00116563 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116493 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116471 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00116197 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116172 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00115654 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00115403 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00115359 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00114713 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.00114515 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.0011428 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00113751 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00113567 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00113538 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00113517 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0011303 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00112643 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00112378 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00112127 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00111041 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110961 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00110532 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.0011044 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00110285 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110247 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.00110051 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00109802 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00109636 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00109459 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00109384 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00109055 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108938 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00107445 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00107351 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00107121 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.0010592 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00105638 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00103408 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00102831 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00102123 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00101993 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00101534 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0010151 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00100934 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00100832 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00100579 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.00100497 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0009953 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.000991024 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000978032 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000976679 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000975786 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000971999 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000969181 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000963914 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000955513 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000947949 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000945861 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000945359 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000944216 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000942355 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000934037 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000933617 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000932855 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.000931982 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000928772 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000928526 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000925449 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000924602 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000922632 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.000921164 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000920889 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00091976 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000917779 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000910564 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00091031 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000907237 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000907138 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000903536 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000902652 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000901836 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000899948 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000897881 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000897483 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000895447 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000886401 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000883661 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000883468 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000883293 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000882879 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000873334 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000871391 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000869314 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.000868993 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000868668 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.000860338 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000858422 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.000858005 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00085455 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000852601 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000849348 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000848714 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000841935 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000841806 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000840353 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000837199 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000836779 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000836469 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000835737 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00083565 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000826362 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.000820364 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000820288 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.000818759 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000818075 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000817303 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000816308 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000816109 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000815197 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000812527 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00081129 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000810052 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000808863 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000806811 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000798174 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00079773 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000794483 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000794011 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00079374 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.000793251 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000792473 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00079051 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000786301 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000786059 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000782516 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000781521 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000778 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000775062 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000772312 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000770918 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000767775 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000763543 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.0007634 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00076123 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000759973 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000758595 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000757713 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.000756869 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000755051 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000749986 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000749951 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000749125 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000748805 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000748498 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000748315 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000747936 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000746803 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000745574 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000745317 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000744271 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000743967 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.000741407 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00073785 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000735909 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000735723 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000734997 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.000734094 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.000733669 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00073342 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000732571 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000727496 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00072597 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000723759 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000723046 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.000722973 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000718743 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000715744 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000711336 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000710725 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000708798 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.000707915 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000707655 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00070357 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000703132 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000696214 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00069256 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000689702 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000687496 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000679992 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.000678565 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000675682 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000672498 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.000672456 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000669929 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000665082 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.000665051 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00066436 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.000659642 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000659614 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000657596 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000654991 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000653486 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.000642618 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.00063445 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000634039 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000633533 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000627788 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000626172 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00062391 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000617028 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00061507 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000614162 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000613137 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.000612704 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.000609888 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000607757 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000605316 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000605105 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00060327 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000602107 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000602063 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000597222 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000594532 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000593791 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000593154 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00059295 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000591776 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00059163 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000588955 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000587071 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000586654 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000586273 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000584274 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000581616 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000577712 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000576819 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000575971 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000574323 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00056876 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000568356 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000567467 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000565667 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000562755 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000562217 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000561043 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000560674 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000560237 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000557128 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000556889 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000556378 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000556276 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000553634 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000551125 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000549612 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000547477 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000544035 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000540248 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.000539653 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000538828 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000538815 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000535468 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.000524508 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.000520362 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000519871 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00051669 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.000513471 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00051332 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000510911 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000507316 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.0005063 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000505848 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000503122 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000500487 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00050017 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000498079 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000493644 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000491145 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00049081 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000488104 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000485549 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00048521 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000482431 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000480432 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000478585 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000476624 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.00047531 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000474127 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000473133 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000472338 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000469746 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000469323 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000468197 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000465214 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000464276 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000462409 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000461336 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000459817 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000456001 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000454183 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00045363 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000452275 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000450842 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000446548 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000446239 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000445912 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000445325 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000442464 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.0004419 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000441283 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000438357 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000437562 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000437375 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000435767 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000429662 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000426238 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00041768 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000414533 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000411269 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00041077 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.000409882 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.000409464 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000408946 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000408206 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000405242 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000399719 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000398765 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00039805 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.00039773 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000397016 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.000396173 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000395318 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000394544 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000393551 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000392904 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000389132 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.00038878 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000385714 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000385304 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000383427 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00038107 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000379852 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000379204 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000379035 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000377112 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000373454 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000368351 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000365838 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000363788 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.000363136 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000359498 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000359004 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000358389 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.000358048 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000356124 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000354009 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000348372 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000343806 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000342707 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000341383 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000335153 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000334617 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000333388 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000330244 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00032773 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000326814 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000325065 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000321926 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000319808 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.00031908 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000316904 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000315406 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000314446 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000312385 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00030129 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000298425 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000298198 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.000291317 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000291211 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000290608 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.0002828 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000279234 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000278432 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000274295 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000270855 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000270677 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000270589 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000264222 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000264205 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000254266 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000252604 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000244251 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000243124 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000242214 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000241558 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000238109 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000229159 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000228082 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000222683 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000222373 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000221681 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000216207 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000216196 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000214555 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000212932 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000212059 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000208704 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000200345 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000197361 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000195685 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000195162 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000185556 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000180326 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000176436 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000174 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000172273 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000166133 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000141304 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000131448 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000129254 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000121194 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000120874 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00012083 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 9.11955e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 8.4973e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 6.29459e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 5.40217e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 5.00626e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `rushing_tds`

#### #1 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `pregame`. Validation: MAE 0.7378. Features: 5.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.122263 | 63.95% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0443025 | 23.17% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.011843 | 6.19% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.011758 | 6.15% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.00100516 | 0.53% | positive |

#### #2 linear_ols (linear)

Feature set: `pregame`. Validation: MAE 0.7382. Features: 5.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.155376 | 80.78% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0123502 | 6.42% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.0119441 | 6.21% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0118482 | 6.16% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000829874 | 0.43% | positive |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 0.7383. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0784584 | 7.85% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0157684 | 1.58% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0143676 | 1.44% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.010987 | 1.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0106141 | 1.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0101026 | 1.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00988209 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00702796 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00650965 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.0062241 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00587086 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00576786 | 0.58% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00552314 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00513641 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.00491565 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00473276 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.00467175 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00459102 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.004228 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00414472 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00405234 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00402986 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00388385 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00372647 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.00362421 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00355702 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00353435 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.00349766 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00341081 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00329371 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00320537 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00317052 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00313211 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00310701 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0030782 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00307125 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0030708 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00297783 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00294518 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00291581 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00284546 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00283796 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00281046 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00279007 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0026606 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00262385 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00261065 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00258702 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00257725 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00257315 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00256326 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00253396 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00251196 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0024826 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00248193 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00244104 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00242316 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.002417 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00240676 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00240092 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0023989 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0023775 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00237509 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00236212 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00235943 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00233086 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00233023 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00232529 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00231925 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.0023091 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00230235 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00227402 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00224438 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00224325 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00221189 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00220711 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00220512 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00220344 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00218492 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00216477 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00213985 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00213309 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00211769 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00211486 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00209857 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00207931 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00205696 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.0020561 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00205596 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00204118 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00203567 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00203128 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00202637 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.00202538 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00202245 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00199937 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0019985 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00199836 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00199307 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00199164 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00198829 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00198348 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00197584 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00197148 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00196331 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00195308 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00193395 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.00193066 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.00192311 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00192259 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.00191754 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00189419 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00187589 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00187262 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00186286 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00185647 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0018488 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00184662 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00184544 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00183384 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00183086 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00182822 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.0018259 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00182333 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00182205 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00182086 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00181599 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00181298 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00181257 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00180944 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00180653 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00179969 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00179847 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.00178605 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00178322 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00177879 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00177569 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00177495 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00175841 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00175783 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00174623 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00174226 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00173599 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00172808 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00172665 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00172095 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00172019 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00171925 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00171195 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00170927 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00170712 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00170187 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0016998 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00169975 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00169968 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00169625 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00169363 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00169198 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00169102 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00168587 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00168456 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00167592 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00167412 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00166885 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00166761 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0016655 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0016647 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00165705 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00165187 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00165108 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.0016477 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00164068 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00163876 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00162816 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00162009 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0016008 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00159966 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00159375 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00159243 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0015896 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00158686 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00158679 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00158671 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00158153 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00158096 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00157076 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00156506 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00156339 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.0015618 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00155415 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00155001 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.0015483 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00153986 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00153899 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00153874 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00153565 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00153379 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00152697 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00151913 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00151159 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0015105 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00150976 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00149248 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.00149138 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00149061 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0014905 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00148988 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.0014817 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0014806 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00147374 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00147108 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00146117 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00145848 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0014522 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00145175 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.00145108 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00145094 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00144894 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014445 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.001432 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00142961 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00142665 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00142563 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00141544 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00141386 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00141297 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00140759 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00140745 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00140677 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00140149 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.001399 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00139771 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00139703 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00139539 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00139406 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.00139241 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00139167 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.0013897 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138559 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00138407 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00137963 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00137925 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00137277 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00137266 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00136961 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00136851 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.00136385 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.00136218 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00136168 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.00136116 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00135947 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00135659 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.0013528 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00134999 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00134364 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.00134132 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00133958 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00133818 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0013377 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.00133067 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00132554 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00132367 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00132095 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00130925 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00130696 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00130533 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.00130021 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00129596 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00128954 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.00128943 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00128291 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00128113 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.0012782 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00127788 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00127715 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.00127675 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127274 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127228 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127196 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.0012719 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00127001 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.00126383 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00126234 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00125874 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00125848 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.00125805 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00125445 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00124596 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00124594 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0012449 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00124173 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00124152 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00123647 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00123431 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.00123412 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.00123135 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.0012312 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00122892 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0012281 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00122514 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00121822 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00121646 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121557 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.0012097 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00120388 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.0012034 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00120268 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00119715 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.00119166 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00119082 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00118902 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00118901 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00118808 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00118764 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00118744 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00118539 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00117887 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00117861 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00117832 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.00117686 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00117678 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00117675 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00117303 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00117235 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117179 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00117125 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00116972 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00116945 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00116816 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00116761 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00116745 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00116621 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116573 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.00116401 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00115568 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00115531 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00115521 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00115438 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00115218 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00114977 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00114953 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00114868 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00114702 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00114441 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0011439 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00114202 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.0011402 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.00113805 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00113621 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00113557 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00113035 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.001129 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00112899 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00112708 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00112545 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00112144 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00112113 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00111902 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00111806 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.0011169 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00111232 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00110981 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00110791 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00110746 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00110594 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0011012 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00109601 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00109579 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.00109569 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00109488 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00109392 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00109345 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00109126 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.00109104 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108836 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108812 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00108741 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00108637 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00108541 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108131 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00108075 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00108065 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.001079 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.00107647 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00107644 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00107609 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00107605 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00107532 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.0010747 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00107123 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.0010708 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00107038 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00106546 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.00105602 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.0010549 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.0010538 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00104719 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00104657 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00104647 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00104402 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00104221 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0010409 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00104008 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00104002 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00103726 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00103671 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00103619 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00103365 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00102845 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00102671 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00102507 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00101925 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00101913 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00101759 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00101645 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00101127 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.00100236 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00100169 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00100056 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000995065 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000993496 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00099321 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000987953 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00098441 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000978137 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000977783 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000976824 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000975397 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00097203 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000970407 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000970298 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000969856 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000968135 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000966398 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000964897 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000963422 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000962916 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000960458 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000958895 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00095662 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000956438 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000956033 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000955419 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000955011 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.000954706 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000952796 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000951499 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000950665 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000950513 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000949412 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000947602 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000943036 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000941343 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.000938583 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000937369 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000935647 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000933825 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000931672 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000928602 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000925906 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000925759 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000923204 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000921005 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000916169 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000915511 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000911935 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000909758 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000904638 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000901778 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.000898939 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000898305 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000898283 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000895414 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000894737 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000892292 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000888881 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000888828 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000887241 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000887141 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000885888 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000882344 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000875902 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000875126 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000874923 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000874496 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000874488 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000872118 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.000871196 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000870534 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000869089 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000869042 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000867369 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000866895 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000864142 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000860773 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00086068 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000860508 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000856514 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000850956 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000849182 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000846187 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00084496 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000843973 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000837113 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000835405 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000835258 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000834965 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000827534 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000826211 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000825832 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000824031 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000823341 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00082243 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000820459 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000819218 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000816109 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.000815786 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000812996 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000810063 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00080971 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000803232 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000796715 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.00079143 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000790931 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000790612 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000787382 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00078588 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000783393 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000782841 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000774282 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000768059 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000766616 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000766604 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000766311 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000763313 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000763092 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000759611 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000759048 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.000753495 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000749663 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000749643 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000740024 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000738019 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000730094 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00072521 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000725041 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000723231 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000716398 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000711569 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00070674 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.000705405 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000705339 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000703542 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000690093 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000688261 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000682182 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000681865 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000681004 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.000678951 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000671186 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000669399 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00066599 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000653885 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000646292 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.00064033 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000638476 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000632559 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000630021 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000627666 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000626388 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000624164 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000618342 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000616016 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000615734 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000613257 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000605022 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000603147 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000596243 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00052458 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000490932 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000475931 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000439189 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000408131 | 0.04% | unsigned |

#### #4 poisson_alpha_0.1 (poisson)

Feature set: `pregame`. Validation: MAE 0.7384. Features: 5.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0847375 | 40.46% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0748837 | 35.75% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0223362 | 10.66% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.0174103 | 8.31% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0100753 | 4.81% | positive |

### `rushing_yards`

#### #1 ridge_alpha_50.0 (ridge)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 38.7927. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | -7.14509 | 9.43% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 6.76877 | 8.93% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 6.68065 | 8.82% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 3.69945 | 4.88% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -3.29309 | 4.35% | negative |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 3.2677 | 4.31% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 3.0676 | 4.05% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 2.89651 | 3.82% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -2.68368 | 3.54% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 2.66148 | 3.51% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | -2.30446 | 3.04% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 2.20116 | 2.90% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 2.20041 | 2.90% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 2.1584 | 2.85% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 1.9332 | 2.55% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -1.89635 | 2.50% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | -1.65446 | 2.18% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 1.56269 | 2.06% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -1.55605 | 2.05% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 1.53603 | 2.03% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 1.43462 | 1.89% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 1.38639 | 1.83% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 1.33413 | 1.76% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 1.20247 | 1.59% | positive |
| `pregame_week` | 1.07658 | 1.42% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | -0.99437 | 1.31% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.963121 | 1.27% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | -0.923773 | 1.22% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.733742 | 0.97% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.667321 | 0.88% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | -0.658682 | 0.87% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.638298 | 0.84% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.636111 | 0.84% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.511517 | 0.67% | positive |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.391976 | 0.52% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | -0.348682 | 0.46% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -0.305848 | 0.40% | negative |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.145799 | 0.19% | negative |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | -0.127391 | 0.17% | negative |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.122523 | 0.16% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0126944 | 0.02% | positive |

#### #2 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 38.9359. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.0788816 | 7.89% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0367574 | 3.68% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0340453 | 3.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.0223759 | 2.24% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0205048 | 2.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0192749 | 1.93% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.0173735 | 1.74% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0144239 | 1.44% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0119223 | 1.19% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00994962 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00867345 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00790207 | 0.79% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00743732 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00600444 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00553429 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00498394 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.0048708 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0048245 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00470499 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.00430357 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00383407 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00378526 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00372136 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00368998 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00360331 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00352516 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00338952 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00329332 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00323553 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.00316266 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.00311064 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00306675 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00301972 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00301026 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00278632 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00266901 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00255827 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.0024914 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00249095 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00243117 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00241164 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00240125 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.002381 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.00231144 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00228702 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00227411 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00226421 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00224552 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0021873 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00209691 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00209541 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00207479 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00206415 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00202934 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00202325 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00200616 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00199396 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00199199 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.0019878 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.0019849 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00194882 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00194769 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00194717 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00194539 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00193488 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00193275 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00191893 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00189193 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00188794 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00187515 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00184341 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00183472 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00183346 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00183306 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00181265 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00179938 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00179484 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.0017937 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00178575 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.00178567 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00178212 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.00178021 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.00178009 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00177916 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.00176388 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00175543 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00175472 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00174572 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00174543 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0017416 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00173969 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00173213 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00173089 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00172977 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00172543 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00171585 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00171443 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00171329 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00170969 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00170958 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.0017048 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00169382 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00169151 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00168389 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00166612 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00165609 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00164801 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00164632 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00164475 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00164401 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00163732 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00163503 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00162652 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00162062 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00162018 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00161733 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00161641 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00160291 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00160206 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00160065 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00158197 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00158091 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00157177 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.0015636 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00155141 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00154511 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00153555 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00153356 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00151978 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0015169 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00150902 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00150669 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00149178 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00149145 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0014838 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00147478 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00147369 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00146678 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00146455 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00146288 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00145864 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00145699 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.0014516 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00144879 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00144786 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0014441 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0014406 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.00143631 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00143263 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00142647 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00142041 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00141653 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00141472 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00141346 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00141238 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00140465 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00140262 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.0014017 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00139819 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00139469 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00138604 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.0013854 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.00138152 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138054 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.00137991 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00137548 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00137047 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00136875 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00136798 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00136751 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00136727 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00135447 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.0013521 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.0013478 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00134778 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00133614 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00132838 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00132699 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00132683 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.0013258 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00132046 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00131439 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00131158 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00131053 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00131003 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00130957 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00130933 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00130432 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00130141 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.0012997 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00129618 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.00129214 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0012917 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00128598 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00128293 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00128211 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00127726 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127514 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00127281 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127225 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00126661 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00125947 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00125737 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00125424 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0012533 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00124901 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00124791 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00124251 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00124066 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00123792 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00123519 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00123277 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00123121 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00122986 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00122763 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0012275 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122567 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00122534 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00122506 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00122501 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00122497 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.0012233 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0012173 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00121676 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00121501 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121402 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00121375 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00121074 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00120631 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0012059 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.0012057 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00120471 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00120349 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00119842 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00119279 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00119203 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00118962 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00118671 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00118541 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00118509 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117955 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.00117509 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00117447 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00117332 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00117029 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00116875 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00116797 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00116694 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00116691 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116647 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00116104 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00115409 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00115094 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00114803 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00114461 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00114383 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00114369 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00113942 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00113887 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00113795 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00113737 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00113656 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00113537 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00113469 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00113095 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00112944 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00112876 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00112762 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.0011242 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00112193 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0011184 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00111762 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00111289 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00111063 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.00110512 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.0011003 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00109901 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00109621 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.0010927 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00109045 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00109007 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.00108972 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.00108967 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00108961 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00108933 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00108829 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00108716 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108706 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0010854 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108521 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.0010838 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00108186 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00108016 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00107914 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0010775 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107683 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00107524 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00107367 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00107345 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00107316 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00107217 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.00107163 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00106911 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00106869 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00106568 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00106508 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00106359 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00106019 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00105913 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00105791 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00105261 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00105231 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00105223 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00104955 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00104864 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00104683 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00104577 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.001043 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00104291 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00104167 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00103858 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00103808 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00103792 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00103478 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00103023 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00103003 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00102996 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00102884 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00102861 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00102719 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.001027 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.00102637 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.00102629 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00102609 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00102597 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102522 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00102325 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102223 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00102086 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00101728 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00101342 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.00101278 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00101203 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00100502 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00100454 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00100359 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00100343 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00100263 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.001001 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00100092 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00100057 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000998561 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000995905 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000992343 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00099054 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000984664 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000984443 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000984347 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.000984028 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00098097 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.000980176 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.000977528 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000976554 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00097403 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000970666 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000970254 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.00096967 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000968508 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00096703 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.000965322 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000965305 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000964291 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000964045 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000959956 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000958613 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000954993 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000954468 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000954362 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000952312 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000951727 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000951397 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000950604 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000950051 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000949394 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.000946727 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000946279 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00094575 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00094185 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00094121 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.000939594 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000938574 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.000938129 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000936706 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000936473 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000934415 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.000934102 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000933655 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000930517 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000929554 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000928698 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000924725 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000923222 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.000918537 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000918136 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000913451 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000912874 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.000911216 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000909007 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000906138 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000903956 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000902999 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000900779 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000895758 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000894066 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000893237 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000892428 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000891955 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000888725 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000888246 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000885667 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000880781 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000879558 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000879214 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000878102 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000877297 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.000875161 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000874001 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000873846 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000872243 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000871249 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000869864 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000867808 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000867155 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000865589 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000864935 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000864926 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000863217 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000862755 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000862728 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000858099 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.000857931 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000854454 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000853084 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000851964 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000851738 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000848416 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.000845605 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000845207 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000844611 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000844239 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000839993 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000839678 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000839595 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000838295 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000832336 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000832145 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000831966 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000829408 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000828411 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000827527 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000827271 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000824341 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000823391 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000823175 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.000821468 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000821099 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000818085 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000813528 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000810901 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.000809988 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000806549 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000806033 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000805539 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000800355 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000799145 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000796295 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00079538 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00079507 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000794778 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.000794128 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000793216 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.000791146 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000787139 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000785479 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000784432 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.000783395 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000780731 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000776295 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000772686 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000770728 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000769855 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000768203 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000764877 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000762596 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000759404 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.000759101 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000758627 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000758244 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000756103 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000754602 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000754394 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000753411 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.0007519 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000750083 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000748947 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.000745461 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000743009 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000742712 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000741254 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.0007366 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000735485 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00073432 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000733404 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000730592 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000724775 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000715388 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000710682 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000709825 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000709303 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000707481 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000699024 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000693263 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000693124 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000692712 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000691084 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000685603 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000681172 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000675161 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00067138 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000668777 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000665989 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000665659 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000665513 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000665127 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000663214 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.000663105 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000661797 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000660983 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000658326 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000655771 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00065458 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.000652314 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000649516 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000644432 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000643824 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000643616 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000643055 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000641133 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000641061 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000638944 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.000632914 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000628428 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.00062687 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000622345 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00062099 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000617323 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00061038 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000602487 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000601418 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000601076 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.000599784 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.00059589 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000589978 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00058318 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000582591 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000572438 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000562881 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000561143 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000559551 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000559045 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000556421 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000540259 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000521755 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000507544 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.000474281 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000469556 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.000450331 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000446231 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000438588 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000416978 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000391822 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000379051 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000370358 | 0.04% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 38.9828. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.144148 | 14.41% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.0778163 | 7.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0691789 | 6.92% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0497212 | 4.97% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0486935 | 4.87% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.0437384 | 4.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.04249 | 4.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0323065 | 3.23% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0300374 | 3.00% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0281063 | 2.81% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.0257149 | 2.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.025084 | 2.51% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.0242963 | 2.43% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.0227405 | 2.27% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.0197588 | 1.98% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0187969 | 1.88% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.0171515 | 1.72% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.015891 | 1.59% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.015356 | 1.54% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0145259 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.014418 | 1.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0136611 | 1.37% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0135606 | 1.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0135497 | 1.35% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0128591 | 1.29% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0128407 | 1.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0127526 | 1.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.0123695 | 1.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0122801 | 1.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0108872 | 1.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0106244 | 1.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0105802 | 1.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0105153 | 1.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0103295 | 1.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00967652 | 0.97% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00964 | 0.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00936234 | 0.94% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00925296 | 0.93% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00858369 | 0.86% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00850741 | 0.85% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00819641 | 0.82% | unsigned |

#### #4 linear_ols (linear)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 39.0228. Features: 41.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | -141.174 | 16.62% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 121.892 | 14.35% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | -105.381 | 12.41% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 103.648 | 12.20% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 94.7976 | 11.16% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | -74.7398 | 8.80% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 19.8752 | 2.34% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | -19.325 | 2.28% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 19.2805 | 2.27% | positive |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 18.3918 | 2.17% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | -15.5671 | 1.83% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 15.2857 | 1.80% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | -12.3562 | 1.45% | negative |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 9.75333 | 1.15% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | -9.71966 | 1.14% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | -7.85019 | 0.92% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | -7.70859 | 0.91% | negative |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | -7.50703 | 0.88% | negative |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 6.79542 | 0.80% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 6.16312 | 0.73% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | -3.60498 | 0.42% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | -3.13772 | 0.37% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 3.05927 | 0.36% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 3.00301 | 0.35% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | -2.51264 | 0.30% | negative |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | -2.31169 | 0.27% | negative |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 2.29445 | 0.27% | positive |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | -1.95689 | 0.23% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | -1.6799 | 0.20% | negative |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 1.41048 | 0.17% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | -1.26402 | 0.15% | negative |
| `pregame_week` | 1.06518 | 0.13% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | -1.0047 | 0.12% | negative |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.997168 | 0.12% | positive |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | -0.995501 | 0.12% | negative |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.654231 | 0.08% | positive |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | -0.652972 | 0.08% | negative |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.25444 | 0.03% | positive |
| `pregame_spread_line` | -0.169935 | 0.02% | negative |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.0824161 | 0.01% | positive |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0349067 | 0.00% | positive |

### `sacks`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 1.3535. Features: 77.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0799835 | 8.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.0661905 | 6.62% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0654302 | 6.54% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.0522754 | 5.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0473301 | 4.73% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0400551 | 4.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0399002 | 3.99% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0313147 | 3.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0223402 | 2.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0213462 | 2.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.021149 | 2.11% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0210481 | 2.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.0205743 | 2.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0201332 | 2.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0195389 | 1.95% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.0127019 | 1.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.0117934 | 1.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0100183 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00962333 | 0.96% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00910954 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00907008 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00891104 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00843066 | 0.84% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0083853 | 0.84% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00837798 | 0.84% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00837578 | 0.84% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0083186 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.0081991 | 0.82% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00818651 | 0.82% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.00806427 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00802023 | 0.80% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00779036 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00778797 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00777448 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00755136 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00741237 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00740872 | 0.74% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00726673 | 0.73% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00724873 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00715171 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00702888 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00696322 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00685102 | 0.69% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00674951 | 0.67% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00669873 | 0.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00666918 | 0.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00660144 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00654492 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00652814 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00650777 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00649543 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00647158 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.0064401 | 0.64% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00627205 | 0.63% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00609856 | 0.61% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00600032 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00597733 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00590117 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00590114 | 0.59% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.00578346 | 0.58% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00566578 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.00565744 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00565271 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00562832 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0056085 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00558996 | 0.56% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00553853 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00553826 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00550174 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00539905 | 0.54% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.00525755 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0052389 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00513538 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00504216 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00503915 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0042904 | 0.43% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00414423 | 0.41% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 1.3546. Features: 77.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.125461 | 12.55% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.115777 | 11.58% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.0770012 | 7.70% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0664236 | 6.64% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0513263 | 5.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0322678 | 3.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0278412 | 2.78% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0233499 | 2.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0210622 | 2.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0199305 | 1.99% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0166736 | 1.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.0166731 | 1.67% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.0155211 | 1.55% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0144628 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0133325 | 1.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.013294 | 1.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.0126637 | 1.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0123507 | 1.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.0118359 | 1.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.0109498 | 1.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0107046 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.0102399 | 1.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.0100896 | 1.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00955855 | 0.96% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0090755 | 0.91% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00870516 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00869571 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00839664 | 0.84% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00827093 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00792066 | 0.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00778654 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00777244 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00764069 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00753158 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00751903 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0069595 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00692966 | 0.69% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00658289 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00647411 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00646668 | 0.65% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00644396 | 0.64% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.0063762 | 0.64% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00620635 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.00615461 | 0.62% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00596799 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00582014 | 0.58% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00565009 | 0.57% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0055071 | 0.55% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00473491 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00469021 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00468089 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00421612 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00404121 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00402268 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.00386461 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00382431 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00381991 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00374293 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0036976 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00369009 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00359773 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00349175 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00325582 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00312485 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00304278 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.00296984 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00278153 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00259724 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0023489 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00232944 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00229156 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00211761 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00210247 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00186891 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.0018466 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00130448 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000258593 | 0.03% | unsigned |

#### #3 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3596. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0573554 | 5.74% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0496668 | 4.97% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.0456343 | 4.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.0353558 | 3.54% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0310259 | 3.10% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0298642 | 2.99% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0272205 | 2.72% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.0131954 | 1.32% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0128337 | 1.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0107097 | 1.07% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00985706 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00865122 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00664271 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00478665 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00477074 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00475144 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00357965 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00329864 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00309091 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00297827 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00291501 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00287217 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00285072 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00279565 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00276492 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.0027494 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00271964 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0026348 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00249539 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00247202 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00244513 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00242513 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00237187 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.0022731 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00227042 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00226939 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00221763 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0022162 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00220207 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.0021977 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00214599 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00214013 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0020803 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00207135 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00205537 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.00205413 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.00204161 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00198155 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00197943 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00197726 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0019762 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0019697 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00195388 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00194515 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00194215 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00189671 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00189225 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00188662 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00186854 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00185769 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00185323 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00184896 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00183878 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0018364 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.00182831 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00182645 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00180878 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00179762 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.00179643 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00178933 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00178835 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00177422 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00176886 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.00176693 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00176394 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00174168 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00173223 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00173196 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00172228 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00172038 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00171714 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.0017156 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00171062 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00167717 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.00167622 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00167263 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00167165 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00166231 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0016455 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00164078 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00163906 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00163786 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00163342 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00163078 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00161965 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00161491 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00161289 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00160183 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00160018 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00159971 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00159843 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00159668 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00158399 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00158397 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00157581 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00157493 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00157048 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.00155964 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.00155683 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00154524 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00154269 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0015275 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00151967 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00151946 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00151869 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00151205 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00151001 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00150775 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00150304 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00150174 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00150052 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00149358 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00147792 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00147789 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.0014776 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00147012 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00146656 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00146253 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00146038 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00145541 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.00145445 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00145395 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00145213 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00144887 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00144714 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00144571 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014456 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00143891 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00143268 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00143074 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0014266 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00142642 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00141597 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00141459 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00141117 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00140903 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0014033 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00139673 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00139366 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00139077 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00138427 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00138307 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.0013768 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00137674 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00137377 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.0013735 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.00137109 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00137011 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00136727 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00136329 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00135393 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00134837 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00134202 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.00133925 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00133311 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00132793 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00132131 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00131417 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.0013098 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00130347 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.00130221 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00129755 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129518 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00129483 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00128745 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.00128729 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00128093 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00127649 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00126731 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00126669 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00125894 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00125706 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0012551 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00125488 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00125085 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.001249 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0012449 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00124471 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.00124287 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00124219 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00124008 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00123563 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00123555 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00123432 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00123414 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00123379 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00123073 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.00122852 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00122733 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00122712 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00122672 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00122671 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00122415 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.00122323 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00122281 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00121405 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0012124 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121051 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.00120777 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00120776 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00120715 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00120629 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00120478 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.0012029 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00119813 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00119794 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00119713 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00119495 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00119481 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00119478 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00118939 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00118874 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00118819 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00118666 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00118335 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00118148 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.00118078 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.0011807 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00117826 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00117779 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.0011777 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00117701 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00117316 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.00117207 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00116897 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00116762 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00116431 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00116418 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00116397 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.00116312 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00116303 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00115904 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00115882 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00115039 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00114637 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0011454 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00114436 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.00114267 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00114253 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00113806 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00113783 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00113764 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00113623 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113604 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00113485 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.00113104 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.00113032 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113023 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00112845 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00112675 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.00112302 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00112134 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00111862 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00111189 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00111173 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00111153 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.0011082 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00110587 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0011041 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00110281 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00110175 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00109897 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00109873 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00109473 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00109284 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00109072 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00108922 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.00108622 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00108421 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00107334 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107299 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.0010721 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.0010683 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00106633 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00106348 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00106232 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00106044 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00106022 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00105862 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00105571 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.0010554 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00105422 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00104934 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00104272 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.00102913 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00102866 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0010278 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00102715 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00102539 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00101868 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00101838 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00101818 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00101727 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.0010106 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00100966 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.001009 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00100891 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.0010062 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00100191 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0010017 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.0010015 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00100043 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000998471 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000998131 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000997004 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.000993075 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000992414 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000987169 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.000985301 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.000984957 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000983807 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.000983202 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000982824 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.000981695 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000980522 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.000976967 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000974506 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000974195 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000973517 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.000971891 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000969509 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000968616 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000968525 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000966975 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.000965416 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00096523 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000965041 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00096284 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000961918 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000960399 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000959414 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00095753 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.000957286 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000953631 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000949601 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000948683 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00094672 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000944649 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000943241 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000940494 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000939827 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00093431 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000931301 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000930825 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000929312 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000926321 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000925929 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.000924766 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000924027 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000921194 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000918169 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.00091776 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000915071 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000913058 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000912861 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.000908086 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000899812 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000899277 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000899049 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000896347 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000895744 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000895707 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.000894038 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000893084 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000892962 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000892957 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00088849 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.000887974 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000887009 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000883897 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000881854 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000881833 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000879842 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000879775 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000879519 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000877748 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000876343 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.00087373 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000871361 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000870564 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000870518 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000869792 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000869516 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.000868996 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00086883 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000868677 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.000868174 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00086595 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000865618 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000862996 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000862618 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000857418 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000855587 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.000853805 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000853619 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000852983 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.000848757 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000848739 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000847201 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000844887 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000843229 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.000842577 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000842484 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000840449 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000838572 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000838004 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000835969 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000835324 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000834737 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.000834224 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000831465 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000829236 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.000826598 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000826507 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000824111 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000820399 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000820057 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000819194 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000817181 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000816252 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000816072 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00081515 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000814786 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.000814637 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000813481 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000808023 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.000805327 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000804155 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000801525 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000800752 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000799142 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000799085 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000797109 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.000797078 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000796673 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.000795603 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000792951 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00079107 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000788453 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000786408 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.000786023 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000785461 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000785233 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.000785196 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.000784755 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000782575 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000779869 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000779808 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000777323 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000775569 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.00077555 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000772679 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.000771903 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000771342 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000768133 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000765879 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.000765831 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000765277 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.000761902 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000761563 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000761439 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000760908 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000759862 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000758027 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00075683 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000756051 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000753678 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000749912 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000749069 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000746155 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000745118 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000742557 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000742008 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.000739635 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000738896 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000738718 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.000738321 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000735338 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000734569 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000733935 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000733059 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000733036 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.000729049 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000727051 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000726783 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00072376 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.000721128 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000719814 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.000718076 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000716259 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000714975 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000714951 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000714395 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000710596 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000709644 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000708521 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00070747 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000704548 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000704043 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000702142 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000698832 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.000696663 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000693688 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000689566 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.000685067 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000684633 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000678232 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000677532 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000674871 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000674499 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000673374 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000670063 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000669982 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000669839 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000666085 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000664209 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000663437 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.000662661 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000662453 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000659476 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000658142 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00065447 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.000652837 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000646592 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000645662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000645473 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00064539 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000637416 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.000627697 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.000627051 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.000627001 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000626562 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000624919 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000624139 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000623708 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00062346 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.000623091 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000622008 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000618081 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.000616759 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.0006069 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000600854 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000600419 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.000598006 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.000593434 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000593371 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000593103 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000586936 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000582385 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000582045 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.000577212 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00057714 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.000572127 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000571933 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000570094 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000563505 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.000562974 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000561385 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000557051 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.000552471 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000545246 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000535199 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000535111 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000523435 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00051418 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.000495862 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.000483561 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.000475696 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000453934 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000439716 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000427055 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.00040029 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000393856 | 0.04% | unsigned |

#### #4 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3623. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.10077 | 10.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.0901989 | 9.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.0589607 | 5.90% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0337102 | 3.37% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.028643 | 2.86% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0235071 | 2.35% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0210317 | 2.10% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00700983 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00660324 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.0052793 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00527101 | 0.53% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00479479 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00466842 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00443945 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00441207 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00413143 | 0.41% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00403888 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00403443 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00359386 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.0035664 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00355459 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00348559 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00342765 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00338085 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00332315 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00321201 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00316706 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00306307 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00303346 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00302827 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00286256 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0028286 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00279554 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00275701 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00272631 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00271946 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.0026592 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00265656 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00264939 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00264762 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00261953 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00258648 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00251107 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00250481 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00243611 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00241698 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00239467 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00239005 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00237032 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00236082 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00232115 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00230978 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00230108 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.0022914 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.00225936 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00223815 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00221422 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00218648 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00217298 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00216942 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00213744 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.0021339 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0021211 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.00209239 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00208226 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00208117 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00207793 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.00205957 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00205165 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00202591 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.0019967 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00191486 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00191099 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00190079 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00189993 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00186049 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.0018346 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00183204 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00183173 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.001826 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.00182068 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.0018155 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00181027 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00180074 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00177721 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00172319 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00172298 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.00171016 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.00170617 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0016905 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00168656 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00167586 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00165967 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00165789 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00165683 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00165181 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00164249 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00163026 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.00162383 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00162215 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00161765 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00160442 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00160214 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00159879 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00158579 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00157952 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.0015727 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00156898 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00156737 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00156705 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00156666 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00156591 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00156353 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00156036 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00155355 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00153938 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00153768 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00152575 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00152099 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00151093 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00150087 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.0014976 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00149666 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00149209 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00149104 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00148885 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.0014878 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00148635 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00147356 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00147189 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00147006 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00146713 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00145197 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00144438 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.00143757 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00143383 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.00143198 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00142881 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00142636 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00142343 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00142228 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00141772 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00141304 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00141098 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00140383 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00139964 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.00139847 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00139476 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00139341 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00139336 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00139213 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00138967 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00138928 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00138334 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00137528 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00137406 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00137208 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00136649 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.0013656 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.00136169 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00134983 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.0013492 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00134655 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.00134358 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00134336 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00134162 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00133953 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00133045 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00132172 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00131598 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00131506 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00130106 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.00130057 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.00129819 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00129438 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00128538 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00128269 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00128224 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.0012781 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127511 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.00126941 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0012627 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00125389 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.00124923 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00124819 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00124528 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.0012428 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.00124273 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00123687 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.00123599 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0012354 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00123434 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00123347 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00123025 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00122223 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121894 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00120468 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.0012035 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00119927 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00119321 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00119027 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00118854 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00117959 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00117758 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00117676 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00117633 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00117304 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00116734 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00116346 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.0011617 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00116147 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00115757 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00115582 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00115264 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.00113957 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.00113695 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00113261 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00113259 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00112937 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.00111485 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.00111241 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00110556 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00110496 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.00110469 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00109798 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00109521 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00109439 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.00108709 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00108657 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00107962 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107622 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00107454 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00107218 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00107039 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00106935 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.00106456 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.00105932 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00105824 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00105325 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00104436 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00104192 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00103688 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00103683 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.0010355 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00102985 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00102528 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00102501 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00101718 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.0010125 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00101232 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00101199 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00101172 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00101109 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.00100032 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000999389 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000994501 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000991957 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00098594 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000983334 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00097442 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000973487 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000972602 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.000971031 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000971017 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.000965681 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000960956 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000959032 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000957647 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000955009 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000952986 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000950187 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000948968 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00094573 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000944833 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000943953 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000942399 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000940391 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.000939804 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000935488 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000932627 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.000926191 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000917899 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.000917611 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000917409 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00091609 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000913753 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0009134 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000913233 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000912284 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000907243 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.00090692 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.000906022 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000904828 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000899371 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.000895664 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000895131 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000891247 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.000891157 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000890047 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000889762 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.000886212 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000885699 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000884188 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000881238 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.000881039 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000880804 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000876112 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000874554 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.000872899 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000872462 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000871452 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000868631 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00086688 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000865737 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000864866 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000864493 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000863852 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.00085806 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.000855236 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000853743 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000850438 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000849002 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00084723 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000846487 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00084545 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000844841 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.000844568 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.000842892 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.000839107 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000837067 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000834679 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000832385 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.000830462 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.000825207 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.000824877 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.000824867 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000822222 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000821385 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000820797 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000817462 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000812385 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000808091 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.000806872 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000802168 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000796708 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000796518 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000796173 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000795964 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000791535 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.000788302 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000785245 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.000784629 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.000782093 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.000777291 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000773857 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000771917 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.000767559 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.000767222 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000766753 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000766488 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.000765059 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000764608 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000764421 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.000764297 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000761254 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.000761094 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000758826 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00075769 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000749198 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000748905 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000746844 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000745073 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000739096 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000732145 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000732033 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000731573 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000730044 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.00072546 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000723005 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.000722634 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000718553 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000718209 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000714117 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.000713652 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000712303 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000711871 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000711554 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.000710595 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000710546 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.000710321 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000703303 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000702235 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.000696513 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.000695633 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.000694933 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00068996 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.000688433 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000684009 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000680178 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.000672616 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000669516 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.000666829 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000664282 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000664091 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000660857 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000660446 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000654436 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000653637 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.000651333 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000647424 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000647357 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000645214 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000639526 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.000638073 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.000637417 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.000635966 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000635369 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.000634506 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000633186 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00063316 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000629533 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.000625468 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000622205 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000618628 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000618601 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000615721 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000613306 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000612848 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000612458 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000609197 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000608949 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000607126 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.00060152 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000598391 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000597686 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000592503 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000591247 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000589775 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000588535 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000586066 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000584116 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000583066 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000582152 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.000582047 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00057662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000575968 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000572175 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000568378 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.000561396 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000558692 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000558662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000558376 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000556553 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000552129 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.000549267 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000548729 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000548391 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000543033 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000539706 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000539385 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000535511 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000531624 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.000531511 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.000529795 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00052732 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000523912 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000523388 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00052283 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000521551 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000518984 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000518949 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.000518948 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000514168 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000513692 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000513191 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000508955 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.000503168 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000497588 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.000494726 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000491205 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000488232 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000483156 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000482368 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000478035 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.00047792 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.000476962 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000474062 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000473315 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.000472444 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000472045 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.000470871 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000466677 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000465936 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.000465451 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000459325 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000457575 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000456318 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000454556 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000453657 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000449171 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000447875 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000445568 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00044389 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000440905 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000440078 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000433747 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000429743 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000424328 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.000424262 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000424214 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000422403 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000417101 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.000416015 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000414336 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000414105 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000407624 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000404793 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.000402283 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000398532 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000398328 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000395248 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000390798 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.000380928 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000377519 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.00037511 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.000368155 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000360709 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.000357809 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.000356835 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000341877 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.000340405 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000339908 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000338993 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000334653 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.00033422 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000333474 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000325666 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000325252 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00032479 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000319852 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000314841 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00029964 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000299432 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00029786 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000293476 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.000290058 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000288094 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000284304 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000281651 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.00028082 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000271784 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00026848 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000263324 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000259162 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000249435 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00024868 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000246815 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000237179 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000234559 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00023221 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000230771 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.000230052 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000226978 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000215152 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000210539 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000202581 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.000186093 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000176293 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000165236 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000159304 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000144776 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000144563 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000143583 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000124431 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.000110495 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000100753 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 7.68911e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 6.88285e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 6.62021e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 6.39723e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 6.28277e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 3.00534e-05 | 0.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

### `sacks_allowed`

#### #1 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 1.3505. Features: 53.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.068979 | 6.90% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0575231 | 5.75% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0559889 | 5.60% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0497485 | 4.97% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0483249 | 4.83% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0413406 | 4.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.0410494 | 4.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0318724 | 3.19% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0305491 | 3.05% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0303249 | 3.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.029091 | 2.91% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0265554 | 2.66% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0261223 | 2.61% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0254589 | 2.55% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0227756 | 2.28% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0218506 | 2.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.020877 | 2.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.0184641 | 1.85% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.015683 | 1.57% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.0141766 | 1.42% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0136168 | 1.36% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0136168 | 1.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0134157 | 1.34% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0132466 | 1.32% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0124933 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0118299 | 1.18% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0116843 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.0116795 | 1.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.0112767 | 1.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0111609 | 1.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.0106442 | 1.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.010496 | 1.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0104096 | 1.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.0100197 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00995828 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00993976 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00992427 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00968421 | 0.97% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00931662 | 0.93% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0090013 | 0.90% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00885376 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00878867 | 0.88% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00872541 | 0.87% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00811601 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00796751 | 0.80% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00783957 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.00783686 | 0.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00755478 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00754747 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0075065 | 0.75% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00698178 | 0.70% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00655609 | 0.66% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00555575 | 0.56% | unsigned |

#### #2 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `target_matchup`. Validation: MAE 1.3546. Features: 53.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.115263 | 11.53% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.088196 | 8.82% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0721868 | 7.22% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0709669 | 7.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0679778 | 6.80% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0351045 | 3.51% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.029077 | 2.91% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0267438 | 2.67% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0264504 | 2.65% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0199464 | 1.99% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0193906 | 1.94% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0179218 | 1.79% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.0177819 | 1.78% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.017348 | 1.73% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.0156763 | 1.57% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0156314 | 1.56% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.0155886 | 1.56% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.0153166 | 1.53% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.015016 | 1.50% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0146724 | 1.47% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0144717 | 1.45% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0139901 | 1.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.0139087 | 1.39% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0138296 | 1.38% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.013564 | 1.36% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0134453 | 1.34% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0125406 | 1.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.0124362 | 1.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.0122185 | 1.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0110912 | 1.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0109533 | 1.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.0108104 | 1.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0107806 | 1.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0100125 | 1.00% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00992776 | 0.99% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00893149 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00888894 | 0.89% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00852255 | 0.85% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00834509 | 0.83% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00814183 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00759211 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00719128 | 0.72% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00604385 | 0.60% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00519516 | 0.52% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.005093 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00508981 | 0.51% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00475625 | 0.48% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00355505 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00343022 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.00316757 | 0.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00311394 | 0.31% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00253717 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.000168314 | 0.02% | unsigned |

#### #3 random_forest_depth6 (random_forest)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3558. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.0791978 | 7.92% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.0579293 | 5.79% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0514807 | 5.15% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0467713 | 4.68% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.0224774 | 2.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0168004 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0159656 | 1.60% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0115595 | 1.16% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00814389 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.00811545 | 0.81% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00773347 | 0.77% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00499386 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00492138 | 0.49% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00466671 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.00465404 | 0.47% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.00441332 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00439008 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00424222 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00418195 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00396876 | 0.40% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00384709 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00376362 | 0.38% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00367155 | 0.37% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00359449 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00348089 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.0033517 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00331035 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00327557 | 0.33% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00303532 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00295819 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.00286559 | 0.29% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00284914 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00281546 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00276012 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00273258 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00271759 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0027042 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00267491 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00267487 | 0.27% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00260274 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00259596 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00254434 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00252568 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00252202 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00251203 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00249878 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00249228 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00248951 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00247173 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00245841 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00244648 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.00244493 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00242473 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.00242462 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0024161 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.0023877 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00237651 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.002376 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00234184 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00232532 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00230883 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00230779 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00230323 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00229234 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00227318 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00226597 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00224068 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00221308 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00218535 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00217869 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00216486 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00215611 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.00215333 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00206232 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00205453 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00205283 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00204131 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00201874 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0020157 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00200206 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00199809 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00198537 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.00198467 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00198263 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00197988 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00197736 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00197194 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00196996 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00196142 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00195935 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00195373 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00192946 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00192336 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00192275 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00189651 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00189582 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00189009 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.0018855 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00187895 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00187885 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00187857 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00186964 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00185258 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00184018 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.00183913 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00182609 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.00181803 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00181761 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00180357 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00179836 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00179369 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.0017566 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00174943 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00172908 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00172887 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00172521 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00171882 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00169669 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00168159 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00167818 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.00167787 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00166339 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00165312 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00165001 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.00164062 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00164046 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00163579 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00163248 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00163132 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00162938 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00162741 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00162514 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.0016187 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00161318 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00161063 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0016103 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.00159736 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00157457 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00156022 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00155242 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00154107 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00154014 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00154002 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00153072 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00153062 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00152874 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00150914 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00150447 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.0014967 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00149432 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00149384 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00149301 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00148256 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00147506 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00147226 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00146091 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00145937 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00145919 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00145598 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00145027 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00144624 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00144165 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.001438 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00142462 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00141794 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00141666 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00141501 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00140175 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00140034 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00139925 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00139653 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00139302 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00139107 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.00138077 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00137819 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.00137314 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.00137078 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00136456 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.00136157 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00135996 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00135761 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00135626 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00135415 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.00135025 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00134904 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00133538 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00132168 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.00131486 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.00130274 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.00130204 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00130203 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00130195 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00130127 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00129883 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00129582 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00129004 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00128758 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00128542 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.00128062 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00127579 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.0012688 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00126345 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00125923 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00125809 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00125236 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00124927 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00124736 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00124697 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00124606 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00124347 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00124134 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.00123782 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00123447 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00123317 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00123269 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00123137 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0012265 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122037 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.0012175 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121571 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00121363 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121354 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.00121059 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.00120558 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.00120061 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00120013 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00119556 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.00119497 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00119252 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.0011903 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.00119011 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.0011895 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00118573 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00118393 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.00117977 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00117043 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00116816 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00116728 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116389 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.001161 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00115995 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00115939 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00115736 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00115546 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00115107 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00114863 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0011471 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.00114446 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00114241 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.0011384 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00113765 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.00113624 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.0011341 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00112853 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.00112649 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00112554 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00112484 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00112479 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00112474 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.0011202 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.0011126 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00111144 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.00110925 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00110639 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00110617 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00110469 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.00109393 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.0010883 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.00108472 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00107766 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00107686 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00107551 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.00107347 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00106816 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00106476 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.0010614 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.00105943 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00104955 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00104739 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00104628 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.00103812 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00103512 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00103484 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.00103435 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00103403 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00103216 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102951 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00102696 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00102548 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.00102369 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.00102137 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00101685 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.00101514 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.00100975 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00100578 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.00100415 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00100379 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.00100339 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.00100223 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000999808 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.0009946 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000993724 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.000986099 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000985578 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000985133 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000983029 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.000980793 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00097738 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000976603 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.000967342 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.000965657 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000964729 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000958542 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000957922 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00095751 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.000953224 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000952397 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.000946937 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.000939373 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00093396 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.000933043 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000932791 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000931789 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.000931493 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000931296 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00092892 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000926535 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000922322 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000921598 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000920003 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000919572 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000916336 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000914344 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.000911874 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000910115 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000908163 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000906843 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000906672 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000905791 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.000905701 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000904554 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.000904015 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.000903797 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000900211 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.000898711 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.00089836 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.000896585 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.000896342 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000884854 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000883167 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.000881288 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000880262 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00087956 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000874702 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000874508 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000874432 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000873153 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000872286 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.000871544 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000870199 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000870159 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000868922 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000868337 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000863154 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000862567 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000851412 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000850724 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000849167 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.000849076 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000847198 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.000846404 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.000843125 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000842473 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.000841755 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000837784 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000835911 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.000831421 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.000831224 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000830479 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000829877 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.000827054 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000824147 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000823991 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.000821497 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000820046 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.000819557 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000816702 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000815097 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.000814609 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000814257 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000809904 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.000809329 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000807327 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.000805181 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.000798994 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000796085 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.000791402 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000784318 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.000782944 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000781457 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000779679 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000772265 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000771832 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.000769052 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000762195 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000758509 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.000752508 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000749831 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.000741555 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000741263 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000740365 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000736554 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000734445 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000733567 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00073298 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00073039 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000726462 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000725251 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.000722063 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00071866 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000718325 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000713764 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000711625 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000708854 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000700802 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000693966 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.000693613 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000693596 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.000689274 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.000686344 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000683419 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.000683094 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000682645 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000674995 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000666625 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.000662218 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.000658401 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000655608 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000641683 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.000636489 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.000633468 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000629889 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.000624809 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.000623664 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000623662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000623649 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000622945 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000621459 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000621433 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000621136 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000615829 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000612374 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.000610893 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.000609442 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.000607106 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000602086 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000599877 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000595725 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.000585196 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.000584754 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.000581353 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000580354 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000579662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000576095 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000576047 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000567119 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000558821 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000555672 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.000554555 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000552807 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.000552103 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00055071 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000542307 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000537491 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000537269 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000537048 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.00053609 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.000534229 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00053027 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000518984 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000518927 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000511126 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.000511012 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000509213 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000508692 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000508518 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000503579 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000500345 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000491195 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000489453 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000484784 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000477046 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000473856 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00047157 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.000467505 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.000466342 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000465203 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.00046188 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000460796 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000459775 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.00045585 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000447481 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000445425 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00044389 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.000430599 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.000428366 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000427213 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000426965 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000426281 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000423276 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000422999 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000422901 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.0004197 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.000418134 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.000415865 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000415374 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000409758 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000407132 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000405702 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.000402458 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00039592 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.00039319 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000391455 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000381191 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.000372315 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.00036887 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000368664 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000365697 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000364066 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000356127 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.000355288 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00035362 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000342652 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.000339841 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000339748 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000338186 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.00033261 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.000332514 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00033163 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.000330872 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.000321129 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000320287 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000319815 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000305618 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.000303273 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000303204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000302936 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000301913 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000301308 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000294703 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00029422 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000291781 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000279204 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.000273206 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000267498 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000265643 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000250601 | 0.03% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00024968 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000238014 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000236984 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000235427 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000235076 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000233038 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.000232784 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.000231673 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000194667 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.000193665 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000186195 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000178018 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.000169879 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000152662 | 0.02% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.000149331 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000143474 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000141711 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000122927 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 9.69227e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 8.60204e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 8.20674e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 7.36881e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 6.8532e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 6.44218e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 6.0841e-05 | 0.01% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0 | 0.00% | unsigned |

#### #4 extra_trees_depth8 (extra_trees)

Feature set: `all`. Validation: MAE 1.3558. Features: 583.

| Predictor | Weight / importance | Relative importance | Direction |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_interaction` | 0.0338215 | 3.38% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0336218 | 3.36% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0335829 | 3.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.0335493 | 3.35% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.0331526 | 3.32% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_interaction` | 0.0292637 | 2.93% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_call` | 0.0274843 | 2.75% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0168376 | 1.68% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0159807 | 1.60% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0158482 | 1.58% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0138847 | 1.39% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_win_probability` | 0.010456 | 1.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_interaction` | 0.00882187 | 0.88% | unsigned |
| `pregame_team_favorite_margin` | 0.00757847 | 0.76% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.005031 | 0.50% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.0045897 | 0.46% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00451022 | 0.45% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00437663 | 0.44% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00416133 | 0.42% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00385762 | 0.39% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.00360918 | 0.36% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00346061 | 0.35% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00338694 | 0.34% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_prior_season` | 0.0029984 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00297497 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00296443 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `pregame_week` | 0.00295711 | 0.30% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00283529 | 0.28% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00264462 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_interaction` | 0.0026236 | 0.26% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00245832 | 0.25% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00240694 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00240182 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last8` | 0.00235189 | 0.24% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_interaction` | 0.00232568 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00230309 | 0.23% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00224788 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00223445 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00219802 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00217624 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.002175 | 0.22% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_diff` | 0.00214459 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00212132 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_diff` | 0.00209828 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00209794 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00209318 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last5` | 0.00208825 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_interaction` | 0.00206844 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_interaction` | 0.0020636 | 0.21% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00202766 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00202095 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00201063 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_ratio` | 0.00199289 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00199122 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00197997 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_interaction` | 0.00195887 | 0.20% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_ewma` | 0.00193611 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.001929 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00190278 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00190122 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00185378 | 0.19% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_interaction` | 0.00184091 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_interaction` | 0.00183781 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00180803 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00178163 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00177409 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_diff` | 0.00177201 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_ratio` | 0.00176982 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last8` | 0.00176942 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00176656 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_interaction` | 0.00175823 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00175423 | 0.18% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00173904 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00173019 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last5_diff` | 0.00172068 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00171661 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00171651 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_diff` | 0.00171418 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `is_home` | 0.00171171 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.00171092 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00171027 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00170092 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last5` | 0.00169087 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00167982 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `pregame_spread_line` | 0.00167791 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_prior_season` | 0.00165338 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00165061 | 0.17% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.00163656 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00161901 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00161205 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00160853 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_prior_season` | 0.0016076 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00160686 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00160066 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last5` | 0.0015938 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.00158885 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00157327 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_ratio` | 0.00156926 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_interaction` | 0.00156857 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00156743 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00156631 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00156127 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_diff` | 0.00155776 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00155713 | 0.16% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.0015466 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00153665 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00153662 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_diff` | 0.0015296 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_prior_season` | 0.00152385 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.00152334 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_ewma` | 0.00150987 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00150901 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last5` | 0.00150302 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0014994 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00149634 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00149623 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00149049 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014835 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00147901 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00147107 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.00146641 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00146288 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.0014623 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00145817 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_ewma` | 0.00145671 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00145194 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00145138 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_prior_season` | 0.00145101 | 0.15% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00143611 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00143426 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00142826 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_ratio` | 0.00142776 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_prior_season` | 0.00142404 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_diff` | 0.00142265 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_diff` | 0.00142107 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_interaction` | 0.00141996 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00141959 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_ratio` | 0.00141958 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_prior_season` | 0.00141575 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_diff` | 0.00141548 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.00141077 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00140933 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.00140479 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00140364 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00140308 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00140177 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.00140171 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_interaction` | 0.00139743 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00139121 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.00139095 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00138916 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last3` | 0.00138836 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_interaction` | 0.00138785 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00138099 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00138053 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00137714 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_interaction` | 0.00137711 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last3` | 0.00137527 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_ewma` | 0.00137395 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_ewma` | 0.00136703 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_season_to_date` | 0.00136671 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00136511 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00136502 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00136382 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last8` | 0.00135088 | 0.14% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00134867 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00134845 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00134414 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_prior_season` | 0.00134299 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00134157 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00133977 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.00133322 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00132846 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.00132753 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00132263 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00132013 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last3` | 0.00131744 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00131706 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00131698 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_prior_season` | 0.00131651 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00131594 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00131519 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.00131393 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00131107 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.0013094 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00130636 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00130245 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.0012994 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_ratio` | 0.00129667 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_prior_season` | 0.0012941 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00128977 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_ewma` | 0.00128685 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.00128653 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00128051 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00127994 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00127777 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00127655 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00127632 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00127382 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.00126867 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.00126732 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00126638 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last5` | 0.00126544 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_diff` | 0.00125933 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last8` | 0.00125687 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.00125614 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.00125505 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00125165 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_ewma` | 0.00125161 | 0.13% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.00124173 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00124089 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.00123669 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00123639 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_interaction` | 0.00123506 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_ratio` | 0.00123273 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last8` | 0.00123148 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00123026 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.00123009 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last3` | 0.00122855 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00122817 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last5` | 0.00122341 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00122325 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_diff` | 0.00122247 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00121551 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00121496 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00121352 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last8` | 0.00121257 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_diff` | 0.00121219 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00120894 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last5` | 0.00120476 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_diff` | 0.00120368 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last8` | 0.00120336 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.00120282 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00120086 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_diff` | 0.00119974 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_interaction` | 0.00119856 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00119652 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.0011955 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00119541 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00119315 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00118948 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00118648 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last3_diff` | 0.00118231 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_interaction` | 0.00118195 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.0011797 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_ratio` | 0.00117856 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00117808 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_diff` | 0.0011759 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_diff` | 0.00117472 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00117256 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_interaction` | 0.0011699 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00116942 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last3_ratio` | 0.00116836 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_ewma` | 0.00116687 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last8` | 0.00116651 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last8` | 0.00116602 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00116517 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.00116481 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.00116464 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_diff` | 0.00116138 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last8` | 0.00115869 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_interaction` | 0.00115849 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_ratio` | 0.00115752 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00115492 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00115472 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00115338 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_last5` | 0.0011529 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00115048 | 0.12% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last5` | 0.00114937 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last8_ratio` | 0.00114847 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00114802 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_interaction` | 0.00114606 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00114456 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00114413 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last3` | 0.00114201 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_diff` | 0.00114065 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.00113758 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.00113632 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_prior_season` | 0.00113418 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_last3` | 0.0011339 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_ratio` | 0.00113304 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00113211 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_ratio` | 0.0011317 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_season_to_date` | 0.0011292 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last8` | 0.00112834 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00112642 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_diff` | 0.00111674 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_diff` | 0.00111531 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_interaction` | 0.00111436 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.00111154 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last3` | 0.0011094 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `rest_days` | 0.00110938 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00110733 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_interaction` | 0.00110665 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_interaction` | 0.00110572 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00110313 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_prior_season` | 0.0011025 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_diff` | 0.00110225 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_ratio` | 0.00110149 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00109812 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00109634 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last5` | 0.00109578 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last8` | 0.0010939 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last8` | 0.00108825 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_prior_season_diff` | 0.00108807 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last3` | 0.00108736 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_ewma_interaction` | 0.00108708 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00108688 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00108672 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last8` | 0.00108655 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00108563 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last5` | 0.00108295 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last8_diff` | 0.00107576 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.00107476 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.00107263 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00107139 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00107131 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_interaction` | 0.00107119 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_diff` | 0.00106719 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_last5` | 0.00106686 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_last8` | 0.00106589 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.0010654 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.00106384 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.00106085 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00105964 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.00105906 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_tds_last8` | 0.00105763 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_season_to_date` | 0.00105638 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_diff` | 0.00105218 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_diff` | 0.00105135 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.0010501 | 0.11% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.00104917 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last3` | 0.0010491 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_ewma_interaction` | 0.00104609 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00104498 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_interaction` | 0.00104412 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_ewma` | 0.00104359 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last8` | 0.0010431 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_diff` | 0.00104221 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00103907 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_interaction` | 0.00103641 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last5_ratio` | 0.00103461 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last3` | 0.00103386 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_ewma` | 0.00103268 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last5_interaction` | 0.00102858 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_diff` | 0.00102824 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00102809 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_interaction` | 0.00102703 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00102453 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.00101895 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.00101853 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last5` | 0.00101799 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00101785 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00101649 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.00101466 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_last8` | 0.00101445 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_prior_season` | 0.00101155 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00101127 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_last3` | 0.00100984 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_diff` | 0.00100555 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_prior_season_ratio` | 0.00100526 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_diff` | 0.00100497 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.00100151 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000997889 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last8_ratio` | 0.000997332 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000996933 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000996085 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_last3` | 0.000994165 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last3_ratio` | 0.000994007 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_last5` | 0.000993246 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_ewma` | 0.000990662 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_ratio` | 0.000990482 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.000987389 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last5` | 0.000985514 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000985211 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.00098495 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_diff` | 0.000982342 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last3_interaction` | 0.000979489 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_last8` | 0.000978218 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.00097737 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last3` | 0.000976852 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_ewma` | 0.000975341 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_attempt_allowed_last3` | 0.00097427 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_interaction` | 0.000972711 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000972558 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000968847 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000967544 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_ewma` | 0.00096608 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000965944 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completions_allowed_last3` | 0.000964455 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last5` | 0.000964371 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000964159 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_prior_season_interaction` | 0.000963883 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000961374 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_diff` | 0.000961252 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_diff` | 0.000954398 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.000953695 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.00095003 | 0.10% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last8_ratio` | 0.000949672 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last5` | 0.000949103 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last3_diff` | 0.000946946 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_ratio` | 0.00094565 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_diff` | 0.000944354 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_last8` | 0.000944269 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_ratio` | 0.000943273 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last8` | 0.00094296 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000941297 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_total_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000935972 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000934092 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_ewma` | 0.00093365 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000929853 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last3_diff` | 0.000929138 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000920258 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000920089 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000918276 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_attempt_last5` | 0.000917749 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last8` | 0.000913903 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_season_to_date` | 0.000911318 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_interaction` | 0.000910789 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_interaction` | 0.00090971 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000906871 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_interaction` | 0.000905335 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last8` | 0.000904082 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_prior_season_diff` | 0.00090151 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000900754 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_last8_interaction` | 0.000897295 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_total_yards_allowed_last3` | 0.000895484 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_interaction` | 0.00089134 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000888543 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last3_ratio` | 0.000888527 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_interaction` | 0.000888252 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_diff` | 0.000887566 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_ewma_ratio` | 0.000887116 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_sacks_allowed_ewma` | 0.000887105 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_interceptions_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000884949 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000882514 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000881721 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000880451 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_last3` | 0.000872324 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_diff` | 0.00086873 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000868401 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000867693 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_tds_season_to_date` | 0.000865612 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000863586 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_ewma_ratio` | 0.000863563 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_completions_allowed_ewma` | 0.0008625 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_last5` | 0.000862144 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000857862 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last5_diff` | 0.000857352 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000856211 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_ratio` | 0.000853583 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000853457 | 0.09% | unsigned |
| `team_points_scored_last3` | 0.000847944 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_yards_per_rush_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000846677 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000846279 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000845476 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_passing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000845198 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000840737 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000839423 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_diff` | 0.000839319 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last3_diff` | 0.000837464 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_turnovers_allowed_last5` | 0.000837277 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000836237 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_attempts_allowed_last5` | 0.000833557 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last8` | 0.000830095 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_last8_ratio` | 0.000829775 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_attempts_last3` | 0.00082918 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_diff` | 0.000822276 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000821947 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_prior_season_ratio` | 0.000821608 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_ratio` | 0.000821234 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_turnovers_allowed_last3` | 0.000820664 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_ewma_ratio` | 0.000819606 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000818034 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last3_interaction` | 0.000816253 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last3_diff` | 0.00081291 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_diff` | 0.000810391 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000809846 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000807996 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000804774 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000803505 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_ratio` | 0.000797153 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_last5` | 0.000796375 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last5` | 0.000794532 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_interaction` | 0.000792271 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last5` | 0.000791817 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_prior_season` | 0.000791186 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_season_to_date` | 0.000789495 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000787745 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000785553 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_turnovers_last3` | 0.000785259 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_ewma` | 0.000783864 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_ewma` | 0.00078153 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_interaction` | 0.000780849 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000775364 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_ewma` | 0.000771592 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_yards_per_rush_ewma` | 0.000769397 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000768196 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000767685 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_ewma_interaction` | 0.000766661 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_last3_ratio` | 0.000765186 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000763361 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_ewma` | 0.00076248 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_diff` | 0.000761733 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last5` | 0.000759262 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_last8_ratio` | 0.000750829 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_ratio` | 0.000750148 | 0.08% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last5_interaction` | 0.000747029 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_ratio` | 0.000746644 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_ratio` | 0.000745446 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last8` | 0.000738089 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_ewma` | 0.00073713 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_passing_tds_allowed_ewma` | 0.000736952 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_rushing_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000733387 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_ratio` | 0.00073267 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_ratio` | 0.000730656 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_ewma` | 0.00073032 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_last3` | 0.000722354 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_tds_allowed_last8` | 0.000722139 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_last3_ratio` | 0.000722086 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last5_ratio` | 0.000722071 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_last3` | 0.00071788 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000716388 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_last5` | 0.000715318 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last3_interaction` | 0.000712412 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_last8` | 0.000712089 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last8_diff` | 0.000708833 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_attempts_season_to_date` | 0.000706286 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_last3` | 0.000701615 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_ratio` | 0.000696924 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_ratio` | 0.000695254 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_last8_ratio` | 0.000693619 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_ewma_diff` | 0.000693023 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_attempts_prior_season_diff` | 0.00069189 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_allowed_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000688847 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_completion_percentage_season_to_date` | 0.000687074 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000683824 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_rush_last5_ratio` | 0.00068204 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_points_scored_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000681849 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last3` | 0.000678966 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_ewma_diff` | 0.000657974 | 0.07% | unsigned |
| `team_def_yards_per_attempt_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000647024 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_tds_last5_interaction` | 0.000645141 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last8_ratio` | 0.000641753 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_last5` | 0.000640522 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_ewma` | 0.00063943 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_completion_percentage_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000638286 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `opponent_points_scored_allowed_last3` | 0.000618013 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_last5_diff` | 0.000617392 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completion_percentage_ewma_diff` | 0.000616069 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_interceptions_ewma` | 0.000612488 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_def_sacks_allowed_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000606299 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_ewma_ratio` | 0.000602821 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_yards_ewma_diff` | 0.000599207 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_last8_diff` | 0.000597973 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_last8_diff` | 0.000592618 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000588939 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_last5_diff` | 0.000588611 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_total_yards_season_to_date` | 0.000587184 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_sacks_last3_interaction` | 0.000582662 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `team_sacks_season_to_date` | 0.000571991 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_diff` | 0.000563671 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_yards_per_attempt_last5_ratio` | 0.00056284 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_ewma_diff` | 0.000553708 | 0.06% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_yards_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000546418 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_rushing_tds_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000543488 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_turnovers_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.00054293 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_yards_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000526606 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_interaction` | 0.000521622 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_ewma_ratio` | 0.000510266 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_passing_yards_last3` | 0.00050757 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000502865 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last3_diff` | 0.000499672 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last8_ratio` | 0.000498722 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `team_completions_season_to_date` | 0.000496839 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_passing_attempts_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000493911 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_ratio` | 0.000467469 | 0.05% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000442776 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_ewma_diff` | 0.000431813 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `opponent_rushing_attempts_allowed_season_to_date` | 0.000419414 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_completions_last5_diff` | 0.000406335 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_interceptions_season_to_date_diff` | 0.000385894 | 0.04% | unsigned |
| `matchup_points_scored_season_to_date_ratio` | 0.000385585 | 0.04% | unsigned |